NFL Same Game Parlay: Lions vs. Texans SGP for Sunday Night Football Week 10

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Written by Jason Bevilacqua
Reviewed by Nick Slade
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With the help of our in-house NFL predictive model, we've built a +650 same game parlay for Sunday Night Football between the Detroit Lions and Houston Texans.

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Lions RB Jahmyr Gibbs is a key part of our Primetime Parlay for Week 10's SNF clash between Detroit and Houston.

Sunday Night Football is here once again, and we're closing out Week 10's Sunday slate with our latest Primetime Parlay powered by the DimersBOT, this one at +650 odds.

This week is a doozy, with the 7-1 Lions looking to continue their tear against a depleted Texans unit. Despite the injuries Houston has, quarterback CJ Stroud is not one to be underestimated, and will no doubt put on a show under the bright lights.

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CJ Stroud will be looking to lift his Texans over the line against the Lions on Sunday night.

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+650 Detroit Lions vs. Houston Texans NFL Same Game Parlay Picks

After simulating tonight's game over 10,000 times, our model has identified the following projections and probabilities for the picks that make up our Same Game Parlay in Lions vs. Texanson Primetime, Sunday Night Football.

PLAYER
PROP
PROBABILITY/
PROJECTION
ODDS
CJ Stroud (Texans)
Over 243.5 Pass Yds
264 Pass Yds-113
Joe Mixon (Texans)
Under 76.5 Rush Yds74 Rush Yds-113
Jahmyr Gibbs and David Montgomery (Lions)
Each to record 50+ Rush Yds61 Yds and 59 Yds+158

MORE: Detroit Lions vs. Houston Texans Full Game Betting Preview

Leg 1: CJ Stroud Over 243.5 Pass Yards (-113)

The second-year QB star looks like he will be getting his No. 1 weapon back in Nico Collins tonight - and that is great news for a man who performs much better at home than he does on the road this season. Stroud averages over 300 yards in the air in games in Houston in 2024 compared with 183 on the road - so expect the Texans to maximize the things that work best for them in primetime tonight. The DimersBOT projects 264 passing yards for Stroud here.

Leg 2: Joe Mixon Under 76.5 Rush Yards (-113)

Diving into some positive correlation here - and we're diving into an Under with Joe Mixon's rushing yards prop set too high according to our player prop predictor. Detroit's run defense is elite - top 5 in the NFL in fact - and with Houston's proclivity for getting more pass yards on their home turf this season, it stands to reason that Mixon may not be getting as many yards on the ground as he has over the past month while Nico Collins has been on the sidelines.

Leg 3: Jahmyr Gibbs and David Montgomery to Each Record 50+ Rushing Yards (+158)

You will have to add these legs individually when you're putting your parlay together, but we're packing up their best one-two running back punch in the NFL to round out our SNF primetime parlay. Both RBs have been electric this season, both finding opportunities to eat - often in the same game. While the Texans are not the worst run defense in the league - they're not exactly the best either - ranking around the middle of the pack for rushing yards allowed at home this season. We're projecting both guys to hit 50+ with relative ease. 

 

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To make sure you get accurate and helpful information, this guide has been edited by Nick Slade as part of our fact-checking process.
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Written by
Jason Bevilacqua
Head of Content and Communities

Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.

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