NFL Same Game Parlay Tonight: Broncos vs. Bills on Monday Night Football

The 2023 NFL season finishes up Week 10's action with an AFC clash between the Broncos and Bills and Dimers has got you covered for Monday night's main event as we put our NFL player prop bets to the test, combining our model's best parlay picks of the night into a Same Game Parlay that you're going to want to lock in and ride out with us.

MORE: Who Will Win the Super Bowl?

We say this all the time, but it bears repeating: you've got to have more than one funded US Sportsbook account when betting on sports. If you're not signed up at an active book in your state, you're leaving money on the table.

For example, did you know that new users at DraftKings Sportsbook can get $200 in bonus bets after betting just $5? That's not all. New users can also claim a Sweat-Free Parlay every single day during the NFL season. That means you can bet tonight's SGP sweat-free, and that's easily one of the best promos to take advantage of when betting on football this season. 

NFL +490 Same Game Parlay For Monday

PARLAY PICKS	ODDS
Stefon Diggs Anytime TD	-130
Gabe Davis (BUF) Over 37.5 Receiving Yards	-115
Javonte Williams (DEN) Under 16.5 Receiving Yards	-125

MORE: Get the Best Bets Today

Broncos vs. Bills Parlay Analysis

Broncos vs. Bills 8:15PM ET

LEG 1: Stefon Diggs Anytime TD (-130)

Let's get started with a chalky TD play supported by our predictive model. Stefon Diggs is our second-most likely TD scorer in this game at a 51.5% probability. Our highest probability scorer is Javonte Williams at 54%, which makes his odds of +145 exceptional value and worth a play on its own, but for the purposes of this parlay, we're going with one of the most reliable scorers in all of the NFL. Diggs has found the endzone seven times this season, including in two of his last three games. Meanwhile, the Broncos allow 3.1 TDs per game (30th in the NFL) and the biggest Yards/Pass mark in the league, meaning we've got big-play potential for one of the best big-play guys in the league.

MORE: Best NFL Prop Picks

LEG 2: Gabe Davis (BUF) Over 37.5 Receiving Yards (-115)

Yes, Gabe Davis is a volatile receiver, clearing this mark with ease four times this year, while also laying a pair of total duds in the last three games. Unsurprisingly, his best games are tied to his larger target share, but as we mentioned above, the Broncos allow the highest yards per pass mark in the league and Gabe Davis runs a ton of big pass routes. The Broncos look like a run funnel with the most yards per game allowed on the ground, but that's a bit inflated from the 340-rushing yard game they allowed to the Dolphins in the early season, as they're down to 98.3 yards per game over their last three. If Denver wants any chance of hanging in this game, they'll need to minimize Diggs' impact, ideally leaving Gabe Davis open for a few chunk plays. Our model projects Davis for 54 receiving yards with a 66% probability to clear his line.

---

LEG 3: Javonte Williams (DEN) Under 16.5 Receiving Yards (-125)

We close out with an under that's been very reliable this season. If Williams were to clear this mark, it'd be his second-highest receiving output of the season, going under in every game played except the aforementioned blowout against the Dolphins when he notched 23 receiving yards. He does see some work, getting at least three targets in all but one game, hauling in 17 of a total 22 this year, but he doesn't do much with them. Add in that Samaje Perine gets 3+ targets per game and Jaleel McLaughlin gets his share of backfield touches and targets and it's no surprise our model projects a 72.4% probability of Williams going under tonight against a Buffalo defense allowing an average of 46.7 total rushing yards per game to RBs.

🏈 Broncos vs. Bills Predictions
📈 Betting preview: Broncos vs. Bills

---

Let’s cash out this +490 winner on Monday Night Football, and don't forget to bet this with DraftKings Sportsbook where new users can get $200 in bonus bets after betting just $5 as well as a Sweat-Free Parlay every single day during the NFL season!

 

NFL +490 Same Game Parlay Monday, November 13, 2023

1️⃣ Stefon Diggs Anytime TD
2️⃣ Gabe Davis (BUF) Over 37.5 Receiving Yards
3️⃣ Javonte Williams (DEN) Under 16.5 Receiving Yards

The best odds for this SGP are over at DraftKings Sportsbook and are subject to change.

Don't miss Dimers' favorite Sports Betting Sites!

Please remember to enjoy gambling responsibly. Responsible gambling means setting limits, staying in control, and understanding that luck is just part of the game. Make informed choices, set a budget, and know when to take a break. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, crisis counseling and referral services can be accessed by calling 1-800-GAMBLER.