NFL Picks and Predictions Straight Up: Week 14, 2023

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Written by Kevin Hansen
NFL Picks and Predictions Straight Up: Week 14, 2023

Dimers.com provides weekly NFL picks straight up as part of our NFL Picks coverage.

Week 14 of the NFL season is here, and we've used our state-of-the-art predictive analytics model to provide you with straight up NFL picks for all 15 games.

Gain the edge in NFL pick 'em contests with our data-driven NFL picks for Week 14 of the 2023 NFL season. These picks are based on over 10,000 simulations of every NFL game.

There are 15 games on the slate for Week 14 of the 2023 NFL season, beginning with the New England Patriots playing the Pittsburgh Steelers on Thursday night and ending with the Tennessee Titans facing the Miami Dolphins on Monday.

These straight up picks for Week 14 are presented by Bet365, which has a Bet $5, Get $150 in Bonus Bets; for new users.

Just bet $5 on any of the NFL picks below to get $150 in bonus bets to use on the rest of the Week 14 NFL slate!

 

See below for a full list of each team's chances of winning in Week 14 of the NFL.

Straight Up NFL Picks - Week 14

Here are our Week 14 NFL predictions, which show how likely it is that each NFL team will win its game this week.

New England Patriots vs. Pittsburgh Steelers

The Patriots face the Steelers at Acrisure Stadium on Thursday to start Week 14. According to our model, the Steelers have an 80% chance of winning, while the Patriots have a 20% chance.

New England Patriots vs. Pittsburgh Steelers is at Acrisure Stadium on Thursday, December 7 at 8:15pm EST.

All times stated in this article are in Eastern Standard Time (EST).

Carolina Panthers vs. New Orleans Saints

In this week's game between the Panthers and the Saints, New Orleans is more likely to win. Our prediction model gives the Saints a 74% chance of winning. On the other hand, there is a 26% chance that the Panthers will pull off an upset win.

Carolina Panthers vs. New Orleans Saints is at Caesars Superdome on Sunday, December 10 at 1:00pm.

MORE: Super Bowl Odds

Los Angeles Rams vs. Baltimore Ravens

We are picking the Ravens to win their game against the Rams this week, with our famous NFL model projecting a 74% win probability for the home team. The Rams have a 26% chance of winning.

If you're looking to bet on this clash, Bet365 has the Ravens listed as -7.5 favorites, whilst the Rams' moneyline odds are at +265.

Los Angeles Rams vs. Baltimore Ravens is at M&T Bank Stadium on Sunday, December 10 at 1:00pm.

Indianapolis Colts vs. Cincinnati Bengals

According to our predictive analytics model, the Colts are the team to beat in this game, with their win probability at 54%. The Bengals, on the other hand, have a 46% chance of winning.

Indianapolis Colts vs. Cincinnati Bengals is at Paycor Stadium on Sunday, December 10 at 1:00pm.

MORE: NFL Best Bets

Jacksonville Jaguars vs. Cleveland Browns

The Browns have a 57% chance of winning on Sunday afternoon, compared to the Jaguars' 43% chance of victory. This makes the Cleveland Browns our pick to win at Cleveland Browns Stadium.

Jacksonville Jaguars vs. Cleveland Browns is at Cleveland Browns Stadium on Sunday, December 10 at 1:00pm.

Detroit Lions vs. Chicago Bears

The Lions are favorites to win this one, with our model giving them a 67% chance, while the Bears enter the weekend with a 33% chance of causing an upset at Soldier Field.

When it comes to betting on this game, Bet365 has the Lions' moneyline odds set at -162, with the home team Bears listed as +3.5 underdogs.

Detroit Lions vs. Chicago Bears is at Soldier Field on Sunday, December 10 at 1:00pm.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs. Atlanta Falcons

After 10,000 simulations of Buccaneers vs. Falcons this Sunday, our model projects the Falcons as the more likely winners with a probability of 61%. Their opponents the Buccaneers have a 39% chance of getting the win on the road.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs. Atlanta Falcons is at Mercedes-Benz Stadium on Tampa Bay, December 10 at 1:00pm.

MORE: NFL Player Props

Houston Texans vs. New York Jets

Our model is picking the Texans in this matchup, with the Texans given an 82% chance of winning, while the Jets have an 18% win probability.

Houston Texans vs. New York Jets is at MetLife Stadium on Sunday, December 10 at 1:00pm.

