NFL Week 18 First and Anytime Touchdown Scorer Predictions [2023]

The NFL is back for another big week, and we've run 10,000 data-driven simulations of every Week 18 game to uncover which players are most likely to score a touchdown and which are the best TD bets to make.

This week’s NFL slate features offensive stars such as Tony Pollard, CeeDee Lamb and Jonathan Taylor, with each of these guys projected as high chances of scoring a touchdown for their respective teams in Week 18.

In this article, you will find the following for this week's games:

• First touchdown scorer predictions
• Anytime touchdown scorer predictions
• Touchdown scorer prop bets

This week's touchdown scorers are proudly brought to you by Bet365, where you can secure $150 in bonus bets just for betting $5 on any of the below players to score in Week 18.

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Anytime Touchdown Scorer Predictions - NFL Week 18, 2023

As part of our NFL predictions for Week 18, DimersBOT has discovered the most likely players to score a touchdown across all of this week’s action.

Player (Team)	Anytime Touchdown Probability
Tony Pollard (Cowboys)	57.0%
CeeDee Lamb (Cowboys)	56.9%
Jonathan Taylor (Colts)	54.0%
Devin Singletary (Texans)	51.6%
Jalen Hurts (Eagles)	51.5%
Kenneth Walker (Seahawks)	51.3%
Derrick Henry (Titans)	50.9%
Breece Hall (Jets)	50.4%
Nico Collins (Texans)	49.2%
Justin Jefferson (Vikings)	48.6%

First Touchdown Predictions - NFL Week 18, 2023

As well as providing you with the players who are most likely to score an anytime touchdown, DimersBOT also has the 10 players most likely to score the first touchdown in their respective games across all of the Week 18 NFL action.

Player (Team)	First Touchdown Probability
Breece Hall (Jets)	17.3%
Ezekiel Elliott (Patriots)	16.0%
Tony Pollard (Cowboys)	14.8%
CeeDee Lamb (Cowboys)	14.7%
Josh Jacobs (Raiders)	14.5%
Derrick Henry (Titans)	14.2%
Jalen Hurts (Eagles)	14.1%
Austin Ekeler (Chargers)	13.7%
Jonathan Taylor (Colts)	13.3%
Courtland Sutton (Broncos)	13.3%

Keep in mind that these lists only show the players most likely to score an anytime or first touchdown in NFL Week 18, which does not necessarily mean that our model recommends betting on them.

To increase your chances of winning, it's important to look out for the best odds available, as well as checking out our recommended bets below.

RELATED: Three players who could get PAID by triggering bonuses in Week 18

NFL Touchdown Best Bets and and Round Robin Parlay - Week 18, 2023

Below, you will find the five +EV touchdown props we recommend making in Week 18. Our suggestion is to use a round-robin parlay and bet the x3, x4 and x5 combos, with the lowest possible payout coming in at +3366 odds. If all five props hit, a $5 bet would return $2,760!

Courtland Sutton Anytime Touchdown Scorer (+185)

• Odds: +185
• Edge: 11.3%
• Probability: 46.4%
• Game: Broncos vs. Raiders (4:25PM EST)
• Click here to place this bet with DraftKings Sportsbook

Our model has identified the best NFL touchdown bet for Week 18, which is in the game between the Broncos and Raiders. The bet is on Courtland Sutton from the Denver Broncos to score a touchdown at odds of +185 with DraftKings Sportsbook, where our model has found an edge of 11.3%.

Brandin Cooks Anytime Touchdown Scorer (+220)

• Odds: +220
• Edge: 10.0%
• Probability: 41.3%
• Game: Cowboys vs. Commanders (4:25PM EST)
• Click here to place this bet with FanDuel Sportsbook

The next best NFL touchdown bet for Week 18 comes in the Cowboys vs. Commanders matchup, where our model has found an edge of 10.0% on Brandin Cooks from the Dallas Cowboys at odds of +220 with FanDuel Sportsbook to score an anytime touchdown.

Rashid Shaheed Anytime Touchdown Scorer (+280)

• Odds: +280
• Edge: 10.4%
• Probability: 36.7%
• Game: Falcons vs. Saints (1:00PM EST)
• Click here to place this bet with FanDuel Sportsbook

The next best NFL touchdown bet for Week 18 comes in the Falcons vs. Saints game, where our model has found a juicy edge of 10.4% on Rashid Shaheed (NO) at odds of +280 with FanDuel Sportsbook to score anytime.

Garrett Wilson Anytime Touchdown Scorer (+320)

• Odds: +320
• Edge: 8.0%
• Probability: 31.8%
• Game:Jets vs. Patriots
• Click here to place this bet with FanDuel Sportsbook

Our NFL model has found another +EV touchdown play for Week 18, which is in the AFC East matchup between the Jets and Patriots. The pick is for Jets WR Garrett Wilson to score an anytime touchdown at odds of +320 with FanDuel Sportsbook.

With a probability of 31.8%, you can gain an edge of 8.0% on the sportsbook odds with this bet.

Gabe Davis Anytime Touchdown Scorer (+280)

• Odds: +280
• Edge: 6.3%
• Probability: 32.6%
• Game: Bills vs. Dolphins (8:30PM ET)
• Click here to place this bet with FanDuel Sportsbook

The fifth bet that our NFL model has found an edge on for Week 18 is Gabe Davis to score an anytime touchdown in the Bills vs. Dolphins game. After simulating this game thousands of times, our model has detected a solid 6.3% edge for bettors who take the +280 odds available at FanDuel Sportsbook.

You can unlock an incredible reward of $200 in bonus bets by placing a simple $5 wager on one of this week's NFL touchdown picks (including a parlay) at DraftKings Sportsbook. Click ➡️ here ⬅️ to get started!

What Is an Edge in Betting?

The edge at Dimers is when we think the probability of an event occurring is more likely than the best NFL odds available. Essentially, it means that Dimers believes a bet has a better chance of winning than the sportsbooks do. That's why the higher the edge, the better.

Although it does not guarantee a win, taking picks with a higher betting edge can increase your chances of being profitable in the long run. This is an essential aspect of a successful sports betting strategy.

Today's NFL Touchdown Betting Picks - Week 18, 2023

This NFL touchdown scorer article has been partially generated using automated processes and AI technology. Our goal is to provide timely and accurate updates on NFL touchdown scorer predictions for Week 18, and automation assists in data collection, analysis, and formatting. Human editing and quality control is performed to ensure the content meets our editorial standards.

All of Dimers' NFL first and anytime touchdown picks and predictions for Week 18 have been generated thanks to thousands of data-driven game simulations, providing reliable and accurate NFL predictions to help you make informed decisions.

If you plan to use this week's NFL touchdown scorer picks for your personal gambling, it's crucial that you gamble responsibly and manage your finances effectively, keeping in mind that prop bets, including TD scorers, often have higher odds and therefore less of a chance of winning than most straight up plays.

If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, crisis counseling and referral services can be accessed by calling 1-800-GAMBLER.

More About NFL

This article is part of our NFL player props and NFL best bets series.

For more NFL betting content, we have NFL trends for every game, as well as daily NFL betting news and the latest Super Bowl odds and predictions.