NFL Picks and Predictions Straight Up: Week 15, 2023

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Written by Kevin Hansen
NFL Picks and Predictions Straight Up: Week 15, 2023

Dimers.com provides weekly NFL picks straight up as part of our NFL Picks coverage.

Week 15 of the NFL season is upon us, and we've used our state-of-the-art predictive analytics model to provide you with straight up NFL picks for all 16 games this week.

Secure an edge in NFL pick 'em competitions with our data-driven NFL picks for Week 15 of the 2023 NFL season. These picks are based on over 10,000 simulations of every NFL game.

There are 16 games on the slate for Week 15 of the 2023 NFL season, starting with the Los Angeles Chargers playing the Las Vegas Raiders on Thursday night and concluding with the Philadelphia Eagles taking on the Seattle Seahawks on Monday night.

These straight up picks for Week 15 are presented by Bet365, which has a tasty Bet $5, Get $150 in Bonus Bets promo for new customers.

Simply bet $5 on any of the NFL picks below to earn $150 in bonus bets to use on the rest of the Week 15 NFL slate - win or lose!

 

See below for a full breakdown of how likely each team is to win in NFL Week 15.

Straight Up NFL Picks - Week 15

Here are our Week 15 NFL predictions, which show the chances of each NFL team winning its game this week.

Los Angeles Chargers vs. Las Vegas Raiders

The Chargers take on the Raiders at Allegiant Stadium on Thursday night to start Week 15. According to our NFL model, the Raiders have a 60% chance of winning, while the Chargers have a 40% chance.

When looking at player props for the opening game of Week 15, our model projects Austin Ekeler (RB) as the most likely player from the Chargers to score the first TD in the game with a probability of 12.9%, while Josh Jacobs (RB) is the most likely from the Raiders at 13.6%.

Los Angeles Chargers vs. Las Vegas Raiders is at Allegiant Stadium on Thursday, December 14 at 8:15pm EST.

All times mentioned in this article are in Eastern Standard Time (EST).

Minnesota Vikings vs. Cincinnati Bengals

In this week's game between the Vikings and the Bengals, Cincinnati is more likely to win. Our prediction model gives the Bengals a 65% chance of winning. On the other hand, there is a 35% chance that the Vikings will win.

Minnesota Vikings vs. Cincinnati Bengals is at Paycor Stadium on Saturday, December 16 at 1:00pm.

MORE: Super Bowl Odds

Pittsburgh Steelers vs. Indianapolis Colts

We are picking the Colts to win their game against the Steelers this week, with our famous NFL model projecting a 59% win probability for the home team. The Steelers have a 41% chance of winning at Lucas Oil Stadium.

If you're looking to bet on this clash, Bet365 has the Colts listed as -2.5 favorites, whilst the Steelers' moneyline odds are at +125.

Pittsburgh Steelers vs. Indianapolis Colts is at Lucas Oil Stadium on Saturday, December 16 at 4:30pm.

Denver Broncos vs. Detroit Lions

According to our predictive analytics model, the Lions are the team to beat in this game, with their win probability at 69%. The Broncos, on the other hand, have a 31% chance of winning.

Denver Broncos vs. Detroit Lions is at Ford Field on Saturday, December 16 at 8:15pm.

MORE: NFL Best Bets

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs. Green Bay Packers

The Packers have a 62% chance of winning on Sunday afternoon, compared to the Buccaneers' 38% chance of victory. This makes the Green Bay Packers our pick to win at Lambeau Field.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs. Green Bay Packers is at Lambeau Field on Sunday, December 17 at 1:00pm.

Atlanta Falcons vs. Carolina Panthers

The Falcons are favored to win this game, with our model giving them a 68% chance, while the Panthers enter the weekend with a 32% chance of causing an upset at Bank of America Stadium.

When it comes to betting on this game, Bet365 has the Falcons' moneyline odds set at -162, with the home team Panthers listed as +3 underdogs.

Atlanta Falcons vs. Carolina Panthers is at Bank of America Stadium on Sunday, December 17 at 1:00pm.

New York Giants vs. New Orleans Saints

After 10,000 simulations of Giants vs. Saints this Sunday, our model projects the Saints as the more likely winners with a probability of 73%. Their opponents the Giants have a 27% chance of getting the win on the road.

New York Giants vs. New Orleans Saints is at Caesars Superdome on NY Giants, December 17 at 1:00pm.

MORE: NFL Player Props

Kansas City Chiefs vs. New England Patriots

Our model is picking the Chiefs in this matchup, with the Chiefs given an 87% chance of winning, while the Patriots have a 13% chance of an upset win.

Kansas City Chiefs vs. New England Patriots is at Gillette Stadium on Sunday, December 17 at 1:00pm.

Houston Texans vs. Tennessee Titans

The next game of Week 15 sees the Texans take on the Titans at Nissan Stadium.

