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NFL Week 16: Packers vs. Dolphins Player Props & Predictions Sunday December 25, 2022

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Written by Nick Slade
NFL Week 16: Packers vs. Dolphins Player Props & Predictions Sunday December 25, 2022

Get the best player props for what looks to be an interesting NFL Week 16 Christmas Day matchup between the Packers and the Dolphins. This game will feature two of the most talented Quarterbacks in the league in Aaron Rodgers and Tua Tagovailoa. Luckily for you, we've also identified a number of different player props performances for you to bet on. Sink your teeth into everything from touchdown props at Hard Rock Stadium, down to rushing yards props and receiving yards props, below.

Our predictive analytics model, known as DimersBOT, has run over 10,000 simulations of this game between the Packers and the Dolphins where we have assessed Tua Tagovailoa and the Dolphins (-3.5) as 2-point winners. Based on our NFL Week 16 Packers-Dolphins props predictions, it also looks as though the Dolphins' Tyreek Hill is in for a big game, with the Miami WR featuring heavily in our predictions. While we have also listed player props for Aaron Jones, Christian Watson, Christian Watson, Allen Lazard and Jeff Wilson, with more detail about what you can expect from them, outlined below.

 
 

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Packers vs. Dolphins Props

Predictions

Wondering where to look in TD props markets in this game between Packers vs. Dolphins? Well, the latest data for this Sunday football matchup is in, so let's find ourselves another Christmas gift in the form of some winning prop bets.

Listed below are the best touchdown scorer props as well as the best player props for both the Packers and the Dolphins, as well as prop bets.

And you know what, we provide this player props information to you for FREE to help you select the best props for Sunday's game between Green Bay and Miami.

RELATED: Player Prop Bets for every NFL game

First Touchdown Scorer Props

According to the best AI predictive analytics model, Miami's Tyreek Hill is the best first TD prop bet to place in Packers vs. Dolphins.

The Dimers artificial intelligence machine gives Hill a 16.0% chance of cashing our first touchdown prop bet tickets at Hard Rock Stadium.

The next best option is the Packers' Aaron Jones an 11.9% chance of reaching the endzone and cashing Sunday's first touchdown props.

Look for the 🔥 below, as that indicates a spot where the predictive analytics model has found value against the sportsbooks. To make things easy for you, we even list the best player props bets for Packers-Dolphins, down below.

Top-10 First Touchdown scorer props:

  1. Tyreek Hill (Dolphins): 16.0% probability
  2. Aaron Jones (Packers): 11.9% probability
  3. Christian Watson (Packers): 9.1% probability
  4. Jaylen Waddle (Dolphins): 8.5% probability
  5. Raheem Mostert (Dolphins): 7.9% probability
  6. Randall Cobb (Packers): 5.9% probability
  7. Allen Lazard (Packers): 5.4% probability
  8. Jeff Wilson (Dolphins): 5.4% probability
  9. AJ Dillon (Packers): 5.1% probability
  10. Trent Sherfield (Dolphins): 4.3% probability

Anytime Touchdown Scorers Props

Dolphins WR Hill is also a 62.6% chance of cashing those anytime touchdown prop bet tickets if you're looking for something a little safer.

The next best anytime touchdown scorer prop option is once again Aaron Jones, who is a 52.0% chance to score a touchdown at anytime during this game between the Packers and the Dolphins.

Top-10 Anytime Touchdown scorer props:

  1. Tyreek Hill (Dolphins): 62.6% probability
  2. Aaron Jones (Packers): 52.0% probability
  3. Christian Watson (Packers): 42.0% probability
  4. Jaylen Waddle (Dolphins): 40.7% probability
  5. Raheem Mostert (Dolphins): 38.5% probability
  6. Randall Cobb (Packers): 28.9% probability
  7. Allen Lazard (Packers): 28.0% probability
  8. Jeff Wilson (Dolphins): 27.8% probability
  9. AJ Dillon (Packers): 25.8% probability
  10. Trent Sherfield (Dolphins): 20.9% probability

For NFL prop bets from EVERY game being played this week, check out our NFL Prop Bets generator to find yourself today's best plays.

Player Props for Packers vs. Dolphins

PICTURED: Aaron Jones and Tyreek Hill

QB Passing Yards Prop Predictions

Of the starting quarterbacks, the Packers' Aaron Rodgers is predicted to throw for 231 passing yards, while the Dolphins' Tua Tagovailoa is expected to throw for a whopping 295 yards.

