NFL Picks Against the Spread for Week 7, 2024

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Written by Ryan Leaver
NFL Picks ATS.
NFL picks against the spread based on 10,000 simulations of every Week 7 game.

As part of our extensive NFL betting coverage, Dimers.com provides weekly NFL picks against the spread, and for Week 7, we've utilized our advanced predictive analytics model to deliver NFL spread picks for all 15 games.

With professional NFL picks against spread for each game on the Week 7 NFL slate, our expert predictive model is here to guide you through another exciting week of football.

Below, you'll find a detailed list of each team's chances of covering the spread in Week 7 of the NFL, based on thousands of simulations of every game. These NFL predictions for Week 7 show the probability of each team covering the spread in their respective games.

While the picks in this article are based purely on probabilities, it's crucial for bettors to note that the best betting value may come from better odds available elsewhere.

Before placing any NFL bets, be sure to explore our full list of NFL best bets and NFL picks with Dimers Pro.

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For more NFL betting coverage, check out the best NFL week 7 odds and our NFL Week 7 straight up picks.

NFL Spread Picks: Week 7, 2024

Denver Broncos vs. New Orleans Saints (+2.5)

The opening game of Week 7 features the Saints hosting the Broncos, with New Orleans listed as a 2.5-point underdog.

After 10,000 simulations of this matchup, our expertly tuned model projects the Saints as having a 58% chance of covering the spread, while the Broncos have a 42% chance.

  • Pick ATS: Saints +2.5

New England Patriots vs. Jacksonville Jaguars (-5.5)

Simulations show an equal 50-50 chance of the Jaguars and Patriots covering the spread, with our model slightly favoring the Jaguars for those looking for a pick against the spread..

  • Pick ATS: Jaguars -5.5

Philadelphia Eagles vs. New York Giants (+3)

The Giants are listed as +3 underdogs against the Eagles this week.

Our model projects both the Giants and Eagles to have a 50% chance of covering, with the Giants slightly more likely when looking deep into the numbers.

  • Pick ATS: Giants +3

Seattle Seahawks vs. Atlanta Falcons (-3)

Our simulations give the Seahawks a 56% chance of covering the -3 spread on the road against the Falcons, who have a 44% chance.

  • Pick ATS: Seahawks +3

For those interested in betting on the spread, the oddsmakers have listed the Seahawks at -115 to cover and the Falcons at -102.

Houston Texans vs. Green Bay Packers (-2.5)

At home against the Texans, the Packers are 2.5-point favorites.

Our model projects a 56% chance of the Packers covering the spread, while the Texans have a 44% chance.

  • Pick ATS: Packers -2.5

Cincinnati Bengals vs. Cleveland Browns (+5.5)

Our model projects an even 50-50 chance for both the Browns and Bengals to cover in this matchup, with the Browns slightly favored.

The line is set with Cincinnati as 5.5-point favorites on the road.

  • Pick ATS: Browns +5.5

Detroit Lions vs. Minnesota Vikings (-1.5)

In this closely matched game, the Vikings are 1.5-point favorites at home.

According to our model, both sides have an equal 50% chance of covering, with the slight lean going to the Vikings.

  • Pick ATS: Vikings -1.5

Miami Dolphins vs. Indianapolis Colts (-3.5)

Our model predicts the Dolphins to cover the spread in this game, giving them a 63% chance against the Colts.

  • Pick ATS: Dolphins +3.5

For those looking to place a bet, the line is set at Colts -3.5, with the odds at -105 for the Colts to cover at home and -125 for the Dolphins to cover on the road.

Tennessee Titans vs. Buffalo Bills (-9.5)

Our simulations suggest a 55% chance of Tennessee covering the spread, while the Bills have a 45% chance.

The hosting Bills are slight favorites with a 9.5-point spread in Week 7 against the Titans.

  • Pick ATS: Titans +9.5

Las Vegas Raiders vs. Los Angeles Rams (-6.5)

The Rams enter this matchup as 6.5-point favorites at home against the Raiders.

According to our simulations, the Raiders have a 57% chance of covering the spread, while the Rams have a 43% chance.

  • Pick ATS: Raiders +6.5

For those interested in betting on this line, the Raiders are listed at -105 to cover, with the Rams at -112.

Carolina Panthers vs. Washington Commanders (-8.5)

With a probability of 52%, our pick to cover in this game is the Panthers +8.5. The Commanders, their opponent, have a projected 48% chance of covering the spread.

  • Pick ATS: Panthers +8.5

Kansas City Chiefs vs. San Francisco 49ers (-1.5)

Both the 49ers and Chiefs have a 50% chance of covering the spread on Sunday afternoon.

However, our pick is the 49ers, who covered the spread in slightly more of the 10,000 simulations we ran for the game at SoFi Stadium.

  • Pick ATS: 49ers -1.5

New York Jets vs. Pittsburgh Steelers (+1.5)

We've run our powerful NFL model 10,000 times for this week’s Jets-Steelers clash, and the Jets -1.5 emerged as the pick to make against the spread.

Of those 10,000 simulations, the Jets covered the -1.5 line 5,822 times, with the Steelers covered it 4,178 times.

  • Pick ATS: Jets -1.5

Baltimore Ravens vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers (+3.5)

Our simulations indicate a 59% chance of the Buccaneers covering the spread in this matchup, while the Ravens have a 41% chance.

This makes the Buccaneers a strong pick against the spread for the Week 7 game at Raymond James Stadium.

  • Pick ATS: Buccaneers +3.5

Los Angeles Chargers vs. Arizona Cardinals (+2.5)

We are picking the Cardinals to cover the spread in their game against the Chargers this week.

According to our trusted NFL model, both teams are projected to have a 50% chance of covering, with the Cardinals slightly more likely to do so on Monday Night Football.

  • Pick ATS: Cardinals +2.5

NFL Week 7 Picks Against the Spread:

  • Saints +2.5 (58%)
  • Jaguars -5.5 (slight lean)
  • Giants +3 (slight lean)
  • Seahawks +3 (56%)
  • Packers -2.5 (56%)
  • Browns +5.5 (slight lean)
  • Vikings -1.5 (slight lean)
  • Dolphins +3.5 (63%)
  • Titans +9.5 (55%)
  • Raiders +6.5 (57%)
  • Panthers +8.5 (52%)
  • 49ers +8.5 (slight lean)
  • Jets -1.5 (58%)
  • Buccaneers +3.5 (59%)
  • Cardinals +2.5 (slight lean)

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NFL Week 7 Slate and Game Times

Below is the schedule and start times for each Week 7 matchup, so you can catch every moment of the action.

Week 7 NFL Picks Against Spread

The NFL Week 7 picks against the spread in this article are accurate at the time of publication and may be subject to change.

Football fans across the country rely on our NFL expert picks against the spread because Dimers.com is the best website for NFL predictions.

If you decide to use our NFL spread picks for betting, it's crucial that you gamble responsibly and manage your finances effectively. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

Please note that all NFL odds and probabilities on this page are subject to change.

Conclusion

Our Week 7 NFL picks against the spread start with the Saints +2.5 at a 58% probability on Thursday Night Football, with the week concluding as we pick the Cardinals +2.5 with a slight lean.

For more Week 7 betting tools, explore our NFL odds, NFL prop bets, NFL trends and NFL futures.

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Written by
Ryan Leaver
Senior Sports and Sports Betting Editor

Ryan Leaver uses advanced statistical models and simulations to predict outcomes and provide predictions for the NBA, NFL, college football, college basketball, and soccer. He offers detailed game previews, best bets, props, and futures articles.

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