NFL Prop Bets Today - Week 5, 2023

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Written by Kevin Hansen
NFL Prop Bets Today - Week 5, 2023

NFL prop betting is back for another huge week, with our best NFL prop picks here to assist you through Sunday's game. Based on extensive simulations and machine learning, we have methodically found the top five NFL player prop bets for Week 5 action.

With a lot of football action to digest and research today, we have your back. Our NFL player props are here to make your Sunday a walk in the park, with our carefully curated NFL prop bets presented below in order of the largest edge.

We used a powerful predictive analytics model to find these NFL prop plays, so you can be sure that our featured picks represent the best NFL props bets to make on Sunday October 8, 2023.

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Free NFL Prop Bets - Week 5

With an exciting slate of Week 5 games being played across the league on Sunday, finding the best spots for NFL prop bets can be daunting.

That's where Dimers.com – and its renowned predictive analytics model, DimersBOT – enters the equation.

We have done the necessary research for you, scanning all of the lines and odds from the major sportsbooks in the United States, to make betting on NFL player props as easy as possible in Week 5.

There are plenty of betting options when it comes to player props for Week 5, with players such as Derrick Henry, David Montgomery and Lamar Jackson presenting value according to DimersBOT.

Best Prop Bets for NFL Week 5

We've gone over the lines and picked out our favorite player prop bets you should consider for Week 5, based on edges we have spotted in the market.

Here are player props to explore across Week 5 below.

Derrick Henry Over 11.5 Receiving Yards (-115)

Our model has found the best NFL prop bet for Week 5, focusing on the game between the Titans and Colts, with Derrick Henry the player we are targetting. We recommend placing a bet on Derrick Henry Over 11.5 Receiving Yards for Tennessee this week.

DimersBOT projects that Henry has an 82.4% chance of going over 11.5 rec yds in Week 5, which give us a nice 28.9% edge on the -115 odds currently available with DraftKings Sportsbook.

 

MORE: NFL Prop Bets Today

David Montgomery Under 2.5 Receptions (-135)

Our model has found another +EV prop bet for NFL Week 5, with David Montgomery in our sights in the Panthers - Lions game. We recommend placing a bet on David Montgomery Under 2.5 Receptions, with an edge of 28.2% available on the -135 odds available at DraftKings Sportsbook.

 
MORE: Check out our NFL picks for every game this week

Lamar Jackson Over 45.5 Rushing Yards (-115)

According to our model, the next best player prop bet for this week's NFL features Lamar Jackson in the Ravens vs. Steelers clash. The recommended play here is on Lamar Jackson Over 45.5 Rushing Yards, with DimersBOT detecting an edge of 27.8% on the -115 odds available at DraftKings Sportsbook.

 
*MORE: Our model's Super Bowl odds update after each gameweek

Chuba Hubbard Over 24.5 Rushing Yards (-115)

The next NFL player prop we recommend playing this week comes in the Panthers vs. Lions game, with Chuba Hubbard presenting value in the rushing yards prop market. We recommend placing a bet on Chuba Hubbard Over 24.5 Rushing Yards for Carolina this week.

DimersBOT projects that Hubbard has an 80.0% chance of going over 24.5 rush yds in Week 5, which give us a nice 26.5% edge on the -115 odds currently available with DraftKings Sportsbook.

 

Christian McCaffrey Over 75.5 Rushing Yards (-125)

According to our model, the next best player prop bet for NFL Week 5 features Christian McCaffrey in the Cowboys vs. 49ers clash. The recommended play here is on Christian McCaffrey Over 75.5 Rushing Yards, with DimersBOT detecting an edge of 25.1% on the -115 odds available at PointsBet.

 

Dalton Schultz Under 2.5 Receptions (+130)

The next player out model is targeting in NFL Week 5 is Dalton Schultz in the Texans vs. Falcons clash. The recommended play here is on Dalton Schultz Under 2.5 Receptions, with DimersBOT finding a nice edge of 24.7% on the +130 odds available on DraftKings Sportsbook.

 

Zach Wilson Under 2.5 Rushing Attempts (-110)

Our model has discovered another +EV prop bet for this week's NFL, with Zach Wilson in our sights in the Jets - Broncos game. We recommend placing a bet on Zach Wilson Under 2.5 Rushing Attempts, with an edge of 23.8% available on the -110 odds available on DraftKings Sportsbook.

 

Miles Sanders Under 2.5 Receptions (+124)

The next NFL player prop we recommend playing in Week 5 comes in the Panthers vs. Lions game, with Miles Sanders presenting value in the receptions prop market. We recommend placing a bet on Miles Sanders Under 2.5 Receptions this week.

DimersBOT projects that Miles Sanders has an 80.4% chance of going under 3.5 rec in Week 5, which give us a nice 23.0% edge on the -135 odds currently available with DraftKings Sportsbook.