Seattle Seahawks vs. San Francisco 49ers

The next game of Week 14 sees the Seahawks take on the 49ers at Levi's Stadium.

We are predicting the 49ers to win with probability of 83%, while the Seahawks are projected to have a win chance of 17%.

As for the Vegas betting odds here, Bet365 has the 49ers listed as -10.5 favorites, with the Seahawks' moneyline odds posted at +425.

Seattle Seahawks vs. San Francisco 49ers is at Levi's Stadium on Sunday, December 10 at 4:05pm.

Minnesota Vikings vs. Las Vegas Raiders

The likely winner of this matchup is the Vikings who have a projected win chance of 67% according to DimersBOT. On the other side of this matchup, the Raiders have a projected win probability of 33%.

Minnesota Vikings vs. Las Vegas Raiders is at Allegiant Stadium on Sunday, December 10 at 4:05pm.

MORE: Best NFL Bets Today

Buffalo Bills vs. Kansas City Chiefs

We have run our powerful NFL model over this week’s Bills-Chiefs clash 10,000 times, with the Chiefs coming out as the team to pick. Of those 10,000 simulations, the Chiefs won 6,033 times, with the Bills winning on 3,967 occasions.

Buffalo Bills vs. Kansas City Chiefs is at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium on Sunday, December 10 at 4:25pm.

Denver Broncos vs. Los Angeles Chargers

Next up is the game between the Broncos and Chargers, with our model projecting the home team as the more likely victor, with Chargers rated as a 61% chance of getting the W. The Broncos on the other hand are projected to have a 39% chance of winning.

For those interested in betting on this matchup, Bet365 has the Broncos' moneyline odds set at +125 for this road game, whilst the hosting Chargers are listed as -2.5 favorites.

Denver Broncos vs. Los Angeles Chargers is at SoFi Stadium on Sunday, December 10 at 4:25pm.

Philadelphia Eagles vs. Dallas Cowboys

Our next straight up pick this week is for the Cowboys to get the win against the Eagles. After running 10,000 simulations of this matchup, the Dallas have a win probability of 62%, with the Eagles at 38%.

Philadelphia Eagles vs. Dallas Cowboys is at AT&T Stadium on Sunday, December 10 at 8:20pm.

Green Bay Packers vs. New York Giants

With a win probability of 79% on Monday night, our straight up pick for this game is the Packers, while their opponent, the Giants, have a projected win chance of 21%.

Green Bay Packers vs. New York Giants is at MetLife Stadium on Monday, December 11 at 8:15pm.

MORE: NFL Player Prop Picks for Week 14

Tennessee Titans vs. Miami Dolphins

The team to pick here is the Dolphins who have a 89% chance of winning their matchup against the Titans this Sunday night.

Looking at the betting odds for this Monday Night Football clash, Bet365 has the Dolphins listed as -14 favorites at home, with the Titans' moneyline odds available at +610.

Tennessee Titans vs. Miami Dolphins is at Hard Rock Stadium on Monday, December 11 at 8:15pm.

NFL Picks This Week Straight Up [Week 14, 2023]

  • Steelers (80% win probability)
  • Saints (74%)
  • Ravens (74%)
  • Colts (54%)
  • Browns (57%)
  • Lions (67%)
  • Falcons (61%)
  • Texans (82%)
  • 49ers (83%)
  • Vikings (67%)
  • Chiefs (60%)
  • Chargers (61%)
  • Cowboys (62%)
  • Packers (79%)
  • Dolphins (89%)

NFL Week 14 Slate and Game Times

All times mentioned in this article are in Eastern Standard Time (EST).

NFL Week 14 Bye Teams: Who Has a Bye This Week?

  • Arizona Cardinals
  • Washington Commanders

NFL Straight Up Picks and Predictions - Week 14

The NFL Week 14 picks straight up in this article are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Dimers is the best site for NFL predictions, and our straight up picks are being used by football fans all over the country.

If you decide to use our NFL straight up picks for betting purposes, it's crucial that you gamble responsibly and keep track of your money. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

Please note that all of the NFL odds and probabilities on this page are subject to change.

More on the NFL

As well as being your trusted source for NFL pick 'em predictions, Dimers also has the latest NFL news, NFL predictions for every game, weekly NFL best bets, and NFL futures.

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Written by
Kevin Hansen
Senior Sports Analyst

Kevin Hansen specializes in NFL, NBA, MLB, and NHL content, using data-driven insights for sports betting. He provides simple, actionable betting tips to help bettors find an edge and pick winners.

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