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NFL Same Game Parlay Tonight: Ravens vs. Chargers on Sunday Night Football
The 2023 NFL season continues with Week 12 action as the Ravens meet the Chargers in Los Angeles on Sunday Night Football. Dimers has got you covered for the main event as we put our NFL player prop bets to the test, combining our model's best parlay picks of the night into a Same Game Parlay that you're going to want to lock in and ride out with us.
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NFL +550 Same Game Parlay For Sunday
PARLAY PICKS | ODDS |
Lamar Jackson (BAL) Over 43.5 Rushing Yards |
-120 |
Justin Herbert (LAC) Under 251.5 Passing Yards |
-125 |
Gus Edwards (BAL) Anytime Touchdown |
-105 |
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Ravens vs. Chargers Parlay Analysis
Ravens vs. Chargers 8:15PM ET
LEG 1: Lamar Jackson (BAL) Over 43.5 Rushing Yards (-120)
This game *should* be a potential AFC Championship preview but the Chargers can't seem to put together wins. However, they have a soft defense and playmakers on offense which generally makes for great betting. We'll start with Ravens QB Lamar Jackson and take him to clear his rushing yards mark. The Chargers' defense allows 102.0 yards per game on the ground and that's with them seeing just a 37.3% rush play rate from opponents. Meanwhile, the Ravens' rushing offense ranks 1st in rush rate, 2nd in yards/rush, 1st in yards/game and 1st in Rush TDs/game. It's a nightmare matchup for the Chargers and with Lamar averaging 9 attempts per game, this is a great spot for him. DimersBOT projects Jackson for 54 rushing yards with a 71% probability to clear his line.
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LEG 2: Justin Herbert (LAC) Under 251.5 Passing Yards (-125)
Speaking of nightmare matchups, the Chargers don't exactly draw a favorable one on the other side of the ball, either. Despite Baltimore seeing a 62.5% pass play rate from opponents (fourth-highest in the league), they allow just 169.7 passing yards per game, the third-best mark in the NFL. Teams are forced to pass against them as their rushing defense is so stout, but they shut them down through the air in response. Justin Herbert has gone under this mark four times, and just cleared it twice, with 259 and 260 passing yards in those two instances. Those six games all came against a top-12 passing defense. DimersBOT projects Herbert for 238 total passing yards tonight, with just one receiver with 50+ yard potential (Keenan Allen).
LEG 3: Gus Edwards (BAL) Anytime TD Scorer (-105)
What better way to attack the Chargers' aforementioned middling rush defense than with the hottest TD scorer in the league on a top rushing offense? The Gus Bus has scored in five straight games, with nine touchdowns over that span. He's been efficient with over 4 yards per carry and as previously mentioned, the Ravens score the most rushing touchdowns per game in the NFL. Now, Keaton Mitchell gets a higher probability from our model *and* has much better odds at +245, but we've already locked him into our Anytime TD Round Robin that we've previously posted, so we don't want to overexpose ourselves to one TD prop, and Mitchell presents great value on his own. DimersBOT gives Edwards a 38% probability to find the endzone on SNF.
🏈 Ravens vs. Chargers Predictions
📈 Betting preview: Ravens vs. Chargers
NFL +550 Same Game Parlay Sunday, November 26, 2023
1️⃣ Lamar Jackson (BAL) Over 44.5 Rushing Yards
2️⃣ Justin Herbert (LAC) Under 251.5 Passing Yards
3️⃣ Gus Edwards (BAL) Anytime Touchdown
The best odds for this SGP are over at DraftKings Sportsbook and are subject to change.
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