NFL Picks and Predictions Straight Up: Week 11, 2024

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Written by Ryan Leaver
NFL Picks Straight Up.
NFL picks straight up based on 10,000 simulations of every Week 11 game.

At Dimers.com, we offer NFL picks straight up for Week 11 and beyond, as part of our comprehensive NFL picks and NFL predictions coverage.

With Week 11 of the NFL season here, we've harnessed our state-of-the-art predictive analytics model to deliver a list of NFL straight up picks for all 14 games this week.

Gain the edge in your NFL pick 'em contests via our data-driven NFL Week 11 picks straight up, powered by thousands of game simulations.

Week 11 of the NFL season features 14 games, starting with the Washington Commanders facing the Philadelphia Eagles on Thursday night and ending with the Houston Texans taking on the Dallas Cowboys on Monday.

Before placing any NFL wagers this week, be sure to explore our full list of NFL best bets with Dimers Pro.

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For more NFL betting coverage, check out the best NFL week 11 odds and our NFL picks against the spread for Week 11.

NFL Picks This Week Straight Up: Week 11, 2024

Listed below are our Week 11 NFL picks, highlighting how likely each team is to win their game this week.

Washington Commanders vs. Philadelphia Eagles

The Commanders kick off Week 11 against the Eagles at Lincoln Financial Field on Thursday night. According to our predictive analytics model, the Eagles have a 64% chance of winning, while the Commanders have a 36% chance.

For Week 11's opening game, our model highlights NFL player props with Jayden Daniels (QB) as the most likely player from the Commanders to score the first TD at 9.6%, while Jalen Hurts (QB) is the top candidate from the Eagles at 13.3%.

The Washington Commanders vs. Philadelphia Eagles game at Lincoln Financial Field is scheduled for Thursday, November 14 at 8:15pm. All times mentioned in this article are in Eastern Standard Time (EST).

Los Angeles Rams vs. New England Patriots

For this week's game between the Rams and the Patriots, LA Rams is more likely to win. Our prediction model gives the Rams a 66% chance of winning. On the other hand, there is a 34% chance that the Patriots will win.

The Los Angeles Rams vs. New England Patriots matchup at Gillette Stadium will take place on Sunday, November 17 at 1:00pm.

As the regular season approaches its conclusion, track the top teams with Dimers' updated NFL futures, highlighting top Super Bowl contenders.

Las Vegas Raiders vs. Miami Dolphins

We are picking the Dolphins to win their game against the Raiders this week, with our famous NFL model projecting a 73% win probability for the home team. The Raiders have a 27% chance of winning.

For betting purposes, the Dolphins are listed as -7.5 favorites, with the Raiders' moneyline at +300.

The Las Vegas Raiders vs. Miami Dolphins game at Hard Rock Stadium is slated for Sunday, November 17 at 1:00pm.

Green Bay Packers vs. Chicago Bears

According to our predictive analytics model, the Packers are the team to beat in this game, with their win probability at 70%. The Bears, on the other hand, have a 30% chance of winning.

The Green Bay Packers vs. Chicago Bears game at Soldier Field is set for Sunday, November 17 at 1:00pm.

Jacksonville Jaguars vs. Detroit Lions

The Lions have an 86% chance of winning on Sunday afternoon, compared to the Jaguars' 14% chance of victory. This makes the Detroit Lions our pick to win at Ford Field.

The Jacksonville Jaguars vs. Detroit Lions matchup at Ford Field is scheduled for Sunday, November 17 at 1:00pm.

Cleveland Browns vs. New Orleans Saints

The Browns are favored to win their Week 11 matchup, with our predictive analytics model giving them a 53% chance, while the Saints enter the weekend with a 47% chance of locking in a win at Caesars Superdome.

When it comes to betting on this game, the Browns' moneyline odds are set at -108, with the home team Saints listed as +1 underdogs.

The Cleveland Browns vs. New Orleans Saints game at Caesars Superdome will take place on Sunday, November 17 at 1:00pm.

Minnesota Vikings vs. Tennessee Titans

After 10,000 simulations of Vikings vs. Titans this Sunday, our model projects the Vikings as the more likely winners with a probability of 73%. Their opponents, the Titans, have a 27% chance of getting the win at home.

