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NFL Picks and Predictions Straight Up: Week 18, 2024
Dimers.com provides weekly NFL picks straight up as part of our NFL Picks coverage.
Week 18 of the NFL season is here, and we've used our powerful predictive analytics model to provide you with straight up NFL picks for all 16 games across the final week of the regular season.
Get an advantage in NFL pick 'em contests with our data-driven NFL picks for Week 18 of the 2023 NFL season. These picks are based on over 10,000 simulations of every NFL game.
There are 16 games on the slate for Week 18 of the 2024 NFL season, starting with the Pittsburgh Steelers playing the Baltimore Ravens on Saturday and concluding with the Buffalo Bills facing the Miami Dolphins on Sunday night.
These straight up picks for Week 18 are proudly sponsored by Bet365, which has a tasty Bet $5, Get $150 in Bonus Bets offer for new users.
Simply bet $5 on any of the NFL picks below to earn $150 in bonus bets to use on the rest of the Week 18 NFL slate!
See below for a full breakdown of each team's chances of winning in Week 18 of the NFL.
Straight Up NFL Picks - Week 18
Listed below are our Week 18 NFL predictions, which show the chances of each NFL team winning its game this week.
Pittsburgh Steelers vs. Baltimore Ravens
The Steelers play the Ravens at M&T Bank Stadium on Saturday to start Week 18. According to our model, the Steelers have a 60% chance of winning, while the Ravens have a 40% chance.
When looking at player props for the opening game of Week 18, our model projects Najee Harris (RB) as the most likely player from the Steelers to score the first TD in the game with a probability of 13.6%, while Tyler Huntley (QB) is the most likely from the Ravens at 6.6%.
Pittsburgh Steelers vs. Baltimore Ravens is at M&T Bank Stadium on Saturday, January 6 at 4:30pm EST.
All times stated in this article are in Eastern Standard Time (EST).
RELATED: Three players who could get PAID by triggering bonuses in Week 18
Houston Texans vs. Indianapolis Colts
In this week's game between the Texans and the Colts, Houston is more likely to win. Our prediction model gives the Texans a 53% chance of winning. On the other hand, there is a 47% chance that the Colts will win.
Houston Texans vs. Indianapolis Colts is at Lucas Oil Stadium on Saturday, January 6 at 8:15pm.
MORE: Super Bowl Odds
Atlanta Falcons vs. New Orleans Saints
We are picking the Saints to win their game against the Falcons this week, with our famous NFL model projecting a 60% win probability for the home team. The Falcons have a 40% chance of winning.
If you're looking to bet on this clash, Bet365 has the Saints listed as -3 favorites, whilst the Falcons' moneyline odds are at +145.
Atlanta Falcons vs. New Orleans Saints is at Caesars Superdome on Sunday, January 7 at 1:00pm.
Jacksonville Jaguars vs. Tennessee Titans
According to our predictive analytics model, the Jaguars are the team to beat in this game, with their win probability at 71%. The Titans, on the other hand, have a 29% chance of winning.
Jacksonville Jaguars vs. Tennessee Titans is at Nissan Stadium on Sunday, January 7 at 1:00pm.
MORE: NFL Best Bets
Minnesota Vikings vs. Detroit Lions
The Lions have a 66% chance of winning on Sunday afternoon, compared to the Vikings' 34% chance of victory. This makes the Detroit Lions our pick to win at Ford Field.
Minnesota Vikings vs. Detroit Lions is at Ford Field on Sunday, January 7 at 1:00pm.
New York Jets vs. New England Patriots
The Patriots are favored to win this one, with our model giving them a 59% chance, while the Jets enter the weekend with a 41% chance of securing a win at Gillette Stadium.
When it comes to betting on this game, Bet365 has the Jets' moneyline odds set at +114, with the home team Patriots listed as -1.5 favorites.
New York Jets vs. New England Patriots is at Gillette Stadium on Sunday, January 7 at 1:00pm.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs. Carolina Panthers
After 10,000 simulations of Buccaneers vs. Panthers this Sunday, our model projects the Buccaneers as the more likely winners with a probability of 74%. Their opponents the Panthers have a 26% chance of getting the win at home.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs. Carolina Panthers is at Bank of America Stadium on Tampa Bay, January 7 at 1:00pm.
MORE: NFL Player Props
Cleveland Browns vs. Cincinnati Bengals
Our model is picking the Bengals in this game, with the Bengals given a 78% chance of winning, while the Browns have a 22% win probability.
Cleveland Browns vs. Cincinnati Bengals is at Paycor Stadium on Sunday, January 7 at 1:00pm.
Seattle Seahawks vs. Arizona Cardinals
The next game of Week 18 sees the Seahawks take on the Cardinals at State Farm Stadium.
We are predicting the Seahawks to win with probability of 62%, while the Cardinals are projected to have a win chance of 38%.
As for the Vegas betting odds here, Bet365 has the Cardinals listed as +2.5 underdogs, with the Seahawks' moneyline odds posted at -142.
Seattle Seahawks vs. Arizona Cardinals is at State Farm Stadium on Sunday, January 7 at 4:25pm.
Chicago Bears vs. Green Bay Packers
The likely winner of this matchup is the Packers who have a projected win chance of 62% according to DimersBOT. On the other side of this matchup, the Bears have a projected win probability of 38%.
