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NFL Week 15: Chiefs vs. Texans Player Props & Predictions, Sunday December 18, 2022

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Written by Nick Slade
NFL Week 15: Chiefs vs. Texans Player Props & Predictions, Sunday December 18, 2022

It's NFL Week 15 and we've Sunday Football between the Chiefs and the Texans. Luckily for you, we've identified a number of different player prop performances for you to bet on. Sink your teeth into everything from first touchdown props at NRG Stadium, down to rushing yards props and receiving yards props. Our predictive analytics model, known as DimersBOT, has run over 10,000 simulations of this NFL Week 15 game between the Kansas City Chiefs and the Houston Texans, where we have the Chiefs registering a comfortable win. Based on our Chiefs-Texans props predictions, it also looks as though Chiefs' Travis Kelce is in for a big game, with the Kansas City TE featuring heavily in our projections. While names like Patrick Mahomes and Isiah Pacheco are also prominent, with more detail about what you can expect from them, outlined below.

 
 

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NFL Week 15 Props: Chiefs vs. Texans

Wondering where to look in first touchdown props markets in this game between Chiefs vs. Texans? Well, the latest data for this Sunday Football matchup is in.

Listed below are our best first touchdown props and best anytime touchdown props for both the Chiefs and Texans, as well as player prop predictions.

And you know what, we provide this player prop information to you for FREE to help you select the best prop bets for Sunday's game between Kansas City and Houston.

According to our AI predictive analytics model, Kansas City's Travis Kelce is the best first TD prop bet to place in Chiefs vs. Texans.

The Dimers artificial intelligence machine gives Kelce a 14.6% chance of cashing our first touchdown prop bet tickets at NRG Stadium, while the Chiefs TE is a 59.3% chance of cashing those anytime touchdown prop bet tickets if you're looking for something a little safer.

Scroll down for our complete list of first touchdown props and anytime TD prop predictions.

RELATED: Player Prop Bets for every NFL game

Chiefs vs. Texans Touchdown Props

First Touchdown Scorer

PLAYER FIRST TOUCHDOWN
Travis Kelce (Chiefs) 14.6% probability
Isiah Pacheco (Chiefs) 11.0% probability
Jerick McKinnon (Chiefs) 9.8% probability
JuJu Smith-Schuster (Chiefs) 6.7% probability
Marquez Valdes-Scantling (Chiefs) 5.9% probability
Rex Burkhead (Texans) 5.5% probability
Jeff Driskel (Texans) 5.4% probability
Brandin Cooks (Texans) 4.1% probability
Jordan Akins (Texans) 3.9% probability
Chris Moore (Texans) 3.3% probability

Anytime Touchdown Scorer

PLAYER ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN
Travis Kelce (Chiefs) 59.3% probability
Isiah Pacheco (Chiefs) 46.9% probability
Jerick McKinnon (Chiefs) 42.5% probability
JuJu Smith-Schuster (Chiefs) 31.9% probability
Jeff Driskel (Texans) 28.6% probability
Rex Burkhead (Texans) 28.4% probability
Marquez Valdes-Scantling (Chiefs) 27.8% probability
Brandin Cooks (Texans) 22.4% probability
Jordan Akins (Texans) 20.9% probability
Chris Moore (Texans) 19.0% probability

For NFL prop bets from EVERY game being played this week, check out our NFL Prop Bets generator to find yourself today's best plays.

Chiefs at Texans Player Prop Predictions

Of the starting quarterbacks, the Chiefs' Patrick Mahomes is predicted to have a big game and throw for 319 passing yards. While the Texans' Davis Mills is expected to throw for 191 yards.

Look for the 🔥 below, as that indicates a spot where DimersBOT has found value against the sportsbooks. To make things easy for you, we even list the best player props bets for Chiefs-Texans, below.

Chiefs Starting QB Prediction

  • Patrick Mahomes: 319 yards

Texans Starting QB Prediction

  • Davis Mills: 191 yards

Chiefs Rushing Yards Predictions

  • Isiah Pacheco: 70 yards
  • Patrick Mahomes: 28 yards 🔥
  • Jerick McKinnon: 26 yards

Texans Rushing Yards Predictions

  • Rex Burkhead: 38 yards
  • Jeff Driskel: 23 yards
  • Dare Ogunbowale: 18 yards

Chiefs Receiving Yards Predictions

  • Travis Kelce: 87 yards 🔥
  • JuJu Smith-Schuster: 77 yards 🔥
  • Jerick McKinnon: 38 yards
  • Marquez Valdes-Scantling: 34 yards
  • Kadarius Toney: 26 yards

Texans Receiving Yards Predictions

  • Brandin Cooks: 49 yards
  • Chris Moore: 39 yards
  • Jordan Akins: 31 yards
  • Phillip Dorsett: 21 yards
  • Rex Burkhead: 18 yards

NFL Player Prop Bets - Chiefs vs. Texans

🔥 BET: Patrick Mahomes Over 14.5 Rushing Yards (-119)

Our player props predictive analytics model has Mahomes down for significantly more than his line of 14.5 rushing yards (we have him getting 28) on Sunday, so at odds of -119 we are betting his OVER and getting an edge of 29.6% with PointsBet Sportsbook, where new customers can get 4x risk-free $200 bets to use on whatever they want, right here.

🔥 BET: JuJu Smith-Schuster Over 50.5 Receiving Yards (-114)

Following over 10,000 different simulations of this Sunday matchup between the Chiefs and the Texans, our player prop model has identified that the receiving yards line of 47.5 for JJuJu is too low. We have the Buffalo man down for 77 receiving yards (see above), so betting his OVER (-114) with DraftKings Sportsbook is the play, giving us an edge of 18.3% vs. the sportsbook. New DraftKings customers can score $150 in free bets from just a $5 wager here.

🔥 BET: Travis Kelce Over 76.5 Receiving Yards (-114)

The player props super computer has identified a receiving yards prop in Chiefs TE man Travis Kelce. We have him down for 87 receiving yards on Sunday at a probability of 61.9% and with a 8.6% edge. By betting this UNDER at PointsBet Sportsbook we get access to those 4x risk-free $200 bets, here.

🔥 BET: Jerick McKinnon Score a Touchdown (+245)

The Dimers player prop AI machine has found some value here for Jerick McKinnon to score a TD on Sunday. While the model has identified him as a 42.2% chance of reaching the endzone, the real value is the 4.8% edge we have vs. the sportsbooks' odds. We can bet this over at Caesars Sportsbook where new customers can score a risk-free first bet up to $1250 by tapping here.

 

RELATED: Our three NFL Sunday Best Bets from the entire slate

PROP BETS: Steelers vs. Panthers Player Props and TDs for Sunday football betting

TOUCHDOWNS: Giants vs. Commanders Player Props and TDs for Sunday football betting

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Written by
Nick Slade
Chief Content Officer

Nick Slade, with nearly two decades of experience, is the Chief Content Officer at Cipher Sports Technology Group, overseeing content for Dimers and Stats Insider, and specializes in soccer, NBA and NHL betting.

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