NFL Prop Bets Today: Week 13, 2023

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Written by Kevin Hansen
NFL Prop Bets Today: Week 13, 2023

NFL prop bets are back for another huge week, with our best NFL player props here to enhance today's games. After simulating each NFL game on Sunday's Week 13 slate thousands of times, we've diligently nailed down the top 10 NFL player props today for forthe Week 13 slate.

With lots of football action to digest and research today, we have your back. Our NFL player props are here to make your Sunday a walk in the park, with our carefully curated NFL prop bets presented below in order of the largest edge.

We used a powerful predictive analytics model to find these NFL prop plays, so you can be sure that our featured bets represent the best NFL props bets to make on Sunday, December 3, 2023.

Calling all prop bettors! Unlock a generous reward of $150 in bonus bets by placing a simple $5 wager on one of this week's NFL player props at Bet365. Click ➡️ here ⬅️ to get started!

Free NFL Prop Picks - Week 13

With an intriguing slate of Week 13 games being played across the league on Sunday, finding the best spots for NFL prop bets can be hard.

That's where Dimers.com – and our independent predictive analytics model, DimersBOT – comes into the equation.

We have done the necessary research for you, scanning all of the lines and odds from the largest sportsbooks in the United States, to make betting on NFL player props as simple as possible in Week 13.

This week, we're looking for value in Breece Hall, Kareem Hunt and Jerome Ford presenting value according to DimersBOT.

Best Prop Bets for NFL Week 13

We have gone over the lines and picked out our favorite player prop bets you should consider for Week 13, based on edges we have spotted in the market.

Our best player prop plays for Week 13 NFL are listed below.

Breece Hall Under 4.5 Receptions (-166)

Our model has found the best NFL prop bet for Week 13, focusing on the game between the Falcons and Jets, with Breece Hall the player we are targetting. We recommend placing a bet on Breece Hall Under 4.5 Receptions for NY Jets this week.

DimersBOT projects that Hall has a 92.4% chance of going under 4.5 rec in Week 13, which give us a nice 30.0% edge on the -166 odds currently available with DraftKings Sportsbook.

 

MORE: NFL Prop Bets Today

Kareem Hunt Over 28.5 Rushing Yards (-130)

Our model has found another +EV prop bet for NFL Week 13, with Kareem Hunt in our sights in the Browns - Rams game. We recommend placing a bet on Kareem Hunt Over 28.5 Rushing Yards, with an edge of 28.9% available on the -130 odds available at DraftKings Sportsbook.

 
MORE: Check out our NFL picks for every game this week

Jerome Ford Under 2.5 Receptions (+106)

According to our model, the next best player prop bet for this week's NFL features Jerome Ford in the Browns vs. Rams clash. The recommended play here is on Jerome Ford Under 2.5 Receptions, with DimersBOT detecting an edge of 28.0% on the 106 odds available at FanDuel Sportsbook.

 
MORE: Our model's Super Bowl odds update after each gameweek

Justin Herbert Under 16.5 Rushing Yards (-112)

The next NFL player prop we recommend playing this week comes in the Chargers vs. Patriots game, with Justin Herbert presenting value in the rushing yards prop market. We recommend placing a bet on Justin Herbert Under 16.5 Rushing Yards for LA Chargers this week.

DimersBOT projects that Herbert has a 80.1% chance of going under 16.5 rush yds in Week 13, which give us a nice 27.3% edge on the -112 odds currently available from FanDuel Sportsbook.

 

Jaylen Warren Under 58.5 Rushing Yards (-115)

According to our model, the next best player prop bet for this week's NFL features Jaylen Warren in the Cardinals vs. Steelers showdown. The recommended play here is on Jaylen Warren Under 58.5 Rushing Yards, with DimersBOT detecting an edge of 27.0% on the 106 odds available with DraftKings Sportsbook.

 

Isiah Pacheco Under 3.5 Receptions (-138)

The next player our model is targeting in NFL Week 13 is Isiah Pacheco in the Chiefs vs. Packers clash. The recommended play here is on Isiah Pacheco Under 3.5 Receptions, with DimersBOT finding a favorable edge of 26.2% on the -138 odds available at FanDuel Sportsbook.

