NFL Picks: Our Best Props to Parlay in New England Patriots vs. New York Jets [9/19/24]

And we're on to Week 3.

It's time to set the tone for the week as we look to start off right and cash in on Thursday with our Primetime Parlay in New England Patriots vs. New York Jets at +750 odds.

A staple of our NFL content offerings last season, we're once again looking to deliver our best same-game parlay for the nighttime NFL action each and every week.

Every bet and insight featured in these parlays will be source directly from our Dimers Pro data, our all-encompassing subscription service. Available for less than $1/day, Dimers Pro features the best NFL bets, NFL player props, Super Bowl LIX predictions, parlay picks and NFL betting trends analyzed by our in-house cutting-edge predictive models.

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Our +750 New England Patriots vs. New York Jets Same Game Parlay Analysis

After simulating tonight's game over 10,000 times, our model has identified the following props with value, which we've selected from our NFL Best Props page after sorting for Patriots vs. Jets.

MORE: New England Patriots vs. New York Jets Full Betting Preview

Leg 1: Rhamondre Stevenson Over 81.5 Rush + Rec Yards (-115)

Projection: 70 rushing yards + 18 receiving yards

Our first leg is a combo prop on the Patriots RB Rhamondre Stevenson. Through two games, Stevenson has cleared this mark in both, with 90 yards in Week 2 and 126 in Week 1, mostly on the ground.

The Jets have given up 152 yards and 102 yards to individual running backs in consecutive weeks and Rhamondre is poised to be the third to push towards the century mark out of the backfield vs. New York.

Projected for 70 rushing yards and 18 receiving yards, we have him clearing his individual props for each as well as his combined total yards line of 81.5. With 20+ touches in each of his first two games, he should be able to cruise towards this line.

Leg 2: Braelon Allen Over 21.5 Rushing Yards (-115)

Projection: 26 rushing yards

Next, we're taking another running back, though not the one you'd expect for the Jets.

After seeing just one carry and one target in Week 1, Braelon Allen saw 7 carries and 4 targets in Week 2 and made the most of them, as he became the youngest player in nearly 100 years to score a TD from scrimmage this past week, with one in the air and one on the ground for a pair of scores. 

That'll buy him some confidence from the Jets coaching staff and it's unlikely we see his role reduced after that performance.

As such, we're getting small line of just 21.5 yards. The Patriots have been pretty good at limiting rushers through two weeks, but we project Allen for 26 rushing yards and are locking him in for leg #2.

Leg 3: Garrett Wilson Anytime TD Scorer (+140)

Projection: 42.3% TD Probability

As always, we'll close out with our TD prop of the night and we're taking Jets WR Garrett Wilson to get his first score of the year.

Aaron Rodgers may still be shaking off some rust from a year away from the game, but if the Jets want to contend for the postseason, they'll need to get their best receiver into the endzone with the ball. He's second on the team in red zone target, which suggests it's only a matter of time until he starts scoring.

Behind Breece Hall at 57.3%, Wilson is our highest probability TD scorer in this game, let alone on the Jets. His fair price is right in line with what the books are offering us, with 42.3% implying odds of +135.

There you have it, our three picks for tonight's Primetime Parlay - let's cash!

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Patriots vs. Jets Same Game Parlay Picks

🏈 Rhamondre Stevenson Over 81.5 Rush + Rec Yards (-115)
🏈 Braelon Allen Over 21.5 Rushing Yards (-115)
🏈 Garrett Wilson Anytime TD Scorer (+140)

Dimers' NFL Betting Resources for the 2024-25 Season

• NFL Week 3 Predictions: Our data-backed previews for every Week 3 matchup
• NFL Best Bets: Our Top Picks for every game, every week
• Super Bowl Odds: Who will hoist the Lombardi Trophy?
• Best NFL Props: Player edges and projections from our predictive analytics model
• NFL Betting News: The latest promos, storylines and more around the league

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