NFL Picks: Our Best Props to Parlay in Buffalo Bills vs. Miami Dolphins [9/12/24]

And we're on to Week 2, folks.

After a lengthy offseason wait, the NFL returned with an action-packed Week 1 that did not disappoint.

We nearly cashed in the opening night of the NFL, coming up a few yards short on one leg, but we're ready for more this Thursday with our Primetime Parlay in Buffalo Bills vs. Miami Dolphins.

A staple of our NFL content offerings last season, we're once again looking to deliver our best same-game parlay for the nighttime NFL action each and every week.

Every bet and insight featured in these parlays will be source directly from our Dimers Pro data, our all-encompassing subscription service. Available for less than $1/day, Dimers Pro features the best NFL bets, NFL player props, Super Bowl LIX predictions, parlay picks and NFL betting trends analyzed by our in-house cutting-edge predictive models.

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Our +525 Buffalo Bills vs. Miami Dolphins Same Game Parlay Analysis

After simulating tonight's game over 10,000 times, our model has identified the following props with value, which we've selected from our NFL Best Props page after sorting for Bills vs. Dolphins.

MORE: Buffalo Bills vs. Miami Dolphins Full Betting Preview

Leg 1: James Cook Over 58.5 Rushing Yards (-115)

Projection: 66 rushing yards

First up is a rushing prop strongly favored by our model. you won't find an edge in Cook's odds which we typically are looking for, but with a solid projection advantage, the edge doesn't matter as much in a parlay.

Bills RB James Cook gets a 66-yard projection, clearing his line of 58.5 by 7 yards. The Dolphins allowed 44 yards on 12 attempts to Travis Etienne in Week 1, but also allowed 73 yards to Tank Bigsby on the same number of carries. cook saw 19 touches in Week 1, opening the door for a big day based on volume alone.

With our model also finding a slight edge in the under on Josh Allen's rushing yards tonight, we see even more evidence that James Cook will rumble his way to the over.

Leg 2: Mack Hollins Over 16.5 Receiving Yards (-120)

Projection: 28 receiving yards

Mack Hollins has become a journeyman in his short time in the NFL but he knows how to make a big play. In fact, he tends to only make big plays - in the 9 games he saw a target last season, he cleared this line on one catch in six of them.

Less is more for Mack, who rarely saw more than 4 targets a game in 2023, but he makes the most of them.

Last week, he caught two balls for 25 yards and a touchdown. With the Bills WR room in need of a true 1-3 hierarchy, Hollins is in a position to carve out his biggest role yet with the best quarterback he's ever played with throwing him the ball.

Leg 3: Tyreek Hill Anytime TD Scorer (-120)

Projection: 53.9% TD Probability

As always, we close out with our touchdown leg and it's on the star of the show, Tyreek Hill. He's unsurprisingly our model's favorite, just like the books, and our model equally agrees with his odds.

The Dolphins running game is banged up - Raheem Mostert is out and De'Von Achane is nursing an ankle injury, meaning the Fins could lean on the passing game even more than usual. The Bills mostly put the clamps on Kyler Murray in Week 1, but this Miami offense is far more high-powered than Arizona's.

Hill has a knack of burning defenses on a big play - any time the ball is in the air, there's a chance he's taking it to the house on the other end of the pass. 

There you have it, our three picks for tonight's Primetime Parlay - let's cash!

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Bills vs. Dolphins Same Game Parlay Picks

🏈 James Cook Over 58.5 Rush Yards
🏈 Mack Hollins Over 16.5 Rec Yards
🏈 Tyreek Hill Anytime TD Scorer (-120)

Dimers' NFL Betting Resources for the 2024-25 Season

• NFL Week 2 Predictions: Our data-backed previews for every Week 1 matchup
• NFL Best Bets: Our Top Picks for every game, every week
• Super Bowl Odds: Who will hoist the Lombardi Trophy?
• Best NFL Props: Player edges and projections from our predictive analytics model
• NFL Betting News: The latest promos, storylines and more around the league

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