 

Joe Mixon Under 3.5 Receptions (-135)

According to our model, the next best player prop bet for NFL Week 5 features Joe Mixon in the Bengals vs. Cardinals clash. The recommended play here is on Joe Mixon Under 3.5 Receptions, with DimersBOT detecting an edge of 23.0% on the -135 odds available with DraftKings Sportsbook.

 

Marquez Valdes-Scantling Under 1.5 Receptions (+105)

With an edge of 22.6% detected by our model, the 10th prop of the day sees us taking Marquez Valdes-Scantling Under 1.5 Receptions. According to our model, this Marquez Valdes-Scantling prop has a 71.4% chance of hitting in the Chiefs vs. Vikings clash today. For the best odds for this play, head to DraftKings Sportsbook, where there is +105 avaialable for you to take.

 

NFL Prop Picks - Week 5, 2023

  • Titans vs. Colts: Derrick Henry Over 11.5 Receiving Yards (-115 via DraftKings Sportsbook, 28.9% edge)
  • Panthers vs. Lions: David Montgomery Under 2.5 Receptions (-135 via DraftKings Sportsbook, 28.2% edge)
  • Ravens vs. Steelers: Lamar Jackson Over 45.5 Rushing Yards (-115 via DraftKings Sportsbook, 27.8% edge)
  • Panthers vs. Lions: Chuba Hubbard Over 24.5 Rushing Yards (-115 via DraftKings Sportsbook, 26.5% edge)
  • Cowboys vs. 49ers: Christian McCaffrey Over 75.5 Rushing Yards (-125 via PointsBet, 25.1% edge)
  • Texans vs. Falcons: Dalton Schultz Under 2.5 Receptions (+130 via DraftKings Sportsbook, 24.7% edge)
  • Jets vs. Broncos: Zach Wilson Under 2.5 Rushing Attempts (-110 via DraftKings Sportsbook, 23.8% edge)
  • Panthers vs. Lions: Miles Sanders Under 2.5 Receptions (+124 via DraftKings Sportsbook, 23.1% edge)
  • Bengals vs. Cardinals: Joe Mixon Under 3.5 Receptions (-135 via DraftKings Sportsbook, 23.0% edge)
  • Chiefs vs. Vikings: Marquez Valdes-Scantling Under 1.5 Receptions (+105 via DraftKings Sportsbook, 22.6% edge)

MORE: NFL Week 5 Predictions

More NFL Week 5 Picks

So, you liked our NFL best props for Week 5? Awesome. Did you know our NFL news page has a detailed betting preview for every NFL Week 5 game?

That's right, we use our predictive analytics model to compare all of the available odds against its probabilities to find value in every single NFL game, not just the ones featured above, which allows us to write the most reliable NFL betting previews and get the jump on the public and the sportsbooks.

In addition to our NFL player prop predictions, Dimers also offers the NFL best bets, projecting the spread, moneyline, over/under and more against the odds available.

Finally, Dimers' NFL futures page is our in-house approach to determining who will win the Super Bowl - as well as each NFL Division and Conference - with our data-led probabilities compared to the best odds on the market.

What Is the Best NFL Prop Picks Site?

[Dimers(https://dimers.com) is a leading website for NFL player prop picks, offering the best analysis and NFL prop predictions every week of the season. If you're a football bettor looking for reliable, accurate information to help you make informed betting decisions when it comes to Week 5 NFL props, Dimers.com should be your number one resource.

The site features a team of experienced data analysts and NFL experts who specialize in dissecting the latest matchups and trends across the country. The team uses advanced statistical models and cutting-edge data analysis techniques to achieve highly accurate NFL player projections, which we share with our readers through both written previews and our famous Best Props page.

In addition to our expert analysis and prop betting picks, Dimers.com also offers a wealth of educational resources to help NFL bettors improve their skills and knowledge. From beginner's guides to advanced betting strategies, the site is an invaluable tool for anyone looking to gain an edge in the highly competitive world of sports betting.

Overall, if you're looking for a reliable and accurate resource for weekly NFL prop betting picks, Dimers.com is the perfect choice.

Make Informed NFL Prop Betting Decisions - Week 5, 2023

At Dimers.com, we take the responsibility of providing NFL prop betting picks very seriously, especially when considering the implications of gambling and the potential impact on our users' financial well-being and quality of life.

While we strive to provide accurate and insightful betting advice for prop bettors, we always recommend that our users exercise caution and conduct their own research before using our NFL prop picks or any other betting advice, as ultimately, it's up to each individual to make informed decisions that align with their personal values and goals. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, crisis counseling and referral services can be accessed by calling 1-800-GAMBLER.

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Written by
Kevin Hansen
Senior Sports Analyst

Kevin Hansen specializes in NFL, NBA, MLB, and NHL content, using data-driven insights for sports betting. He provides simple, actionable betting tips to help bettors find an edge and pick winners.

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