NFL Picks and Predictions Straight Up: Week 11, 2023

Dimers.com provides weekly NFL picks straight up as part of our NFL Picks coverage.

Week 11 of the NFL season is upon us, and we've used our sophisticated predictive analytics model to give you straight up NFL picks for all 14 games.

Secure an edge in NFL pick 'em competitions with our data-driven NFL picks for Week 11 of the 2023 NFL season. These picks are based on over 10,000 simulations of every NFL game.

There are 14 games on the slate for Week 11 of the 2023 NFL season, beginning with the Cincinnati Bengals playing the Baltimore Ravens on Thursday night and ending with the Philadelphia Eagles facing the Kansas City Chiefs on Monday.

These straight up picks for Week 11 are sponsored by Bet365, which has a Bet $5, Get $150 in Bonus Bets offer for new customers.

Simply bet $5 on any of the NFL picks below to get $150 in bonus bets to use on the rest of the Week 11 NFL slate!

See below for a full breakdown of each team's chances of winning in NFL Week 11.

Straight Up NFL Picks - Week 11

Here are our Week 11 NFL predictions, which show how likely it is that each NFL team will win its game this week.

Cincinnati Bengals vs. Baltimore Ravens

The Bengals play the Ravens at M&T Bank Stadium on Thursday to start Week 11. According to our model, the Ravens have a 59% chance of winning, while the Bengals have a 41% chance.

When looking at player props for the opening game of Week 2, our model projects Ja'Marr Chase (WR) as the most likely player from the Bengals to score the first TD in the game with a probability of 10.0%, while Mark Andrews (TE) is the most likely from the Ravens at 7.7%.

Cincinnati Bengals vs. Baltimore Ravens is at M&T Bank Stadium on Thursday, November 16 at 8:15pm EST.

All times stated in this article are in Eastern Standard Time (EST).

Dallas Cowboys vs. Carolina Panthers

In this week's game between the Cowboys and the Panthers, Dallas is more likely to win. Our prediction model gives the Cowboys an 85% chance of winning. On the other hand, there is a 15% chance that the Panthers will pull off an upset win.

Dallas Cowboys vs. Carolina Panthers is at Bank of America Stadium on Sunday, November 19 at 1:00pm.

MORE: Super Bowl Odds

Pittsburgh Steelers vs. Cleveland Browns

We are picking the Browns to win their game against the Steelers this week, with our powerful NFL model projecting a 66% win probability for the home team. The Steelers have a 34% chance of winning at Cleveland Browns Stadium.

If you're looking to bet on this clash, Bet365 has the Browns listed as -4 favorites, whilst the Steelers' moneyline odds are at +165.

Pittsburgh Steelers vs. Cleveland Browns is at Cleveland Browns Stadium on Sunday, November 19 at 1:00pm.

Chicago Bears vs. Detroit Lions

According to our predictive analytics model, the Lions are the team to beat in this game, with their win probability at 82%. The Bears, on the other hand, have an 18% chance of winning.

Chicago Bears vs. Detroit Lions is at Ford Field on Sunday, November 19 at 1:00pm.

MORE: NFL Best Bets

Arizona Cardinals vs. Houston Texans

The Texans have a 67% chance of winning on Sunday afternoon, compared to the Cardinals' 33% chance of victory. This makes the Houston Texans our pick to win at NRG Stadium.

Arizona Cardinals vs. Houston Texans is at NRG Stadium on Sunday, November 19 at 1:00pm.

Las Vegas Raiders vs. Miami Dolphins

The Dolphins are favorites to win here, with our predictive analytics model giving them an 83% chance, while the Raiders enter the weekend with a 17% chance of causing an upset at Hard Rock Stadium.

When it comes to betting on this game, Bet365 has the Raiders' moneyline odds set at +525, with the home team Dolphins listed as -12 favorites.

Las Vegas Raiders vs. Miami Dolphins is at Hard Rock Stadium on Sunday, November 19 at 1:00pm.

New York Giants vs. Washington Commanders

After 10,000 simulations of Giants vs. Commanders this Sunday, our model projects the Commanders as the more likely winners with a probability of 88%. Their opponents the Giants have a 12% chance of getting the win on the road.

New York Giants vs. Washington Commanders is at FedExField on NY Giants, November 19 at 1:00pm.

MORE: NFL Player Props

Los Angeles Chargers vs. Green Bay Packers

Our model is picking the Chargers in this game, with the Chargers given a 66% chance of winning, while the Packers have a 34% chance of an upset win.

Los Angeles Chargers vs. Green Bay Packers is at Lambeau Field on Sunday, November 19 at 1:00pm.

