NFL Same Game Parlay Picks: Bengals vs. Ravens SGP for Thursday Night Football

Week 10 in the NFL kicks off with the Cincinnati Bengals vs. Baltimore Ravens on TNF and we've got our +1100 NFL Parlay picks ready to go.

The Bengals look to keep turning their season around after an 0-3 start and a win tonight would close the gap in the AFC North against the 6-3 Ravens and 6-2 Steelers.

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+1100 Cincinnati Bengals vs. Baltimore Ravens NFL Same Game Parlay Picks

After simulating tonight's game over 10,000 times, our model has identified the following projections and probabilities for the picks that make up our Same Game Parlay in Bengals vs. Ravenson Primetime, Thursday Night Football.

MORE: Cincinnati Bengals vs. Baltimore Ravens Full Game Betting Preview

Leg 1: Lamar Jackson Over 47.5 Rushing Yards (-110)

We'll start off this parlay with the maestro of the Ravens offense, QB Lamar Jackson. He gets a 53.5 rushing yard projection from our model tonight, clearing his line of 47.5, which he's done in 5/8 games so far this year, including their first tilt with the Bengals in Week 5 with 55 yards.

They've allowed 30+ rushing yards to five other QBs and Lamar Jackson is the best of them all. Volume is never the issue - he's carried the ball double-digit times in four games, including 12 times against Cincy, and has a long gain of 15+ yards in all but one game this year. 

He's coming off his lowest output of the year with 4 yards on 3 carries but that was a blowout over the Broncos in which he didn't need to do much. This rivalry game with high stakes will be different.

Leg 2: Diontae Johnson Over 17.5 Receiving Yards (-110)

Our second leg is for the Ravens' newest offensive addition to clear his modest receiving yards line. WR Diontae Johnson joined his third team in as many years when Baltimore traded for him from the Panthers and he played just 17 snaps in his debut last week.

It's a quick turnaround but with no one truly dominating targets in this Baltimore offense, he could see closer to a normal workload on TNF.

Even with Andy Dalton and Bryce Young throwing the ball, Johnson has cleared this mark in 5/7 games this year, coming up just short with 17 in his final game in Carolina.

With a hefty projection of 42.2 receiving yards, our model is confident he'll clear his 17.5 yard mark, with a a 76.9% probability and our No. 1 prop of the day.

Leg 3: Mike Gesicki Anytime TD (+240)

As always, we close out with our TD prop for the primetime parlay and we're going with the Bengals emerging TE Mike Gesicki.

Gesicki's also on his third team in as many year, but has already surpassed his yardage total and matched his TD output from 17 games last season.

In three games without WR Tee Higgins (doubtful tonight) this year, Gesicki has at least five catches and 70 yards. He picked up a pair of scores in last week's game and the Ravens have become a pass funnel and TEs average 7.7 targets and 67.6 yards against Baltimore this season.

We project Gesicki with a 34.6% TD probability, identifying fair odds of +190.

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