The Minnesota Vikings vs. Tennessee Titans matchup at Nissan Stadium is slated for Sunday, November 17 at 1:00pm.

Baltimore Ravens vs. Pittsburgh Steelers

Our model is picking the Ravens, who have a 60% chance of winning the matchup, while the Steelers have a 40% win probability.

The Baltimore Ravens vs. Pittsburgh Steelers game at Acrisure Stadium will take place on Sunday, November 17 at 1:00pm.

Indianapolis Colts vs. New York Jets

The next game of Week 11 sees the Colts take on the Jets at MetLife Stadium.

We predict the Jets to win with a probability of 63%, while the Colts are projected to have a win chance of 37%.

As for the Vegas betting odds here, the Jets are listed as -4 favorites, with the Colts' moneyline odds posted at +170.

The Indianapolis Colts vs. New York Jets game at MetLife Stadium is scheduled for Sunday, November 17 at 1:00pm.

Seattle Seahawks vs. San Francisco 49ers

The likely winner of this matchup is the 49ers, who have a projected win chance of 73%, according to DimersBOT. On the other side of this matchup, the Seahawks have a projected win probability of 27%.

The Seattle Seahawks vs. San Francisco 49ers matchup at Levi's Stadium is set for Sunday, November 17 at 4:05pm.

Atlanta Falcons vs. Denver Broncos

We have run our powerful NFL model over this week’s Falcons-Broncos clash 10,000 times, with the Broncos coming out as the team to pick. Of those 10,000 simulations, the Broncos won 5,797 times, with the Falcons winning on 4,203 occasions.

The Atlanta Falcons vs. Denver Broncos game at Empower Field at Mile High is scheduled for Sunday, November 17 at 4:05pm.

Kansas City Chiefs vs. Buffalo Bills

Next up is the game between the Chiefs and Bills, with our model projecting the home team as the more likely victor, with the Bills rated as having a 55% chance of getting the W. The Chiefs, on the other hand, are projected to have a 45% chance of winning.

For those interested in betting on this matchup, the oddsmakers have the Chiefs' moneyline odds set at +115 for this road game, while the hosting Bills are listed as -2.5 favorites.

The Kansas City Chiefs vs. Buffalo Bills game at Highmark Stadium will take place on Sunday, November 17 at 4:25pm.

Cincinnati Bengals vs. Los Angeles Chargers

Our next straight up pick this week is for the Chargers to get the win against the Bengals. After running 10,000 simulations of this matchup, the LA Chargers have a win probability of 55%, with the Bengals at 45%.

The Cincinnati Bengals vs. Los Angeles Chargers game at SoFi Stadium is slated for Sunday, November 17 at 8:20pm.

Houston Texans vs. Dallas Cowboys

With a win probability of 75% on Monday night, our straight up pick for this game is the Texans, while their opponent, the Cowboys, have a projected win chance of 25%.

The Houston Texans vs. Dallas Cowboys game at AT&T Stadium will take place on Monday, November 18 at 8:15pm.

For a different angle on this week's NFL action, explore our NFL trends to find the latest player prop trends.

Full List of NFL Week 11 Picks Straight Up:

  • Eagles (64% win probability)
  • Rams (66%)
  • Dolphins (73%)
  • Packers (70%)
  • Lions (86%)
  • Browns (53%)
  • Vikings (73%)
  • Ravens (60%)
  • Jets (63%)
  • 49ers (73%)
  • Broncos (58%)
  • Bills (55%)
  • Chargers (55%)
  • Texans (75%)

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NFL Straight Up Picks and Predictions for Week 11

The NFL Week 11 predictions straight up in this article are accurate at the time of publication but may change.

Dimers.com is the best site for NFL predictions, with our straight up picks trusted by football fans across the country.

If you choose to use our NFL straight up picks for betting, it's important that you gamble responsibly and know when to stop. For more resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

Please note that all NFL odds and probabilities mentioned on this page are subject to change.

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Written by
Ryan Leaver
Senior Sports and Sports Betting Editor

Ryan Leaver uses advanced statistical models and simulations to predict outcomes and provide predictions for the NBA, NFL, college football, college basketball, and soccer. He offers detailed game previews, best bets, props, and futures articles.

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