NFL Picks and Predictions Straight Up: Week 3, 2024

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Written by Ryan Leaver
NFL Picks Straight Up.
NFL picks straight up based on 10,000 simulations of every Week 3 game.

At Dimers.com, we provide NFL picks straight up for Week 3 and beyond, as part of our detailed NFL picks and NFL predictions coverage.

With Week 3 of the NFL season upon us, we've used our dynamic predictive analytics model to deliver NFL straight up picks for all 16 games this week.

Secure an advantage in your NFL pick 'em contests with our data-driven NFL Week 3 picks straight up, powered by thousands of game simulations.

Week 3 of the NFL season features 16 games, starting with the New England Patriots facing the New York Jets on Thursday night and concluding with the Washington Commanders taking on the Cincinnati Bengals on Monday night.

Before placing any NFL wagers this week, be sure to explore our full list of NFL best bets with Dimers Pro.

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For more NFL betting coverage, check out the best NFL week 3 odds and our NFL picks against the spread for Week 3.

NFL Picks This Week Straight Up: Week 3, 2024

Listed below are our Week 3 NFL picks, highlighting how likely each team is to win their game this week.

New England Patriots vs. New York Jets

The Patriots kick off Week 3 against the Jets at MetLife Stadium on Thursday. According to our model, the Jets have a 75% chance of winning, while the Patriots have a 25% chance.

For Week 3's opening game, our model highlights NFL player props with Rhamondre Stevenson (RB) as the most likely player from the Patriots to score the first TD at 11.8%, while Breece Hall (RB) is the top candidate from the Jets at 17.1%.

The New England Patriots vs. New York Jets game at MetLife Stadium is scheduled for Thursday, September 19 at 8:15pm. All times mentioned in this article are in Eastern Standard Time (EST).

Chicago Bears vs. Indianapolis Colts

For this week's game between the Bears and the Colts, Indianapolis is more likely to win. Our prediction model gives the Colts a 56% chance of winning. On the other hand, there is a 44% chance that the Bears will win.

The Chicago Bears vs. Indianapolis Colts matchup at Lucas Oil Stadium will take place on Sunday, September 22 at 1:00pm.

As the season heats up, track the top teams with our updated NFL futures, highlighting top Super Bowl contenders.

New York Giants vs. Cleveland Browns

We are picking the Browns to win their game against the Giants this week, with our trusted NFL model projecting a 76% win probability for the home team. The Giants have a 24% chance of winning at Huntington Bank Field.

For betting purposes, the Browns are listed as -6.5 favorites, with the Giants' moneyline at +270.

The New York Giants vs. Cleveland Browns game at Huntington Bank Field is slated for Sunday, September 22 at 1:00pm.

Green Bay Packers vs. Tennessee Titans

According to our predictive analytics model, the Titans are the team to beat in this game, with their win probability at 57%. The Packers, on the other hand, have a 43% chance of winning.

The Green Bay Packers vs. Tennessee Titans game at Nissan Stadium is set for Sunday, September 22 at 1:00pm.

Philadelphia Eagles vs. New Orleans Saints

The Saints have a 59% chance of winning on Sunday afternoon, compared to the Eagles' 41% chance of victory. This makes the New Orleans Saints our pick to win at Caesars Superdome.

The Philadelphia Eagles vs. New Orleans Saints matchup at Caesars Superdome is scheduled for Sunday, September 22 at 1:00pm.

Los Angeles Chargers vs. Pittsburgh Steelers

The Steelers are favored to win their game this week, with our model giving them a 55% chance, while the Chargers enter the weekend with a 45% chance of winning at Acrisure Stadium.

When it comes to betting on this game, the Chargers' moneyline odds are set at +105, with the home team Steelers listed as -1.5 favorites.

The Los Angeles Chargers vs. Pittsburgh Steelers game at Acrisure Stadium will take place on Sunday, September 22 at 1:00pm.

Houston Texans vs. Minnesota Vikings

After 10,000 simulations of Texans vs. Vikings this Sunday, our model projects the Texans as the more likely winners with a probability of 59%. Their opponents, the Vikings, have a 41% chance of getting the win at home.

The Houston Texans vs. Minnesota Vikings matchup at U.S. Bank Stadium is slated for Sunday, September 22 at 1:00pm.

Denver Broncos vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers

We are picking the Buccaneers, who have a 75% chance of winning the game, while the Broncos have a 25% win probability.

The Denver Broncos vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers game at Raymond James Stadium will take place on Sunday, September 22 at 1:00pm.