Tennessee Titans vs. Jacksonville Jaguars

The next game of Week 11 sees the Titans take on the Jaguars at EverBank Stadium.

We are predicting the Jaguars to win with probability of 77%, while the Titans are projected to have a win chance of 23%.

As for the Vegas betting odds here, Bet365 has the Jaguars listed as -6.5 favorites, with the Titans' moneyline odds posted at +240.

Tennessee Titans vs. Jacksonville Jaguars is at EverBank Stadium on Sunday, November 19 at 1:00pm.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs. San Francisco 49ers

The likely winner of this matchup is the 49ers who have a projected win chance of 85% according to DimersBOT. On the other side of this matchup, the Buccaneers have a projected win probability of 15%.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs. San Francisco 49ers is at Levi's Stadium on Sunday, November 19 at 4:05pm.

MORE: Best NFL Bets Today

New York Jets vs. Buffalo Bills

We have run our powerful NFL model over this week’s Jets-Bills clash 10,000 times, with the Bills coming out as the team to pick. Of those 10,000 simulations, the Bills won 7,869 times, with the Jets winning on 2,131 occasions.

New York Jets vs. Buffalo Bills is at Highmark Stadium on Sunday, November 19 at 4:25pm.

Seattle Seahawks vs. Los Angeles Rams

Next up is the game between the Seahawks and Rams, with our model projecting the road team as the more likely victor, with Seahawks rated as a 58% chance of getting the W. The Rams on the other hand are projected to have a 42% chance of winning.

For those interested in betting on this matchup, Bet365 has the Seahawks' moneyline odds set at -115 for this road game, whilst the hosting Rams are listed as +1 underdogs.

Seattle Seahawks vs. Los Angeles Rams is at SoFi Stadium on Sunday, November 19 at 4:25pm.

Minnesota Vikings vs. Denver Broncos

Our next straight up pick this week is for the Broncos to get the win against the Vikings. After running 10,000 simulations of this matchup, the Denver have a win probability of 57%, with the Vikings at 43%.

Minnesota Vikings vs. Denver Broncos is at Empower Field at Mile High on Sunday, November 19 at 8:20pm.

Philadelphia Eagles vs. Kansas City Chiefs

With a win probability of 62% on Monday night, our straight up pick for this game is the Chiefs, while their opponent, the Eagles, have a projected win chance of 38%.

Philadelphia Eagles vs. Kansas City Chiefs is at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium on Monday, November 20 at 8:15pm.

MORE: NFL Player Prop Picks for Week 11

NFL Picks This Week Straight Up [Week 11, 2023]

• Ravens (59% win probability)
• Cowboys (85%)
• Browns (66%)
• Lions (82%)
• Texans (67%)
• Dolphins (83%)
• Commanders (88%)
• Chargers (66%)
• Jaguars (77%)
• 49ers (85%)
• Bills (79%)
• Seahawks (58%)
• Broncos (57%)
• Chiefs (62%)

NFL Week 11 Slate and Game Times

• Bengals vs. Ravens (Thursday, 8:15PM ET)
• Cowboys vs. Panthers (Sunday, 1:00PM ET)
• Steelers vs. Browns (Sunday, 1:00PM ET)
• Bears vs. Lions (Sunday, 1:00PM ET)
• Cardinals vs. Texans (Sunday, 1:00PM ET)
• Raiders vs. Dolphins (Sunday, 1:00PM ET)
• Giants vs. Commanders (Sunday, 1:00PM ET)
• Chargers vs. Packers (Sunday, 1:00PM ET)
• Titans vs. Jaguars (Sunday, 1:00PM ET)
• Buccaneers vs. 49ers (Sunday, 4:05PM ET)
• Jets vs. Bills (Sunday, 4:25PM ET)
• Seahawks vs. Rams (Sunday, 4:25PM ET)
• Vikings vs. Broncos (Sunday, 8:20PM ET)
• Eagles vs. Chiefs (Monday, 8:15PM ET)

All times mentioned in this article are in Eastern Standard Time (EST).

NFL Week 11 Bye Schedule: Who Has a Bye This Week?

• Atlanta Falcons
• Indianapolis Colts
• New England Patriots
• New Orleans Saints

NFL Straight Up Picks and Predictions - Week 11

The NFL Week 11 picks straight up in this article are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Dimers is the best site for NFL predictions, and our straight up picks are being used by football fans all over the country.

If you choose to use our NFL straight up picks for betting purposes, it's important that you gamble responsibly and know when to stop. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

Please note that all of the NFL odds and probabilities on this page are subject to change.

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