  • Aaron Rodgers (Packers): 231 predicted yards 
  • Tua Tagovailoa (Dolphins): 295 predicted yards

Rushing Yards Prop Predictions

Not surprisingly, Aaron Jones is expected to lead the way when it comes to rushing yards gained in Packers vs. Dolphins, with 70. Jones is always a threat and our artificial intelligence analysis suggests this trend is likely to continue on Sunday.

  • Aaron Jones (Packers): 70 predicted yards 🔥
  • Raheem Mostert (Dolphins): 56 predicted yards
  • AJ Dillon (Dolphins): 40 predicted yards
  • Jeff Wilson (Packers): 37 predicted yards
  • Patrick Taylor (Dolphins): 10 predicted yards
  • Tua Tagovailoa (Packers): 8 predicted yards

Receiving Yards Prop Predictions

Dolphins WR Tyreek Hill looks set for another a big game here against the Packers. The Miami star was easily the pick of the bunch when it came to our predictive analytics model identifying expected receiving yards numbers for this game, with 95. The next best performer is expected to be Hill's teammate, Jaylen Waddle (77).

  • Tyreek Hill (Dolphins): 95 predicted yards
  • Jaylen Waddle (Dolphins): 77 predicted yards 🔥
  • Christian Watson (Packers): 55 predicted yards
  • Allen Lazard (Packers): 42 predicted yards
  • Randall Cobb (Packers): 39 predicted yards
  • Aaron Jones (Packers): 29 predicted yards
  • AJ Dillon (Packers): 27 predicted yards
  • Cedrick Wilson (Dolphins): 25 predicted yards
  • Jeff Wilson (Dolphins): 20 predicted yards
  • Trent Sherfield (Dolphins): 18 predicted yards
  • Robert Tonyan (Packers): 14 predicted yards 🔥

PARLAY: Dimers' Christmas Day NFL Best Bets Is Our Gift To You

Best Player Props To Bet

The best bets for Packers vs. Dolphins below are spots identified by our AI predictive analytics model following 10,000 simulations of this game, before we match those results against the lines set by the sportsbooks. When our numbers are quite different to those displayed by the sportsbooks then that means we've identified a player props betting opportunity - usually at tempting odds, too.

Sometimes the sportsbooks will set the line for a particular player prop too high, in which case we'd bet his Under. Other times they may have undervalued a player's expected contribution, and set his line quite low allowing us to take the juicy odds on offer for his Over.

It's important to note, the suggested player prop bets for Packers vs. Dolphins below are based on our algorithm finding an edge vs. the sportsbooks odds and lines, so using the sportsbook listed - where those factors are in our favor - is very important in order to maximize our potential to profit from player prop betting.

🔥 Player Prop Bet: Robert Tonyan Under 20.5 Receiving Yards (-115)

Our player props predictive analytics model has the Packers man down for less than his line of 20.5 receiving yards (we have him getting just 14) on Sunday for Packers-Dolphins, so at odds of -115 we are betting his UNDER and getting an edge of 12.8% with PointsBet Sportsbook, where new customers can get 4x risk-free $200 bets to use on whatever they want, right here.

🔥 Player Prop Bet: Aaron Jones Over 54.5 Rushing Yards (-113)

Following over 10,000 different simulations of this Sunday matchup between the Packers and the Dolphins, our player props model has identified that the rushing yards line of 54.5 for Packers RB Aaron Jones is too low. We have Jones down for 70 rushing yards (see above), so betting his OVER (-113) with DraftKings Sportsbook is the play, giving us another edge of 10.6% vs. the sportsbook. New DraftKings customers can score $150 in free bets from just a $5 wager here.

🔥 Player Prop Bet: Jaylen Waddle Over 62.5 Receiving Yards (-125)

The player props super computer has this time identified a receiving yards player prop bet in Dolphins man in Jaylen Waddle. We have him down for 77 receiving yards against the Packers on Sunday at a probability of 62.7% and with a 9.3% edge. By betting this OVER at PointsBet Sportsbook we get access to those 4x risk-free $200 bets, here.

🏈 Touchdown Scorer Bet: Tyreek Hill Score 2+ Touchdowns (+700)

The Dimers player props AI machine has found some value here for Tyreek Hill to score at least two TDs on Sunday when his Dolphins host the Packers. While the model has identified him as a 22.2% chance of reaching the endzone at least twice, the real value is the huge 9.7% edge we have vs. the sportsbooks' odds. We can bet this at Caesars Sportsbook where new customers can score a risk-free first bet up to $1250 by tapping here.

 
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Written by
Nick Slade
Chief Content Officer

Nick Slade, with nearly two decades of experience, is the Chief Content Officer at Cipher Sports Technology Group, overseeing content for Dimers and Stats Insider, and specializes in soccer, NBA and NHL betting.

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