Carolina Panthers vs. Las Vegas Raiders

The next game of Week 3 sees the Panthers take on the Raiders at Allegiant Stadium.

We predict the Raiders to win with a probability of 71%, while the Panthers are projected to have a win chance of 29%.

As for the Vegas betting odds here, the Raiders are listed as -5.5 favorites, with the Panthers' moneyline odds posted at +198.

The Carolina Panthers vs. Las Vegas Raiders game at Allegiant Stadium is scheduled for Sunday, September 22 at 4:05pm.

Miami Dolphins vs. Seattle Seahawks

The likely winner of this matchup is the Seahawks, who have a projected win chance of 66%, according to DimersBOT. On the other side of this matchup, the Dolphins have a projected win probability of 34%.

The Miami Dolphins vs. Seattle Seahawks matchup at Lumen Field is set for Sunday, September 22 at 4:05pm.

Detroit Lions vs. Arizona Cardinals

We have run our powerful NFL model over this week’s Lions-Cardinals clash 10,000 times, with the Lions coming out as the team to pick. Of those 10,000 simulations, the Lions won 5,830 times, with the Cardinals winning on 4,170 occasions.

The Detroit Lions vs. Arizona Cardinals game at State Farm Stadium is scheduled for Sunday, September 22 at 4:25pm.

San Francisco 49ers vs. Los Angeles Rams

Next up is the game between the 49ers and Rams, with our model projecting the road team as the more likely victor, with the 49ers rated as having a 74% chance of getting the W. The Rams, on the other hand, are projected to have a 26% chance of winning.

For those interested in betting on this matchup, the oddsmakers have the 49ers' moneyline odds set at -325 for this road game, while the hosting Rams are listed as +7 underdogs.

The San Francisco 49ers vs. Los Angeles Rams game at SoFi Stadium will take place on Sunday, September 22 at 4:25pm.

Baltimore Ravens vs. Dallas Cowboys

Our next straight up pick this week is for the Ravens to get the win against the Cowboys. After running 10,000 simulations of this matchup, the Baltimore have a win probability of 52%, with the Cowboys at 48%.

The Baltimore Ravens vs. Dallas Cowboys game at AT&T Stadium is slated for Sunday, September 22 at 4:25pm.

Kansas City Chiefs vs. Atlanta Falcons

With a win probability of 63% on Sunday night, our straight up pick for this game is the Chiefs, while their opponent, the Falcons, have a projected win chance of 37%.

The Kansas City Chiefs vs. Atlanta Falcons game at Mercedes-Benz Stadium will take place on Sunday, September 22 at 8:20pm.

For a different angle on this week's NFL action, explore our NFL trends to spot the latest player prop trends.

Jacksonville Jaguars vs. Buffalo Bills

The team to pick here is the Bills, who have a 69% chance of winning their matchup against the Jaguars this Sunday night.

Looking at the betting odds for this Monday Night Football clash, the Bills are listed as -5.5 favorites at home, with the Jaguars' moneyline odds available at +200.

The Jacksonville Jaguars vs. Buffalo Bills game at Highmark Stadium is scheduled for Monday, September 23 at 7:30pm.

Washington Commanders vs. Cincinnati Bengals

Our pick to win the final game of Week 3 is the Bengals, who have a win probability of 73%. Their opponents are projected to have a 27% chance of getting the W.

The Washington Commanders vs. Cincinnati Bengals game at Paycor Stadium is set for Monday, September 23 at 8:15pm.

NFL Week 3 Picks Straight Up:

  • Jets (75% win probability)
  • Colts (56%)
  • Browns (76%)
  • Titans (57%)
  • Saints (59%)
  • Steelers (55%)
  • Texans (59%)
  • Buccaneers (75%)
  • Raiders (71%)
  • Seahawks (66%)
  • Lions (58%)
  • 49ers (74%)
  • Ravens (52%)
  • Chiefs (63%)
  • Bills (69%)
  • Bengals (73%)

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NFL Straight Up Picks and Predictions for Week 3

The NFL Week 3 predictions straight up in this article are accurate at the time of publication but may change.

Dimers.com is the best site for NFL predictions, with our straight up picks trusted by football fans across the country.

If you decide to use our NFL straight up picks for betting, it's important to gamble responsibly and manage your finances effectively. For more resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

Please note that all NFL odds and probabilities mentioned on this page are subject to change.

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Written by
Ryan Leaver
Senior Sports and Sports Betting Editor

Ryan Leaver uses advanced statistical models and simulations to predict outcomes and provide predictions for the NBA, NFL, college football, college basketball, and soccer. He offers detailed game previews, best bets, props, and futures articles.

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