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NFL Prop Bets Today - Week 4, 2023
NFL prop betting is back for another huge week, with our best NFL prop picks here to assist you through Week 4. Through our own cutting-edge simulations and machine learning, we have methodically nailed down the top five NFL player prop bets for the Week 4 slate.
With lots of football action to consume and research today, we have your back. Our NFL player props are here to make your Sunday a whole lot easier, with our carefully curated NFL prop bets laid out below in order of the largest edge.
We used a powerful predictive analytics model to find these NFL prop plays, so you can be sure that our featured plays represent the best NFL props bets to make on Sunday October 1, 2023.
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Free NFL Prop Picks - Week 4
With an exciting slate of Week 4 games being played on Sunday, finding the best spots for NFL prop bets can be challenging.
That's where Dimers.com – powered by our independent predictive analytics model, DimersBOT – steps in.
We have done the hard work for you, comparing all of the lines and odds from the top sports betting sites in America, to make betting on NFL player props as simple as possible in Week 4.
This week, we're looking for value in Josh Allen, Anthony Richardson and Jalen Hurts presenting value according to DimersBOT.
Best Prop Bets for NFL Week 4
These are our favorite prop bets for for Week 4, based on edges we have identified in the market.
Here are player props to explore across Week 4 below.
Josh Allen Under 6.5 Rushing Attempts (-108)
- Odds: -108 via FanDuel Sportsbook
- Probability: 81.8%
- Edge: 29.9%
- Game: Dolphins vs. Bills (1:00PM ET)
Our model has determined the best NFL prop bet for Week 4, focusing on the game between the Dolphins and Bills, with Josh Allen the player we are targetting. We recommend placing a bet on Josh Allen Under 6.5 Rushing Attempts for Buffalo this week.
DimersBOT projects that Allen has an 81.8% chance of going under 6.5 rush att in Week 4, which give us a nice 29.9% edge on the -108 odds currently available with FanDuel Sportsbook.
MORE: NFL Prop Bets Today
Anthony Richardson Under 43.5 Rushing Yards (-113)
- Odds: -113 via FanDuel Sportsbook
- Probability: 82.7%
- Edge: 29.6%
- Game: Rams vs. Colts, (1:00PM ET)
Our model has found another +EV prop bet for this week's NFL, with Anthony Richardson in our sights in the Rams - Colts game. We recommend placing a bet on Anthony Richardson Under 43.5 Rushing Yards, with an edge of 29.6% available on the -113 odds available at FanDuel Sportsbook.
MORE: Check out our NFL picks for every game this week
Jalen Hurts Under 11.5 Rushing Attempts (-130)
- Odds: -130 via PointsBet
- Probability: 85.9%
- Edge: 29.4%
- Game: Commanders vs. Eagles, (1:00PM ET)
According to our model, the next best player prop bet for NFL Week 4 features Jalen Hurts in the Commanders vs. Eagles clash. The recommended play here is on Jalen Hurts Under 11.5 Rushing Attempts, with DimersBOT detecting an edge of 29.4% on the -130 odds available at PointsBet.
*MORE: Our model's Super Bowl odds update after each gameweek
Anthony Richardson Under 9.5 Rushing Attempts (-145)
- Odds: -145 via DraftKings Sportsbook
- Probability: 88.5%
- Edge: 29.4%
- Game: Rams vs. Colts (1:00PM ET)
The next NFL player prop we recommend playing this week comes in the Rams vs. Colts game, with Anthony Richardson presenting value in the rushing attempts prop market. We recommend placing a bet on Anthony Richardson Under 9.5 Rushing Attempts for Indianapolis this week.
DimersBOT projects that Richardson has an 88.5% chance of going under 9.5 rush att in Week 4, which give us a tasty 29.4% edge on the -145 odds currently available at DraftKings Sportsbook.
Josh Allen Under 35.5 Rushing Yards (+100)
- Odds: +100 via DraftKings Sportsbook
- Probability: 76.7%
- Edge: 26.7%
- Game: Dolphins vs. Bills, (1:00PM ET)
According to our model, the next best player prop bet for NFL Week 4 features Josh Allen in the Dolphins vs. Bills clash. The recommended play here is on Josh Allen Under 35.5 Rushing Yards, with DimersBOT detecting an edge of 29.4% on the -130 odds available on PointsBet.
NFL Prop Picks - Week 4, 2023
- Dolphins vs. Bills: Josh Allen Under 6.5 Rushing Attempts (-108 via FanDuel Sportsbook, 29.9% edge)
- Rams vs. Colts: Anthony Richardson Under 43.5 Rushing Yards (-113 via FanDuel Sportsbook, 29.6% edge)
- Commanders vs. Eagles: Jalen Hurts Under 11.5 Rushing Attempts (-130 via PointsBet, 29.4% edge)
- Rams vs. Colts: Anthony Richardson Under 9.5 Rushing Attempts (-145 via DraftKings Sportsbook, 29.4% edge)
- Dolphins vs. Bills: Josh Allen Under 35.5 Rushing Yards (+100 via DraftKings Sportsbook, 26.7% edge)
MORE: NFL Week 4 Predictions
More NFL Week 4 Picks
So, you liked our NFL best props for Week 4? Awesome. Did you know our NFL news page has a detailed betting preview for every NFL Week 4 match?
That's right, we use our predictive analytics model to compare all of the available odds (aka Vegas odds) against its probabilities to find edges in every single NFL game, not just the ones featured above. This allows us to create the most authoritative NFL betting previews and beat the public and the sportsbooks to the punch.
In addition to our NFL player prop predictions, we also provide the NFL best bets, projecting the spread, moneyline, over/under and more against the top odds available.
Lastly, Dimers' NFL futures page is our in-house approach to determining who will win the Super Bowl - as well as each NFL Division and Conference - with our data-led probabilities paired with the best odds on the market.
What Is the Best NFL Prop Picks Website?
[Dimers(https://dimers.com) is an industry-leading website for NFL player prop picks, offering expert analysis and NFL prop predictions every week of the 2023 season. If you're a football bettor looking for trustworthy, accurate information to help you make wise betting decisions when it comes to Week 4 NFL props, Dimers.com should be your number one source.
The site features a team of experienced sports data analysts and NFL experts who specialize in dissecting the latest matchups and trends across the National Football League. They use advanced predictive models and cutting-edge data analysis systems to generate highly accurate NFL player projections, which we share with our readers through both written analysis and our famous Best Props section.
In addition to our expert analysis and prop betting picks, Dimers.com also offers a wealth of educational resources to help NFL bettors improve their skills and knowledge. From beginner's guides to advanced betting strategies, the site is an invaluable tool for anyone looking to gain an edge in the highly competitive world of sports betting.
Overall, if you're looking for a reliable and accurate resource for weekly NFL prop betting picks, Dimers.com is the perfect choice.
Make Smarter NFL Prop Betting Decisions - Week 4, 2023
At Dimers.com, we take the responsibility of providing NFL prop betting picks very seriously, especially when considering the implications of gambling and the potential impact on our users' financial well-being and quality of life.
While we strive to provide accurate and insightful betting advice for prop bettors, we always recommend that our users exercise caution and conduct their own research before using our NFL prop picks or any other betting advice, as ultimately, it's up to each individual to make informed decisions that align with their personal values and goals. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, crisis counseling and referral services can be accessed by calling 1-800-GAMBLER.