We are predicting the Titans to win with projected win chance of 59%, while the Texans are projected to have a win chance of 41%.

As for the Vegas betting odds here, Bet365 has the Titans listed as -2.5 favorites, with the Texans' moneyline odds posted at +120.

Houston Texans vs. Tennessee Titans is at Nissan Stadium on Sunday, December 17 at 1:00pm.

Chicago Bears vs. Cleveland Browns

The likely winner of this matchup is the Browns who have a projected win chance of 66% according to DimersBOT. On the other side of this matchup, the Bears have a projected win probability of 34%.

Chicago Bears vs. Cleveland Browns is at Cleveland Browns Stadium on Sunday, December 17 at 1:00pm.

MORE: Best NFL Bets Today

New York Jets vs. Miami Dolphins

We have run our powerful NFL model over this week’s Jets-Dolphins clash 10,000 times, with the Dolphins coming out as the team to pick. Of those 10,000 simulations, the Dolphins won 8,074 times, with the Jets winning on 1,926 occasions.

New York Jets vs. Miami Dolphins is at Hard Rock Stadium on Sunday, December 17 at 1:00pm.

Washington Commanders vs. Los Angeles Rams

Next up is the game between the Commanders and Rams, with our model projecting the home team as the more likely victor, with Rams rated as a 71% chance of getting the W. The Commanders on the other hand are projected to have a 29% chance of winning.

For those interested in betting on this matchup, Bet365 has the Commanders' moneyline odds set at +260 for this road game, whilst the hosting Rams are listed as -7 favorites.

Washington Commanders vs. Los Angeles Rams is at SoFi Stadium on Sunday, December 17 at 4:05pm.

San Francisco 49ers vs. Arizona Cardinals

Our next straight up pick this week is for the 49ers to get the win against the Cardinals. After running 10,000 simulations of this matchup, the San Francisco have a win probability of 89%, with the Cardinals at 11%.

San Francisco 49ers vs. Arizona Cardinals is at State Farm Stadium on Sunday, December 17 at 4:05pm.

Dallas Cowboys vs. Buffalo Bills

With a win probability of 55% on Sunday afternoon, our straight up pick for this game is the Bills, while their opponent, the Cowboys, have a projected win chance of 45%.

Dallas Cowboys vs. Buffalo Bills is at Highmark Stadium on Sunday, December 17 at 4:25pm.

MORE: NFL Player Prop Picks for Week 15

Baltimore Ravens vs. Jacksonville Jaguars

The team to pick here is the Ravens who have a 60% chance of winning their matchup against the Jaguars this Sunday night.

Looking at the betting odds for this Sunday Night Football clash, Bet365 has the Jaguars listed as +3.5 underdogs at home, with the Ravens' moneyline odds available at -174.

Baltimore Ravens vs. Jacksonville Jaguars is at EverBank Stadium on Sunday, December 17 at 8:20pm.

Philadelphia Eagles vs. Seattle Seahawks

Our pick to win Monday Night Football in Week 15 is the Eagles, who have a win probability of 66%. Their opponents in the Seahawks are projected to have a 34% chance of getting the W.

Philadelphia Eagles vs. Seattle Seahawks is at Lumen Field on Monday, December 18 at 8:15pm.

NFL Picks This Week Straight Up [Week 15, 2023]

  • Raiders (60% win probability)
  • Bengals (65%)
  • Colts (59%)
  • Lions (69%)
  • Packers (62%)
  • Falcons (68%)
  • Saints (73%)
  • Chiefs (87%)
  • Titans (59%)
  • Browns (66%)
  • Dolphins (81%)
  • Rams (71%)
  • 49ers (89%)
  • Bills (55%)
  • Ravens (60%)
  • Eagles (66%)

NFL Week 15 Slate and Game Times

All times mentioned in this article are in Eastern Standard Time (EST).

NFL Week 15 Bye Schedule: Who Has a Bye This Week?

All 32 teams are set to play in Week 15 of the 2023 NFL season, which means no team has a bye this week.

NFL Straight Up Picks and Predictions - Week 15

The NFL Week 15 picks straight up in this article are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Dimers is the best site for NFL predictions, and our straight up picks are being used by football fans all over the country.

If you choose to use our NFL straight up picks for betting purposes, it's crucial that you gamble responsibly and manage your finances effectively. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

Please note that all of the NFL odds and probabilities on this page are subject to change.

More on the NFL

As well as being your best source for NFL pick 'em predictions, Dimers also has the latest NFL news, NFL predictions for every game, weekly NFL best bets, and NFL futures.

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Written by
Kevin Hansen
Senior Sports Analyst

Kevin Hansen specializes in NFL, NBA, MLB, and NHL content, using data-driven insights for sports betting. He provides simple, actionable betting tips to help bettors find an edge and pick winners.

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