 

Jalen Hurts Under 21.5 Passing Completions (-102)

Our model has found another +EV prop bet for this week's NFL, with Jalen Hurts in our sights in the 49ers - Eagles game. We recommend placing a bet on Jalen Hurts Under 21.5 Passing Completions, with an edge of 23.4% available on the -102 odds available with FanDuel Sportsbook.

 

Curtis Samuel Under 3.5 Receptions (+130)

The next NFL player prop we recommend playing in Week 13 comes in the Dolphins vs. Commanders game, with Curtis Samuel presenting value in the receptions prop market. We recommend placing a bet on Curtis Samuel Under 3.5 Receptions this week.

DimersBOT projects that Curtis Samuel has a 62.2% chance of going over 2.5 rec in Week 13, which give us a tasty 22.8% edge on the +154 odds available right now with FanDuel Sportsbook.

 

Quentin Johnston Over 2.5 Receptions (+154)

According to our model, the next best player prop bet for this week's NFL features Quentin Johnston in the Chargers vs. Patriots clash. The recommended play here is on Quentin Johnston Over 2.5 Receptions, with DimersBOT detecting an edge of 22.8% on the +154 odds available with FanDuel Sportsbook.

 

Tua Tagovailoa Under 2.5 Rushing Attempts (-140)

With an edge of 22.6% detected by our model, the 10th prop of the day sees us taking Tua Tagovailoa Under 2.5 Rushing Attempts. According to our model, this Tua Tagovailoa prop has a 80.9% chance of hitting in the Dolphins vs. Commanders clash today. For the best odds for this play, head to DraftKings Sportsbook, where there is -140 avaialable for you to take.

 

NFL Prop Picks - Week 13, 2023

Matchup Prop Odds Edge
Falcons vs. Jets Breece Hall Under 4.5 Receptions -166 @ DraftKings Sportsbook 30.0%
Browns vs. Rams Kareem Hunt Over 28.5 Rushing Yards -130 @ DraftKings Sportsbook 28.9%
Browns vs. Rams Jerome Ford Under 2.5 Receptions +106 @ FanDuel Sportsbook 28.0%
Chargers vs. Patriots Justin Herbert Under 16.5 Rushing Yards -112 @ FanDuel Sportsbook 27.3%
Cardinals vs. Steelers Jaylen Warren Under 58.5 Rushing Yards -115 @ DraftKings Sportsbook 27.0%
Chiefs vs. Packers Isiah Pacheco Under 3.5 Receptions -138 @ FanDuel Sportsbook 26.2%
49ers vs. Eagles Jalen Hurts Under 21.5 Passing Completions -102 @ FanDuel Sportsbook 23.4%
Dolphins vs. Commanders Curtis Samuel Under 3.5 Receptions +130 @ DraftKings Sportsbook 22.9%
Chargers vs. Patriots Quentin Johnston Over 2.5 Receptions +154 @ FanDuel Sportsbook 22.8%
Dolphins vs. Commanders Tua Tagovailoa Under 2.5 Rushing Attempts -140 @ DraftKings Sportsbook 22.6%

MORE: NFL Week 13 Predictions

More About NFL

This article is part of our NFL player props and NFL best bets series.

For more NFL betting content, we have NFL trends for every game, as well as daily NFL betting news and the latest Super Bowl odds and predictions.

Make Informed NFL Prop Betting Decisions - Week 13, 2023

At Dimers.com, we take the responsibility of providing NFL prop betting picks very seriously, especially when considering the implications of gambling and the potential impact on our users' financial well-being and quality of life.

While we strive to provide accurate and insightful betting advice for prop bettors, we always recommend that our users exercise caution and conduct their own research before using our NFL prop picks or any other betting advice, as ultimately, it's up to each individual to make informed decisions that align with their personal values and goals. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, crisis counseling and referral services can be accessed by calling 1-800-GAMBLER.

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Written by
Kevin Hansen
Senior Sports Analyst

Kevin Hansen specializes in NFL, NBA, MLB, and NHL content, using data-driven insights for sports betting. He provides simple, actionable betting tips to help bettors find an edge and pick winners.

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