NFL Week 14 First and Anytime Touchdown Scorer Predictions [2023]

The NFL is back for another week of action, and our team of data experts has run thousands of data-driven simulations of each Week 14 game to uncover which players are most likely to score a touchdown and which are the best TD bets to make.

This week’s NFL slate features big names such as Christian McCaffrey, Tyreek Hill and Tony Pollard, with each of these guys projected as high chances of scoring a touchdown in their respective games in Week 14.

In this article, you will find the following for today's games:

• First touchdown scorer predictions
• Anytime touchdown scorer predictions
• Touchdown scorer prop bets

This week's TD scorers are brought to you by Bet365, where new users can secure $150 in bonus bets just for betting $5 on any of the below players to score in Week 14.

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MORE: Dimers' Week 14 NFL Predictions are based on simulating every game 10,000 times

Anytime Touchdown Scorer Predictions - NFL Week 14, 2023

After simulating the Week 14 NFL slate thousands of times, our model has discovered the most likely players to score a touchdown across all of this week’s games.

Player (Team)	Anytime Touchdown Probability
Christian McCaffrey (49ers)	73.2%
Tyreek Hill (Dolphins)	57.9%
Tony Pollard (Cowboys)	55.5%
Bijan Robinson (Falcons)	55.1%
Zack Moss (Colts)	54.5%
Javonte Williams (Broncos)	54.5%
Raheem Mostert (Dolphins)	53.2%
CeeDee Lamb (Cowboys)	52.3%
De'Von Achane (Dolphins)	51.6%
Austin Ekeler (Chargers)	49.7%

First Touchdown Predictions - NFL Week 14, 2023

As well as providing you with the players who are most likely to score an anytime touchdown, DimersBOT also has the 10 players most likely to score the first touchdown in their respective games across all of the Week 14 NFL action.

Player (Team)	First Touchdown Probability
Christian McCaffrey (49ers)	22.3%
Bijan Robinson (Falcons)	16.1%
Tyreek Hill (Dolphins)	14.7%
Javonte Williams (Broncos)	14.4%
Breece Hall (Jets)	14.0%
Zack Moss (Colts)	13.9%
Raheem Mostert (Dolphins)	13.6%
De'Von Achane (Dolphins)	12.9%
Tony Pollard (Cowboys)	12.8%
Travis Etienne (Jaguars)	12.2%

Keep in mind that these lists only show the players most likely to score an anytime or first touchdown in NFL Week 14, which does not necessarily mean that our model recommends betting on them.

To increase your chances of winning, it's important to look out for the best odds available, as well as checking out our recommended bets below.

NFL Touchdown Best Bets and Odds - Week 14, 2023

Tony Pollard Anytime Touchdown Scorer (+100)

• Odds: +100
• Edge: 5.5%
• Probability: 55.5%
• Game: Eagles vs. Cowboys (8:20PM EST)
• Click here to place this bet with FanDuel Sportsbook

Our model has identified the best NFL touchdown bet for Week 14, which is in the game between the Eagles and Cowboys. The bet is on Tony Pollard (DAL) to score a touchdown at odds of +100 with FanDuel Sportsbook, where our model has found an edge of 5.5%.

Javonte Williams Anytime Touchdown Scorer (+125)

• Odds: +125
• Edge: 10.1%
• Probability: 54.5%
• Game: Broncos vs. Chargers (4:25PM EST)
• Click here to place this bet with DraftKings Sportsbook

The next best NFL touchdown bet for Week 14 comes in the Broncos vs. Chargers game, where our model has found an edge of 10.1% on Javonte Williams from the Denver Broncos at odds of +125 with DraftKings Sportsbook to score an anytime touchdown.

Taysom Hill Anytime Touchdown Scorer (+170)

• Odds: +170
• Edge: 8.4%
• Probability: 45.4%
• Game: Panthers vs. Saints
• Click here to place this bet with DraftKings Sportsbook

Our NFL model has discovered another +EV touchdown bet for Week 14, which is in the game between the Panthers and Saints. This pick is for the Saints' Taysom Hill to score an anytime touchdown at odds of +170 with DraftKings Sportsbook.

With a probability of 45.4%, bettors are gaining an edge of 8.4% on the sportsbook odds with this pick.

Davante Adams Anytime Touchdown Scorer (+165)

• Odds: +165
• Edge: 6.8%
• Probability: 44.5%
• Game: Vikings vs. Raiders (4:05PM EST)
• Click here to place this bet with FanDuel Sportsbook

The next best NFL touchdown bet for Week 14 comes in the Vikings vs. Raiders game, where our model has found a juicy edge of 6.8% on Davante Adams of the Raiders at odds of +165 with FanDuel Sportsbook to score anytime.

Justin Fields Anytime Touchdown Scorer (+175)

• Odds: +175
• Edge: 7.5%
• Probability: 43.9%
• Game: Lions vs. Bears (1:00PM ET)
• Click here to place this bet with FanDuel Sportsbook

The fifth bet that our NFL model has found an edge on for Week 14 is Justin Fields to score an anytime touchdown in the Lions vs. Bears clash. After simulating the game thousands of times, our model has detected a nice 7.5% edge for those who take the +175 odds available at FanDuel Sportsbook.

MORE: NFL Props for Week 14, 2023

You can unlock a generous reward of $200 in bonus bets by placing a simple $5 wager on one of these NFL touchdown picks (including a parlay) at DraftKings. Click ➡️ here ⬅️ to sign up now!

What Is an Edge in Betting?

The edge at Dimers is when we think the probability of an event occurring is more likely than the best NFL odds available. Essentially, it means that Dimers believes a bet has a better chance of winning than the sportsbooks do. That's why the higher the edge, the better.

Although it does not guarantee a win, taking picks with a higher betting edge can increase your chances of being profitable in the long run. This is an essential aspect of a successful sports betting strategy.

Today's NFL Touchdown Betting Picks - Week 14, 2023

This NFL touchdown scorer article has been partially generated using automated processes and AI technology. Our goal is to provide timely and accurate updates on NFL touchdown scorer predictions for Week 14, and automation assists in data collection, analysis, and formatting. Human editing and quality control is performed to ensure the content meets our editorial guidelines.

All of Dimers' NFL first and anytime touchdown picks and predictions for Week 14 have been generated thanks to thousands of data-driven game simulations, providing reliable and accurate NFL predictions to help you make informed decisions.

If you plan to use this week's NFL touchdown scorer picks for your personal gambling, it's crucial that you gamble responsibly and manage your finances effectively, keeping in mind that prop bets, including TD scorers, often have higher odds and therefore less of a chance of winning than most straight up plays.

If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, crisis counseling and referral services can be accessed by calling 1-800-GAMBLER.

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This article is part of our NFL player props and NFL best bets series.

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