NFL Week 13 First and Anytime Touchdown Scorer Predictions [2023]

The NFL is back for another big week, and we've run thousands of data-driven simulations of each Week 13 game to figure out which players are most likely to score a touchdown and which are the best TD bets to make.

This week’s NFL slate features big names such as Christian McCaffrey, Zach Moss and Tyreek Hill, with each of these guys projected as high chances of getting in for six in their respective games in Week 13.

In this article, you will find the following for today's games:

• First touchdown scorer predictions
• Anytime touchdown scorer predictions
• Touchdown scorer prop bets

This week's TD scorers are proudly brought to you by Bet365, where new players can secure $150 in bonus bets just for betting $5 on any of the below players to score in Week 13.

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MORE: Dimers' Week 13 NFL Predictions are based on simulating every game 10,000 times

Anytime Touchdown Scorer Predictions - NFL Week 13, 2023

After simulating the Week 13 NFL slate 10K times, DimersBOT has determined the most likely players to score a touchdown across all of this week’s action.

Player (Team)	Anytime Touchdown Probability
Christian McCaffrey (49ers)	67.8%
Zack Moss (Colts)	57.4%
Tyreek Hill (Dolphins)	57.3%
Austin Ekeler (Chargers)	57.2%
Kyren Williams (Rams)	56.7%
Raheem Mostert (Dolphins)	57.2%
Najee Harris (Steelers)	49.2%
Courtland Sutton (Broncos)	48.0%
Jahmyr Gibbs (Lions)	47.0%
Jalen Hurts (Eagles)	46.7%

First Touchdown Predictions - NFL Week 13, 2023

As well as providing you with the players who are most likely to score an anytime touchdown, DimersBOT also has the 10 players most likely to score the first touchdown in their respective games across all of the Week 13 NFL action.

Player (Team)	First Touchdown Probability
Christian McCaffrey (49ers)	18.8%
Austin Ekeler (Chargers)	17.0%
Kyren Williams (Rams)	16.4%
Zack Moss (Colts)	16.3%
Travis Etienne (Jaguars)	14.4%
Bijan Robinson (Falcons)	14.2%
Tyreek Hill (Dolphins)	14.2%
Breece Hall (Jets)	13.6%
Najee Harris (Steelers)	13.4%
Raheem Mostert (Dolphins)	13.3%

Keep in mind that these lists only show the players most likely to score an anytime or first touchdown in NFL Week 13, which does not necessarily mean that our model recommends betting on them.

To increase your chances of winning, it's important to look out for the best odds available, as well as checking out our recommended bets below.

NFL Touchdown Best Bets and Odds - Week 13, 2023

George Pickens Anytime Touchdown Scorer (+240)

• Odds: +240
• Edge: 8.8%
• Probability: 38.2%
• Game: Cardinals vs. Steelers (1:00PM EST)
• Click here to place this bet with FanDuel Sportsbook

Our model has identified the best NFL touchdown bet for Week 13, which is in the matchup between the Cardinals and Steelers. The bet is on George Pickens (PIT) to score a touchdown at odds of +240 with FanDuel Sportsbook, where our model has found an edge of 8.8%.

Dorian Thompson-Robinson Anytime Touchdown Scorer (+475)

• Odds: +475
• Edge: 13.8%
• Probability: 31.2%
• Game: Browns vs. Rams (4:25PM EST)
• Click here to place this bet with DraftKings Sportsbook

The next best NFL touchdown bet for Week 13 comes in the Browns vs. Rams game, where our model has found an edge of 13.8% on Dorian Thompson-Robinson from the Cleveland Browns at odds of +475 with DraftKings Sportsbook to score an anytime touchdown.

Baker Mayfield Anytime Touchdown Scorer (+550)

• Odds: +550
• Edge: 13.9%
• Probability: 29.3%
• Game: Panthers vs. Buccaneers
• Click here to place this bet with DraftKings Sportsbook

Our NFL model has identified another +EV touchdown prop for this week's action, which is in the game between the Panthers and Buccaneers. The pick is for the Buccaneers' Baker Mayfield to score an anytime TD at odds of +550 with DraftKings Sportsbook.

With a probability of 29.3%, bettors are gaining an edge of 13.9% on the sportsbooks with this play.

Jameson Williams Anytime Touchdown Scorer (+360)

• Odds: +360
• Edge: 7.5%
• Probability: 29.3%
• Game: Lions vs. Saints (1:00PM EST)
• Click here to place this bet with FanDuel Sportsbook

The NFL Week 13 touchdown bets continue in the Lions vs. Saints game, where DimersBOT has found a juicy edge of 7.5% on Jameson Williams (DET) at odds of +360 with FanDuel Sportsbook to score anytime.

Braxton Berrios Anytime Touchdown Scorer (+550)

• Odds: +550
• Edge: 12.2%
• Probability: 27.5%
• Game: Dolphins vs. Commanders (8:30PM ET)
• Click here to place this bet with FanDuel Sportsbook

The fifth bet that our NFL model has discovered an edge on for Week 13 is Braxton Berrios to score an anytime touchdown in the Dolphins vs. Commanders matchup. After simulating this game 10,000 times, DimersBOT has detected a nice 12.2% edge for bettors who take the +550 odds available at FanDuel Sportsbook.

MORE: NFL Props for Week 13, 2023

You can unlock a generous reward of $200 in bonus bets by placing a simple $5 wager on any of these NFL touchdown picks (including a parlay) at DraftKings. Click ➡️ here ⬅️ to sign up now!

What Is an Edge in Betting?

The edge at Dimers is when we think the probability of an event occurring is more likely than the best NFL odds available. Essentially, it means that Dimers believes a bet has a better chance of winning than the sportsbooks do. That's why the higher the edge, the better.

Although it does not guarantee a win, taking picks with a higher betting edge can increase your chances of being profitable in the long run. This is an essential aspect of a successful sports betting strategy.

Today's NFL Touchdown Betting Picks - Week 13, 2023

All of Dimers' NFL first and anytime touchdown picks and predictions for Week 13 have been generated thanks to thousands of data-driven game simulations, providing reliable and accurate NFL predictions to help you make informed decisions.

If you plan to use this week's NFL touchdown scorer picks for your personal gambling, it's crucial that you gamble responsibly and manage your finances effectively, keeping in mind that prop bets, including TD scorers, often have higher odds and therefore less of a chance of winning than most straight up plays.

If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, crisis counseling and referral services can be accessed by calling 1-800-GAMBLER.

More on NFL

This article is part of our NFL player props and NFL best bets series.

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