NFL Picks Against the Spread for Week 9, 2024

As part of our comprehensive NFL betting coverage, Dimers.com provides a weekly list of NFL picks against the spread, and for Week 9, we've harnessed our advanced predictive analytics model to deliver NFL spread picks for all 15 games.

With professional NFL picks against spread for every game on the Week 9 NFL slate, our expert predictive model is here to guide you through another exciting week of football.

Below, you'll find a detailed breakdown of each team's chances of covering the spread in NFL Week 9, based on thousands of simulations of every game. These NFL predictions for Week 9 show the probability of each team covering the spread in their respective games.

While the picks in this article are based purely on probabilities, it's crucial for bettors to note that the best betting value may come from better odds available elsewhere.

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For more NFL betting coverage, check out the best NFL week 9 odds and our NFL Week 9 straight up picks.

NFL Spread Picks: Week 9, 2024

Houston Texans vs. New York Jets (-2.5)

The opening game of Week 9 features the Jets hosting the Texans, with New York listed as a 2.5-point favorite.

After 10,000 simulations of this matchup, our expertly tuned model projects the Texans as having a 57% chance of covering the spread, while the Jets have a 43% chance.

• Pick ATS: Texans +2.5

Washington Commanders vs. New York Giants (+4)

Simulations show a 56% chance of the Giants (+4) covering the spread at MetLife Stadium, while the Commanders have a 44% chance.

• Pick ATS: Giants +4

Los Angeles Chargers vs. Cleveland Browns (+1.5)

The Browns are listed as +1.5 underdogs against the Chargers this week.

Our model projects the Chargers as the more likely team to cover, with a probability of 53%, compared to 47% for the Browns.

• Pick ATS: Chargers -1.5

Miami Dolphins vs. Buffalo Bills (-5.5)

Our simulations give the Dolphins a 47% chance of covering the -5.5 spread on the road against the Bills, who have a 53% chance.

• Pick ATS: Bills -5.5

For those interested in betting on the spread, the oddsmakers have listed the Dolphins at -102 to cover and the Bills at -120.

Dallas Cowboys vs. Atlanta Falcons (-2.5)

At home against the Cowboys, the Falcons are 2.5-point favorites.

Our model projects a 56% chance of the Falcons covering the spread, while the Cowboys have a 44% chance.

• Pick ATS: Falcons -2.5

New England Patriots vs. Tennessee Titans (-3.5)

Our model projects a 59% chance of the Patriots covering the spread against the Titans, who have a 41% chance.

The line is set with Tennessee as 3.5-point favorites at home.

• Pick ATS: Patriots +3.5

Las Vegas Raiders vs. Cincinnati Bengals (-7.5)

In this game at Paycor Stadium, the Bengals are 7.5-point favorites at home.

According to our model, the Raiders have a 54% chance of covering the spread, while the Bengals have a 46% chance.

• Pick ATS: Raiders +7.5

Denver Broncos vs. Baltimore Ravens (-9.5)

Our model predicts the Broncos to cover the spread in this matchup, giving them a 51% chance against the Ravens.

• Pick ATS: Broncos +9.5

For those looking to place a bet, the line is set at Ravens -9.5, with the odds at -105 for the Ravens to cover at home and -115 for the Broncos to cover on the road.

New Orleans Saints vs. Carolina Panthers (+7.5)

Our simulations suggest a 50% chance for either of the Panthers or Saints covering the spread.

Our model's slight lean goes to the Panthers.

• Pick ATS: Panthers +7.5

Chicago Bears vs. Arizona Cardinals (-1)

The Cardinals enter this matchup as 1-point favorites at home against the Bears.

According to our simulations, the Cardinals have a 52% chance of covering the spread, while the Bears have a 48% chance.

• Pick ATS: Cardinals -1

For those interested in betting on this line, the Bears are listed at -110 to cover, with the Cardinals also at -110.

