NFL Week 15 First and Anytime Touchdown Scorer Predictions [2023]

The NFL is back for another big week, and our team of data analysts has run 10,000 data-driven simulations of every Week 15 game in an effort to uncover which players are most likely to score a touchdown and which are the best TD bets to make.

This week’s NFL slate features offensive stars such as Christian McCaffrey, Kyren Williams and Zack Moss with each of these players projected to have a high probability of scoring a touchdown for their respective teams in Week 15.

In this article, you will find the following for this week's games:

• First touchdown scorer predictions
• Anytime touchdown scorer predictions
• Touchdown scorer prop bets

This week's touchdown scorers are sponsored by Bet365, where you can secure $150 in bonus bets just for betting $5 on any of the below players to score in Week 15.

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Anytime Touchdown Scorer Predictions - NFL Week 15, 2023

As part of our NFL predictions for Week 15, DimersBOT has determined the most likely players to score a touchdown across all of this week’s games.

Player (Team)	First Touchdown Probability
Christian McCaffrey (49ers)	75.8%
Kyren Williams (Rams)	61.7%
Zack Moss (Colts)	57.5%
Derrick Henry (Titans)	54.1%
Courtland Sutton (Broncos)	52.2%
Jalen Hurts (Eagles)	51.6%
CeeDee Lamb (Cowboys)	51.5%
Javonte Williams (Broncos)	50.4%
David Montgomery (Lions)	48.1%
Puka Nacua (Rams)	47.6%

First Touchdown Predictions - NFL Week 15, 2023

As well as providing you with the players who are most likely to score an anytime touchdown, DimersBOT also has the 10 players most likely to score the first touchdown in their respective games across all of the Week 15 NFL action.

Player (Team)	First Touchdown Probability
Christian McCaffrey (49ers)	23.1%
Derrick Henry (Titans)	16.4%
Zack Moss (Colts)	16.3%
Kyren Williams (Rams)	15.2%
Bijan Robinson (Falcons)	13.6%
Ezekiel Elliott (Patriots)	12.8%
Courtland Sutton (Broncos)	12.7%
Tyreek Hill (Dolphins)	12.7%
Jalen Hurts (Eagles)	12.5%
Najee Harris (Steelers)	11.2%

Keep in mind that these lists only show the players most likely to score an anytime or first touchdown in NFL Week 15, which does not necessarily mean that our model recommends betting on them.

To increase your chances of winning, it's important to look out for the best NFL odds available, as well as checking out our recommended bets below.

NFL Touchdown Best Bets and Odds - Week 15, 2023

Our model is constantly working to discover edges in all of the major NFL props markets, including first and anytime touchdown scorers!  

We recommend the following five players below for Sunday's games, which we recommend playing a Round Robin and parlay on. A $5 parlay of all five scorers would return $1,869!

James Cook Anytime Touchdown Scorer (+185)

• Odds:+185
• Edge: 11.0%
• Probability: 46.1%
• Game: Cowboys vs. Bills (4:25PM)
• Click here to place this bet with FanDuel Sportsbook

Our highest probability scorer out of all five payers also has one of the highest edges. DimersBOT has identified a value of 11% in James Cook's odds to score an anytime TD in the Dallas Cowboys vs. Buffalo Bills game. Cook has four total touchdowns this year, including two in the past three weeks.

Breece Hall Anytime Touchdown Scorer (+240)

• Odds:+240
• Edge: 16.9%
• Probability: 45.9%
• Game: Jets vs. Dolphins (1:00PM)
• Click here to place this bet with FanDuel Sportsbook

The second best bet recommended by our model is actually the highest edge of any touchdown prop on our board. We've identified a significant 16.9% edge against the odds on FanDuel Sportsbook for running back Breece Hall to score in the New York Jets vs. Miami Dolphins game. 

Devin Singletary Anytime Touchdown Scorer (+210)

• Odds: +210
• Edge: 3.8%
• Probability: 36.1%
• Game: Texans vs. Titans (1:00PM)
• Click here to place this bet with FanDuel Sportsbook

Fresh off one of his better games of the season, our model has identified a 3.8% edge in the odds for running back Devin Singletary to score when the Houston Texans take on the Tennessee Titans. His 36.1% probability implies some nice value as he's up against a Titans defense seeing some of the highest rushing volume by opposing offenses.  

Jerome Ford Anytime Touchdown Scorer (+220)

• Odds:+220
• Edge: 3.3%
• Probability: 34.5%
• Game: Bears vs. Browns (1:00PM)
• Click here to place this bet with FanDuel Sportsbook

For our fourth touchdown bet, we look at the Chicago Bears vs. Cleveland Browns game. Running back Jerome Ford has a 34.5% probability to score according to the DimersBOT and that comes with a 3.3% edge against his +220 odds on FanDuel Sportsbook. Ford has filled in nicely as the Browns' lead back, scoring three rushing and three receiving touchdowns this season.

Isaiah Likely Anytime Touchdown Scorer (+290)

• Odds: +290
• Edge: 3.2%
• Probability: 28.8%
• Game: Ravens vs. Jaguars (8:20PM)
• Click here to place this bet with DraftKings Sportsbook

Our final touchdown bet is our longest odds and also in the latest game of the day. Ravens tight end Isaiah Likely has been given a 3.2% edge in his +290 odds to score, available on DraftKings Sportsbook. Likely is coming off of his best game of the season with five catches for 83 yards and a score and will now face the Jaguars' bottom-tier passing defense.

You can unlock a generous reward of $200 in bonus bets by placing a simple $5 wager on any NFL touchdown scorer at DraftKings Sportsbook. Click ➡️ here ⬅️ to sign up now!

What Is an Edge in Betting?

The edge at Dimers is when we think the probability of an event occurring is more likely than the best NFL odds available. Essentially, it means that Dimers believes a bet has a better chance of winning than the sportsbooks do. That's why the higher the edge, the better.

Although it does not guarantee a win, taking picks with a higher betting edge can increase your chances of being profitable in the long run. This is an essential aspect of a successful sports betting strategy.

Today's NFL Touchdown Betting Picks - Week 15, 2023

This NFL touchdown scorer article has been partially generated using automated processes and AI technology. Our goal is to provide timely and accurate updates on NFL touchdown scorer predictions for Week 15, and automation assists in data collection, analysis, and formatting. Human editing and quality control is performed to ensure the content meets our editorial standards.

All of Dimers' NFL first and anytime touchdown picks and predictions for Week 15 have been generated thanks to thousands of data-driven game simulations, providing reliable and accurate NFL predictions to help you make informed decisions.

If you plan to use this week's NFL touchdown scorer picks for your personal gambling, it's crucial that you gamble responsibly and manage your finances effectively, keeping in mind that prop bets, including TD scorers, often have higher odds and therefore less of a chance of winning than most straight-up plays.

If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, crisis counseling and referral services can be accessed by calling 1-800-GAMBLER.

More About NFL

This article is part of our NFL player props and NFL best bets series.

For more NFL betting content, we have NFL trends for every game, as well as daily NFL betting news and the latest Super Bowl odds and predictions.