NFL Same Game Parlay Tonight: 49ers @ Seahawks on Thursday Night Football

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Written by Dave Garofolo
NFL Same Game Parlay Tonight: 49ers @ Seahawks on Thursday Night Football

Thanksgiving Day's NFL action wraps up with an NFC West clash between the 49ers and Seahawks in Seattle. Dimers has got you covered for Thursday night's main event as we put our NFL player prop bets to the test, combining our model's best parlay picks of the night into a Same Game Parlay that you're going to want to lock in and ride out with us.

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We say this all the time, but it bears repeating: you've got to have more than one funded US Sportsbook account when betting on sports. If you're not signed up at an active book in your state, you're leaving money on the table.

For example, did you know that new users at DraftKings Sportsbook can get $150 in bonus bets after betting just $5? That's easily one of the best sign-up offers for new users right now. Today's best odds are on FanDuel, but you can bet this no-sweat at both books today.

 

NFL +661 Same Game Parlay For Thursday

PARLAY PICKS ODDS

Brock Purdy (SF) Over 250.5 Passing Yards

-114

Zach Charbonnet (SEA) Over 19.5 Receiving Yards

-114

Brandon Aiyuk (SF) Anytime TD

+185

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49ers vs. Seahawks Parlay Analysis

San Francisco 49ers @ Seattle Seahawks 8:20PM ET

LEG 1: Brock Purdy (SF) Over 250.5 Passing Yards 

Let's get started with the man under center for the 49ers, Brock Purdy. "Mr. Irrelevant" no longer, Purdy has risen to the challenge and has been doing the one thing he really needs to do to find success in this 49ers' offense: get the ball to his playmakers. Between Christian McCaffery, Geroge Kittle and Deebo Samual, Purdy's supporting cast is elite at racking up yards after the catch, not to mention Brandon Aiyuk has become a major deep ball threat. Any time one of these guys gets the ball in their hands with any kind of open space, they're a big play waiting to happen. Purdy's cleared this number in all but one game since going under the first two weeks of the season, and he'll face a Seahawks defense allowing a nearly 60% opponent pass play rate and sit in the bottom third of the league as a passing defense. Our model gives Purdy a 60% chance to go over this number, projecting him for 274 yards on the day.

MORE: Best NFL Prop Picks

LEG 2: Zach Charbonnet (SEA) Over 19.5 Receiving Yards

For our second leg, we're looking at the Seahawks' likely de-facto RB1 today with Kenneth Walker doubtful as of this writing. Zach Charbonnet has shown some signs of upside this season and has seen 11 targets over his last two games. He ended up seeing 15 carries in his last game with Walker exiting early and while he's likely to take on a larger role today, we don't see any reason his use as a receiver will diminish since he's been taking on those duties as of late. Pete Carroll has never been one to shy away from a backfield committee and with just a few days to prepare, we doubt Charbonnet will see a workhorse role. Our model identifies a 60.3% probability that he clears this mark, projecting him for 25 yards receiving.


LEG 3: Brandon Aiyuk (SF) Anytime TD

We close out as we usually do with a TD prop. You'll find Brandon Aiyuk is also in our TD Scorer parlay that we previously shared which we were able to boost by 33% at DraftKings. Well, we like our guy so we're sticking with him here. Aiyuk has scored in back-to-back weeks and sees the 49ers' third-most red zone targets. Those targets are certainly working, as he's hauled in five of eight in the RZ, registering three scores. Our model's TD probability for Aiyuk has been climbing and he's now at 41%, giving us massive value in his odds of +185 on FanDuel. If the Seahawks want any chance of keeping this game close, they'll have to try and contain CMC and commit extra effort to the run game, leaving things open downfield or in the red zone for our man.

🏈 49ers vs. Seahawks Predictions
📈 Betting preview: 49ers vs. Seahawks


NFL +661 Same Game Parlay Thursday, November 23, 2023

1️⃣ Brock Purdy Over 250.5 Passing Yards
2️⃣ Zach Charbonnet Over 19.5 Receiving Yards
3️⃣ Brandon Aiyuk Anytime TD

The best odds for this SGP are over at DraftKings Sportsbook and are subject to change.

 

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Written by
Dave Garofolo
Content Producer

Dave Garofolo uses sophisticated AI-driven analytics to make predictions and evaluate player performances in the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM, and PGA TOUR tournaments, crafting insightful game and prop previews.

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