NFL Week 12 First and Anytime Touchdown Scorer Predictions [2023]

The NFL is back for another week of action, and we've run 10,000 data-driven simulations of each Week 12 game to figure out which players are most likely to score a touchdown and which are the best TD bets to make.

This week’s NFL slate features offensive stars such as Jonathan Taylor, Austin Ekeler and Jalen Hurts, with each of these players projected as high chances of getting in for six for their respective teams in Week 12.

And after going a perfect three for three with our recommended bets on Thanksgiving, we are back with the following for Sunday's Week 12 action:

• First touchdown scorer predictions
• Anytime touchdown scorer predictions
• Touchdown scorer prop bets

By using these tools, you're giving yourself an advantage over everyone else, including the sportsbooks in Week 12.

This week's TD scorers are proudly brought to you by Bet365, where new players can grab $150 in bonus bets just for betting $5 on any of the below players to score in Week 12.

Simply click ➡️ here ⬅️ to get started!

MORE: Dimers' Week 12 NFL Predictions are based on simulating every game 10,000 times

Anytime Touchdown Scorer Predictions - NFL Week 12, 2023

After simulating the Week 12 NFL slate 10,000 times, our supercomputer has discovered the most likely players to score a touchdown across all of this week’s action.

Player (Team)	Anytime Touchdown Probability
Jonathan Taylor (Colts)	64.2%
Austin Ekeler (Chargers)	57.0%
Jalen Hurts (Eagles)	54.5%
Cooper Kupp (Rams)	53.5%
Travis Etienne (Jaguars)	51.0%
Saquon Barkley (Giants)	50.4%
Bijan Robinson (Falcons)	47.5%
Tyreek Hill (Dolphins)	47.2%
Derrick Henry (Titans)	46.7%
James Conner (Cardinals)	46.2%

First Touchdown Predictions - NFL Week 12, 2023

As well as providing you with the players who are most likely to score an anytime touchdown, DimersBOT also has the 10 players most likely to score the first touchdown in their respective games across all of the Week 12 NFL action.

Player (Team)	First Touchdown Probability
Jonathan Taylor (Colts)	18.3%
Saquon Barkley (Giants)	15.2%
Austin Ekeler (Chargers)	14.2%
Cooper Kupp (Rams)	14.1%
Derrick Henry (Titans)	13.6%
Jalen Hurts (Eagles)	13.5%
Tyreek Hill (Dolphins)	13.2%
Raheem Mostert (Dolphins)	12.9%
Jaylen Warren (Steelers)	12.6%
Bijan Robinson (Falcons)	12.6%

Keep in mind that these lists only show the players most likely to score an anytime or first touchdown in NFL Week 12, which does not necessarily mean that our model recommends betting on them.

To increase your chances of winning, it's important to look out for the best odds available, as well as checking out our recommended bets below.

NFL Touchdown Best Bets and Odds - Week 12, 2023

Cooper Kupp Anytime Touchdown Scorer (+120)

• Odds: +120
• Edge: 8.0%
• Probability: 53.5%
• Game: Rams vs. Cardinals (4:05PM ET)

Our model has identified the best NFL touchdown bet for Week 12, which comes in the matchup between the Rams and Cardinals. The bet is on Cooper Kupp (LA) to score a touchdown at odds of +120 with DraftKings Sportsbook, where you can gain an an edge of 8.0%.

Keaton Mitchell Anytime Touchdown Scorer (+235)

• Odds: +235
• Edge: 14.5%
• Probability: 44.3%
• Game: Ravens vs. Chargers (8:20PM ET)

The next best NFL touchdown bet for Week 12 comes in the Ravens vs. Chargers game, where our model has found an edge of 14.5% on Keaton Mitchell from the Baltimore Ravens at odds of +235 with DraftKings Sportsbook to score an anytime touchdown.

Davante Adams Anytime Touchdown Scorer (+200)

• Odds: +200
• Edge: 8.4%
• Probability: 41.7%
• Game: Chiefs vs. Raiders (4:25PM ET)

Our NFL model has discovered another +EV touchdown bet for Week 12, which is in the game between the Chiefs and Raiders. The pick is for the Raiders' Davante Adams to score an anytime TD at odds of +200 with FanDuel Sportsbook.

With a probability of 41.7%, bettors are gaining an edge of 8.4% on the sportsbooks with this bet.

Jaylen Warren Anytime Touchdown Scorer (+210)

• Odds: +210
• Edge: 9.1%
• Probability: 41.4%
• Game: Steelers vs. Bengals (1:00PM ET)

The NFL Week 12 touchdown bets continue in the Steelers vs. Bengals game, where our model has found a juicy edge of 9.1% on Jaylen Warren (PIT) at odds of +210 with FanDuel Sportsbook to score anytime.

Gabe Davis Anytime Touchdown Scorer (+235)

• Odds: +235
• Edge: 4.0%
• Probability: 33.9%
• Game: Bills vs. Eagles (8:30PM ET)

The fifth bet that our NFL model has found an edge on for Week 12 is Gabe Davis to score an anytime touchdown in the Bills vs. Eagles matchup. After simulating the game 10K times, DimersBOT has identified a nice 4.0% edge for those who take the +235 odds available at DraftKings Sportsbook.

MORE: NFL Props for Week 12, 2023

You can unlock a generous reward of $200 in bonus bets by placing a simple $5 wager on any of these NFL touchdown picks (including a parlay on all five) at DraftKings. Click ➡️ here ⬅️ to sign up now!

What Is an Edge in Betting?

The edge at Dimers is when we think the probability of an event occurring is more likely than the best NFL odds available. Essentially, it means that Dimers believes a bet has a better chance of winning than the sportsbooks do. That's why the higher the edge, the better.

Although it does not guarantee a win, taking picks with a higher betting edge can increase your chances of being profitable in the long run. This is an essential aspect of a successful sports betting strategy.

Today's NFL Touchdown Betting Picks - Week 12, 2023

All of Dimers' NFL first and anytime touchdown picks and predictions for Week 12 have been generated thanks to thousands of data-driven game simulations, providing reliable and accurate NFL predictions to help you make informed decisions.

If you plan to use this week's NFL touchdown scorer picks for your personal gambling, it's crucial that you gamble responsibly and manage your finances effectively, keeping in mind that prop bets, including TD scorers, often have higher odds and therefore less of a chance of winning than most straight up plays.

If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, crisis counseling and referral services can be accessed by calling 1-800-GAMBLER.

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This article is part of our NFL player props and NFL best bets series.

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