Chicago Bears vs. Green Bay Packers is at Lambeau Field on Sunday, January 7 at 4:25pm.
MORE: Best NFL Bets Today
Philadelphia Eagles vs. New York Giants
We have run our powerful NFL model over this week’s Eagles-Giants clash 10,000 times, with the Eagles coming out as the team to pick. Of those 10,000 simulations, the Eagles won 7,129 times, with the Giants winning on 2,871 occasions.
Philadelphia Eagles vs. New York Giants is at MetLife Stadium on Sunday, January 7 at 4:25pm.
Los Angeles Rams vs. San Francisco 49ers
Next up is the game between the Rams and 49ers, with our model projecting the home team as the more likely victor, with 49ers rated as a 64% chance of getting the W. The Rams on the other hand are projected to have a 36% chance of winning.
For those interested in betting on this matchup, Bet365 has the Rams' moneyline odds set at +166 for this road game, whilst the hosting 49ers are listed as -4 favorites.
Los Angeles Rams vs. San Francisco 49ers is at Levi's Stadium on Sunday, January 7 at 4:25pm.
Denver Broncos vs. Las Vegas Raiders
Our next straight up pick this week is for the Raiders to get the win against the Broncos. After running 10,000 simulations of this matchup, the Las Vegas have a win probability of 63%, with the Broncos at 37%.
Denver Broncos vs. Las Vegas Raiders is at Allegiant Stadium on Sunday, January 7 at 4:25pm.
Kansas City Chiefs vs. Los Angeles Chargers
With a win probability of 61% on Sunday afternoon, our straight up pick for this game is the Chargers, while their opponent, the Chiefs, have a projected win chance of 39%.
Kansas City Chiefs vs. Los Angeles Chargers is at SoFi Stadium on Sunday, January 7 at 4:25pm.
MORE: NFL Player Prop Picks for Week 18
Dallas Cowboys vs. Washington Commanders
The team to pick here is the Cowboys who have a 83% chance of winning their matchup against the Commanders this Sunday afternoon.
Looking at the betting odds for this Sunday afternoon clash, Bet365 has the Commanders listed as +13 underdogs at home, with the Cowboys' moneyline odds available at -750.
Dallas Cowboys vs. Washington Commanders is at FedExField on Sunday, January 7 at 4:25pm.
Buffalo Bills vs. Miami Dolphins
Our pick to win the final game of Week 18 is Bills, who have a win probability of 61%. Their opponents are projected to have a 39% chance of getting the W.
Buffalo Bills vs. Miami Dolphins is at Hard Rock Stadium on Sunday, January 7 at 8:20pm.
NFL Picks This Week Straight Up [Week 18, 2024]
- Steelers (60% win probability)
- Texans (53%)
- Saints (60%)
- Jaguars (71%)
- Lions (66%)
- Patriots (59%)
- Buccaneers (74%)
- Bengals (78%)
- Seahawks (62%)
- Packers (62%)
- Eagles (71%)
- 49ers (64%)
- Raiders (63%)
- Chargers (61%)
- Cowboys (83%)
- Bills (61%)
NFL Week 18 Slate and Game Times
- Steelers vs. Ravens (Saturday, 4:30PM ET)
- Texans vs. Colts (Saturday, 8:15PM ET)
- Falcons vs. Saints (Sunday, 1:00PM ET)
- Jaguars vs. Titans (Sunday, 1:00PM ET)
- Vikings vs. Lions (Sunday, 1:00PM ET)
- Jets vs. Patriots (Sunday, 1:00PM ET)
- Buccaneers vs. Panthers (Sunday, 1:00PM ET)
- Browns vs. Bengals (Sunday, 1:00PM ET)
- Seahawks vs. Cardinals (Sunday, 4:25PM ET)
- Bears vs. Packers (Sunday, 4:25PM ET)
- Eagles vs. Giants (Sunday, 4:25PM ET)
- Rams vs. 49ers (Sunday, 4:25PM ET)
- Broncos vs. Raiders (Sunday, 4:25PM ET)
- Chiefs vs. Chargers (Sunday, 4:25PM ET)
- Cowboys vs. Commanders (Sunday, 4:25PM ET)
- Bills vs. Dolphins (Sunday, 8:20PM ET)
All times mentioned in this article are in Eastern Standard Time (EST).
NFL Week 18 Bye Schedule: Who Has a Bye This Week?
All 32 teams are set to play in Week 18 of the 2024 NFL season, which means no team has a bye this week.
NFL Straight Up Picks and Predictions - Week 18
The NFL Week 18 picks straight up in this article are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Dimers is the best site for NFL predictions, and our straight up picks are being used by football fans all over the country.
If you choose to use our NFL straight up picks for betting purposes, it's important that you gamble responsibly and manage your finances effectively. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
Please note that all of the NFL odds and probabilities on this page are subject to change.
More on the NFL
As well as being your best source for NFL pick 'em predictions, Dimers also has the latest NFL news, NFL predictions for every game, weekly NFL best bets, and NFL futures.
Ryan Leaver uses advanced statistical models and simulations to predict outcomes and provide predictions for the NBA, NFL, college football, college basketball, and soccer. He offers detailed game previews, best bets, props, and futures articles.