NFL Week 17 First and Anytime Touchdown Scorer Predictions [2023]

The NFL is back for another week of action, and our team of data experts has run 10K data-driven simulations of every Week 17 game to uncover which players are most likely to score a touchdown and which are the best TD bets to make.

This week’s NFL slate features offensive stars such as Christian McCaffrey, CeeDee Lamb and David Njoku, with each of these guys projected as high chances of getting in for six in their respective games in Week 17.

In this article, you will find the following for this week's games:

• First touchdown scorer predictions
• Anytime touchdown scorer predictions
• Touchdown scorer prop bets

This week's touchdown scorers are brought to you by Bet365, where new players can grab $150 in bonus bets just for betting $5 on any of the below players to score in Week 17.

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Anytime Touchdown Scorer Predictions - NFL Week 17, 2023

As part of our NFL predictions for Week 17, DimersBOT has discovered the most likely players to score a touchdown across all of this week’s action.

Player (Team)	Anytime Touchdown Probability
Christian McCaffrey (49ers)	78.1%
CeeDee Lamb (Cowboys)	60.9%
David Njoku (Browns)	60.9%
Tony Pollard (Cowboys)	59.6%
Jalen Hurts (Eagles)	58.1%
Jerome Ford (Browns)	57.9%
Jonathan Taylor (Colts)	55.4%
Derrick Henry (Titans)	54.3%
Josh Allen (Bills)	54.2%
Kyren Williams (Rams)	52.1%

First Touchdown Predictions - NFL Week 17, 2023

As well as providing you with the players who are most likely to score an anytime touchdown, DimersBOT also has the 10 players most likely to score the first touchdown in their respective games across all of the Week 17 NFL action.

Player (Team)	First Touchdown Probability
Christian McCaffrey (49ers)	23.8%
Josh Allen (Bills)	15.7%
Courtland Sutton (Broncos)	15.6%
Jonathan Taylor (Colts)	15.1%
Jalen Hurts (Eagles)	14.5%
CeeDee Lamb (Cowboys)	14.5%
Tony Pollard (Cowboys)	13.6%
Derrick Henry (Titans)	13.6%
Kyren Williams (Rams)	13.6%
James Cook (Bills)	13.1%

Keep in mind that these lists only show the players most likely to score an anytime or first touchdown in NFL Week 17, which does not necessarily mean that our model recommends betting on them.

To increase your chances of winning, it's important to look out for the best odds available, as well as checking out our recommended bets below.

NFL Touchdown Best Bets and Round Robin Parlay - Week 17, 2023

By combining our model's insights with favorable trends and valuable odds, we've selected the following five players for our Week 17 Round Robin parlay. We recommend playing the x3, x4 and five-leg combos, with the minimum combination paying out at +2444 odds! If all five hit at their best available odds, a $5 bet would return $2,043!

Najee Harris Anytime Touchdown Scorer (+165)

• Odds: +165
• Edge: 4.7%
• Probability: 42.5%
• Game: Steelers vs. Seahawks (4:05PM EST)
• Click here to place this bet with FanDuel Sportsbook

Our model has identified the best NFL touchdown bet for Week 17, which comes in the game between the Steelers and Seahawks. The bet is on Najee Harris from the Pittsburgh Steelers to score a touchdown at odds of +165 with FanDuel Sportsbook, where you can gain an an edge of 4.7%.

Ezekiel Elliott Anytime Touchdown Scorer (+200)

• Odds: +200
• Edge: 8.3%
• Probability: 41.6%
• Game: Patriots vs. Bills (1:00PM EST)
• Click here to place this bet with FanDuel Sportsbook

The next best NFL touchdown bet for Week 17 comes in the Patriots vs. Bills matchup, where our model has found an edge of 8.3% on Ezekiel Elliott from the New England Patriots at odds of +200 with FanDuel Sportsbook to score an anytime touchdown.

Dallas Goedert Anytime Touchdown Scorer (+250)

• Odds: +250
• Edge: 5.6%
• Probability: 34.2%
• Game: Cardinals vs. Eagles
• Click here to place this bet with FanDuel Sportsbook

Our NFL model has found another +EV touchdown prop for this week's action, which is in the game between the Cardinals and Eagles. The bet is on the Eagles' Dallas Goedert to score an anytime touchdown at odds of +250 with FanDuel Sportsbook.

With a probability of 34.2%, bettors are gaining an edge of 5.6% on the sportsbooks with this pick.

Adam Thielen Anytime Touchdown Scorer (+360)

• Odds: +360
• Edge: 5.2%
• Probability: 27.0%
• Game: Panthers vs. Jaguars (1:00PM EST)
• Click here to place this bet with DraftKings Sportsbook

The next best NFL touchdown bet for Week 17 comes in the Panthers vs. Jaguars game, where our model has found a notable edge of 5.2% on Adam Thielen (CAR) at odds of +360 with DraftKings Sportsbook to score anytime.

DeMarcus Robinson Anytime Touchdown Scorer (+220)

• Odds: +220
• Edge: 3.7%
• Probability: 34.5%
• Game: Rams vs. Giants (1:00PM ET)
• Click here to place this bet with FanDuel Sportsbook

The fifth bet that our NFL model has found an edge on for Week 17 is Rams WR DeMarcus Robinson to stay hot with an anytime touchdown in the Rams vs. Giants clash. After simulating this game 10K times, DimersBOT has detected a 3.7% edge for those who take the +220 odds available at FanDuel Sportsbook.

You can unlock a generous reward of $200 in bonus bets by placing a simple $5 wager on one of these NFL touchdown picks (including a parlay) at DraftKings Sportsbook. Click ➡️ here ⬅️ to get started!

What Is an Edge in Betting?

The edge at Dimers is when we think the probability of an event occurring is more likely than the best NFL odds available. Essentially, it means that Dimers believes a bet has a better chance of winning than the sportsbooks do. That's why the higher the edge, the better.

Although it does not guarantee a win, taking picks with a higher betting edge can increase your chances of being profitable in the long run. This is an essential aspect of a successful sports betting strategy.

Today's NFL Touchdown Betting Picks - Week 17, 2023

This NFL touchdown scorer article has been partially generated using automated processes and AI technology. Our goal is to provide timely and accurate updates on NFL touchdown scorer predictions for Week 17, and automation assists in data collection, analysis, and formatting. Human editing and quality control is performed to ensure the content meets our editorial standards.

All of Dimers' NFL first and anytime touchdown picks and predictions for Week 17 have been generated thanks to thousands of data-driven game simulations, providing reliable and accurate NFL predictions to help you make informed decisions.

If you plan to use this week's NFL touchdown scorer picks for your personal gambling, it's crucial that you gamble responsibly and manage your finances effectively, keeping in mind that prop bets, including TD scorers, often have higher odds and therefore less of a chance of winning than most straight up plays.

If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, crisis counseling and referral services can be accessed by calling 1-800-GAMBLER.

More on NFL

This article is part of our NFL player props and NFL best bets series.

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