Jacksonville Jaguars vs. Philadelphia Eagles (-7.5)

With a probability of 56%, our pick to cover in this game is the Jaguars +7.5. The Eagles, their opponent, have a projected 44% chance of covering the spread.

• Pick ATS: Jaguars +7.5

Detroit Lions vs. Green Bay Packers (+3.5)

The Packers have a 59% chance of covering the spread on Sunday afternoon, compared to the Lions' 41% chance.

This makes the Packers +3.5 our pick against the spread at State Farm Stadium.

• Pick ATS: Packers +3.5

Los Angeles Rams vs. Seattle Seahawks (+1.5)

We've run our powerful NFL model 10,000 times for this week’s Rams-Seahawks clash, and the Rams -1.5 emerged as the pick to make against the spread.

Of those 10,000 simulations, the Rams covered the -1.5 line 5,348 times, with the Seahawks covered it 4,652 times.

• Pick ATS: Rams -1.5

Indianapolis Colts vs. Minnesota Vikings (-5.5)

Our simulations indicate a 51% chance of the Colts covering the spread in this matchup, while the Vikings have a 49% chance.

This makes the Colts a pick against the spread for the Week 9 game at U.S. Bank Stadium.

• Pick ATS: Colts +5.5

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs. Kansas City Chiefs (-9.5)

We are picking the Buccaneers to cover the spread in their game against the Chiefs this week.

According to our trusted NFL model, there is a 55% chance that the road team will cover the +9.5 line, while the Chiefs have a 45% chance on Monday Night Football.

• Pick ATS: Buccaneers +9.5

Complete List of NFL Week 9 Picks Against the Spread:

• Texans +2.5 (57%)
• Giants +4 (56%)
• Chargers -1.5 (53%)
• Bills -5.5 (53%)
• Falcons -2.5 (56%)
• Patriots +3.5 (59%)
• Raiders +7.5 (54%)
• Broncos +9.5 (51%)
• Panthers +7.5 (slight lean)
• Cardinals -1 (52%)
• Jaguars +7.5 (56%)
• Packers +3.5 (59%)
• Rams -1.5 (53%)
• Colts +5.5 (51%)
• Buccaneers +9.5 (55%)

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NFL Week 9 Slate and Game Times

Below is the schedule and start times for each Week 9 matchup, so you can catch every moment of the action.

• Texans vs. Jets (Thursday, 8:15PM ET)
• Commanders vs. Giants (Sunday, 1:00PM ET)
• Chargers vs. Browns (Sunday, 1:00PM ET)
• Dolphins vs. Bills (Sunday, 1:00PM ET)
• Cowboys vs. Falcons (Sunday, 1:00PM ET)
• Patriots vs. Titans (Sunday, 1:00PM ET)
• Raiders vs. Bengals (Sunday, 1:00PM ET)
• Broncos vs. Ravens (Sunday, 1:00PM ET)
• Saints vs. Panthers (Sunday, 1:00PM ET)
• Bears vs. Cardinals (Sunday, 4:05PM ET)
• Jaguars vs. Eagles (Sunday, 4:05PM ET)
• Lions vs. Packers (Sunday, 4:25PM ET)
• Rams vs. Seahawks (Sunday, 4:25PM ET)
• Colts vs. Vikings (Sunday, 8:20PM ET)
• Buccaneers vs. Chiefs (Monday, 8:15PM ET)

Week 9 NFL Picks Against Spread

The NFL Week 9 picks against the spread in this article are accurate at the time of publication and may be subject to change.

Football fans across the country rely on our NFL expert picks against the spread because Dimers.com is the best website for NFL predictions.

If you choose to use our NFL spread picks for betting, it's important to gamble responsibly and keep track of your money. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

Please note that all NFL odds and probabilities on this page are subject to change.

Conclusion

Our Week 9 NFL picks against the spread start with the Texans +2.5 at a 57% probability on Thursday Night Football, with the week concluding as we pick the Buccaneers +9.5 with a probability of 55%.

For more Week 9 betting tools, explore our NFL odds, NFL prop bets, NFL trends and NFL futures.