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NFL Picks: Our Best Props to Parlay in Detroit Lions vs. Los Angeles Rams [9/8/24]
The NFL season is here!
It's been a long six-month wait since we last got to watch (and bet on) meaningful NFL action and with the return of the regular season, comes the return of our NFL Primetime Parlay series.
We nearly cashed in the opening night of the NFL, coming up a few yards short on one leg, but we're ready for more on Sunday Night Football between the Detroit Lions and Los Angeles Rams.
A staple of our NFL content offerings last season, we're once again looking to deliver our best same-game parlay for the nighttime NFL action each and every week.
Every bet and insight featured in these parlays will be source directly from our Dimers Pro data, our all-encompassing subscription service. Available for less than $1/day, Dimers Pro features the best NFL bets, NFL player props, Super Bowl LIX predictions, parlay pick sand NFL betting trends analyzed by our in-house cutting-edge predictive models.
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Our +700 Detroit Lions vs. Los Angeles Rams Same Game Parlay Analysis
After simulating tonight's game over 10,000 times, our model has identified the following props with value, which we've selected from our NFL Best Props page after sorting for Lions vs. Rams.
PLAYER | PROP | PROBABILITY | ODDS |
---|---|---|---|
Kyren Williams (Rams) | Over 58.5 Rushing Yards | 65.6% | -120 |
DeMarcus Robinson (Rams) | Over 28.5 Receiving Yards | 65.6% | -115 |
Sam LaPorta (Lions) | Anytime Touchdown | 45.3% | +135 |
MORE: Detroit Lions vs. Los Angeles Rams Full Betting Preview
Leg 1: Kyren Williams Over 58.5 Rushing Yards (-120)
Projection: 76 Rushing Yards
This parlay starts off on the ground with the Rams incumbent RB1, Kyren Williams. A bit of talk has been drummed up over the Rams drafting Michigan stud RB Blake Corum in this past NFL Draft, but Kyren Williams has proven himself with Sean McVay and will undoubtedly get the bulk of the work to start the year.
We're projecting him to clear this mark substantially, with 76-yard projection and a 65.6% probability to go over his line of 58.5. After a slow start to the year, going under in four of his first five games last season, he smashed this mark over the final 6 weeks after returning from IR, never recording under 87 yards and over 100 in four of his final games.
Leg 2: DeMarcus Robinson Over 28.5 Receiving Yards (-115)
Projection: 36 Receiving Yards
He may be the third receiving option between veteran Cooper Kupp and last year's rookie sensation Puka Nacua, but DeMarcus Robinson has established himself as a viable receiving threat on this Rams team.
Though he didn't see a target until Week 9 last season, he was a critical part of the passing attack in the back half of the year, going for 40+ yards in five of his final six games.
A big play breaker, he recorded at least one catch of 20+ yards in each of those and 30+ in three of them. He can get this done with a single play and may need just two. We give him a 65.6% probability of clearing this mark.
Leg 3: Sam LaPorta Anytime TD (+135)
Projection: 45.3% TD Probability
We close out with our favorite TD prop and while we generally lean towards a favorite, we're getting some value on Sam LaPorta's odds.
Last year's rookie TE immediately planted his flag as a Top 5 talent in the league at the position, recording 889 yards and 10 TDs, tied for the fourth-most scores of the season.
He's the Lions' top option in the passing game behind Amon-Ra St. Brown and his 15 red zone targets last year were the most among tight ends. With a 45.3% TD probability, we say his odds shouldn't be any longer than +120.
There you have it, our three picks for tonight's Primetime Parlay - let's cash!
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Lions vs. Rams Same Game Parlay Picks
- Kyren Williams Over 58.5 Receiving Yards (-120)
- DeMarcus Robinson Over 28.5 Receiving Yards (-115)
- Sam LaPorta Anytime TD Scorer (+135)
Dimers' NFL Betting Resources for the 2024-25 Season
- 2024-25 Preseason Preview: Dimers' early looks at Win Totals and Playoff odds
- NFL Week 1 Predictions: Our data-backed previews for every Week 1 matchup
- NFL Best Bets: Our Top Picks for every game, every week
- Super Bowl Odds: Who will hoist the Lombardi Trophy?
- Best NFL Props: Player edges and projections from our predictive analytics model
- NFL Betting News: The latest promos, storylines and more around the league
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