NFL Week 10 First and Anytime Touchdown Scorer Predictions [2023]

The NFL is back for another week of action, and our team of data experts has run thousands of data-driven simulations of each Week 10 game to determine which players are most likely to score a touchdown and which are the best TD bets to make.

NFL first and anytime touchdown scorer props are some of the more popular prop bets among football bettors. By using our Week 10 first touchdown scorer predictions and anytime touchdown scorer predictions, you can get an advantage over everyone else.

Utilizing our cutting-edge computer power and data, Dimers.com has been able to identify where the best value can be found for Week 10.

This week's TD scorers are proudly brought to you by Bet365, where new users can grab $150 in bonus bets just for betting $5 on any of the below players to score in Week 10.

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This week’s NFL slate features big names such as Christian McCaffrey, Tony Pollard and CeeDee Lamb, with each of these guys projected to have a high probability of scoring a touchdown for their respective teams in Week 10.

Here, we will show you which NFL players are the most likely to score touchdowns in Week 10, as well as the touchdown prop bets you should consider making for Week 10 of the 2023 NFL season.

MORE: Every NFL Week 10 Game Simulated 10,000 Times

Anytime Touchdown Scorer Predictions - NFL Week 10, 2023

After simulating the Week 10 NFL slate 10,000 times, our model has determined the most likely players to score a touchdown across all of this week’s matchups.

Player (Team)	Anytime Touchdown Probability
Christian McCaffrey (49ers)	65.7%
Tony Pollard (Cowboys)	58.0%
CeeDee Lamb (Cowboys)	57.4%
Jonathan Taylor (Colts)	55.9%
Breece Hall (Jets)	55.2%
Derrick Henry (Titans)	52.6%
Austin Ekeler (Chargers)	52.3%
Javonte Williams (Broncos)	51.7%
Stefon Diggs (Bills)	50.5%
Ja'Marr Chase (Bengals)	49.1%

First Touchdown Predictions - NFL Week 10, 2023

As well as providing you with the players who are most likely to score an anytime touchdown, DimersBOT also has the 10 players most likely to score the first touchdown in their respective games across all of the Week 10 NFL action.

Player (Team)	First Touchdown Probability
Christian McCaffrey (49ers)	19.0%
Breece Hall (Jets)	17.1%
CeeDee Lamb (Cowboys)	16.9%
Tony Pollard (Cowboys)	16.8%
Derrick Henry (Titans)	15.6%
Jonathan Taylor (Colts)	15.5%
Chuba Hubbard (Panthers)	14.7%
Josh Jacobs (Raiders)	13.0%
Adam Thielen (Panthers)	13.0%
Najee Harris (Steelers)	13.0%

Keep in mind that these lists only show the players most likely to score an anytime or first touchdown in NFL Week 10, which does not necessarily mean that our model recommends betting on them.

To increase your chances of winning, it's important to look out for the best odds available, as well as checking out our recommended bets below.

NFL Touchdown Best Bets and Odds - Week 10, 2023

Bijan Robinson Anytime Touchdown Scorer (+200)

• Odds: +200 via PointsBet
• Edge: 13.5%
• Probability: 46.8%
• Game: Falcons vs. Cardinals (4:05PM EST)
• Click here to place this bet with PointsBet

Our model has identified the best NFL touchdown bet for Week 10, which comes in the matchup between the Falcons and Cardinals. The bet is on Bijan Robinson from the Atlanta Falcons to score a touchdown at odds of +200 with PointsBet, where you can gain an an edge of 13.5%.

George Pickens Anytime Touchdown Scorer (+210)

• Odds: +210 via PointsBet
• Edge: 13.1%
• Probability: 45.3%
• Game: Packers vs. Steelers (1:00PM EST)
• Click here to place this bet with PointsBet

The next best NFL touchdown bet for Week 10 comes in the Packers vs. Steelers game, where our model has found an edge of 13.1% on George Pickens from the Pittsburgh Steelers at odds of +210 with PointsBet to score an anytime touchdown.

Josh Downs Anytime Touchdown Scorer (+270)

• Odds: +270 via DraftKings Sportsbook
• Edge: 8.8%
• Probability: 35.8%
• Game: Colts vs. Patriots
• Click here to place this bet with DraftKings Sportsbook

Our NFL model has identified another +EV touchdown bet for this week's action, which is in the game between the Colts and Patriots. The bet is on the Colts' Josh Downs to score an anytime TD at odds of +270 with DraftKings Sportsbook.

With a probability of 35.8%, bettors are gaining an edge of 8.8% on the sportsbooks with this bet.

Jaxon Smith-Njigba Anytime Touchdown Scorer (+290)

• Odds: +290 via PointsBet
• Edge: 7.3%
• Probability: 32.9%
• Game: Commanders vs. Seahawks (4:25PM EST)
• Click here to place this bet with PointsBet

The NFL Week 10 touchdown bets continue in the Commanders vs. Seahawks game, where our model has found a juicy edge of 7.3% on Jaxon Smith-Njigba from the Seahawks at odds of +290 with PointsBet to score anytime.

Rashid Shaheed Anytime Touchdown Scorer (+375)

• Odds: +375 via PointsBet
• Edge: 8.4%
• Probability: 29.4%
• Game: Saints vs. Vikings (8:30PM ET)
• Click here to place this bet with PointsBet

The fifth bet that our NFL model has found an edge on for Week 10 is Rashid Shaheed to score an anytime touchdown in the Saints vs. Vikings matchup. After simulating the game thousands of times, our model has detected a solid 8.4% edge for those who take the +375 odds available at PointsBet.

MORE: NFL Props for Week 10, 2023

Speaking of $5 bets, you can unlock a generous reward of $200 in bonus bets by placing a simple $5 wager on any of this week's NFL touchdown picks (including the parlay) at DraftKings. Click ➡️ here ⬅️ to get started!

What Is an Edge in Betting?

The edge at Dimers is when we think the probability of an event occurring is more likely than the best odds available. Essentially, it means that Dimers believes a bet has a better chance of winning than the sportsbooks do. That's why the higher the edge, the better.

Although it does not guarantee a win, taking picks with a higher betting edge can increase your chances of being profitable in the long run. This is an essential aspect of a successful sports betting strategy.

Today's NFL Touchdown Betting Picks - Week 10, 2023

All of Dimers' NFL first and anytime touchdown picks and predictions for Week 10 have been generated thanks to thousands of data-driven game simulations, providing reliable and accurate NFL predictions to help you make informed decisions.

If you plan to use this week's NFL touchdown scorer picks for your personal gambling, it's crucial that you gamble responsibly and manage your finances effectively. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, crisis counseling and referral services can be accessed by calling 1-800-GAMBLER.

More About NFL

As well as providing NFL props such as the touchdown scorer props featured above for Week 10, we also provide a comprehensive list of NFL prop trends to help your football bets every day. These NFL betting trends will tell you how often players are hitting certain prop lines, with numbers for every single NFL matchup going down in Week 10.