NFL Same Game Parlay Picks: Packers vs. Lions SGP for Thursday Night Football

Week 14 in the NFL kicks off with a monster NFC North clash between the Green Bay Packers and Detroit Lions on TNF and we've teamed up with sports bettor TheOddsFather to dial up a Same Game Parlay with the help of the Dimers' NFL player prop box score projections.

The Lions have one hand on the No. 1 seed in the NFC, but anything can happen in a divisional game against the 9-3 Packers who will be looking to make a statement as we inch closer to the postseason.

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+400 Green Bay Packers vs. Detroit Lions NFL Same Game Parlay Picks

After simulating tonight's game over 10,000 times, our model has identified the following projections and probabilities for the picks that make up our Same Game Parlay in Packers vs. Lions on Primetime, Thursday Night Football.

MORE: Green Bay Packers vs. Detroit Lions Full Game Betting Preview

Leg 1: Green Bay Packers +7.5 

It's just a fact of the NFL that things can tend to get a little weird when two divisional rivals come up against each other. We saw it last week on Thanksgiving when the far superior Lions almost let the Bears tie the game in the dying seconds. Luckily for the Super Bowl favorites, Chicago's coach was an absolute dud and lost his job for not calling a time out and seeing up a game-tying field goal, but the thought remains the same: IT GETS WEIRD WHEN DIVISIONAL RIVALS MEET.

The Packers are a lot better than the Lions and are capable of keeping this one close. While Green Bay did lose to Detroit by 10 points when these two teams last faced off a month ago, the Packers have since put together three consecutive wins to put themselves in prime form ahead of this one. With the Dimers Pro predictor predicting a close Lions win, we're taking the alternate spread and buying a few more points on Jordan Love and his guys.

Leg 2: David Montgomery 50+ Rushing Yards

Next up we're going to one half of the most dominant one-two punches in the NFL. Montgomery and Gibbs have been going crazy all season and the Dimers player prop predictor is expecting more of the same with a projecting rushing total of 64 yards for the man who wears No. 5 on his jersey. We're going to water this down and take the 50+ yard prop - a figure Montgomery has hit in two of his last three games.

Leg 3: Sam LaPorta 3+ Receptions

Sam LaPorta started the season off slowly, like an old man easing into a hot bath, but things are finally clicking for the second-year man in this loaded Lions offense. The tight end starred in Detroit's squeaky win over the Bears last Thursday, getting into the end zone twice from three receptions off of six targets. LaPorta has now amassed 3+ receptions in three straight games in what will be a welcome sight for those fantasy owners who held onto him during the tough times in the early Fall. He looks ready to snap off another big game here against the Packers with Dimers projecting four straight 3+ reception games in a row.

Leg 4: Josh Jacobs Anytime Touchdown Scorer

We're closing things out with a touchdown play to bump up our primetime parlay, and we're locking in the guy most likely from the Packers in Josh Jacobs. According to the Dimers touchdown predictor, Jacobs is a 53% chance of getting in for six points, and the form lines back it up with seven touchdowns coming from the running back's last five games. If the Packers are to keep things close, Jacobs scoring is a non-negotiable. 

Packers-Lions TNF Parlay

+400

Bet $25
Payout $125Bet $25, Payout $125

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