NFL Picks Against the Spread for Week 3, 2024

As part of our extensive NFL betting coverage, Dimers.com provides weekly NFL picks against the spread, and for Week 3 of the NFL season, we've employed our advanced predictive analytics model to deliver NFL spread picks for all 16 games.

With professional NFL picks against spread for each game on the Week 3 NFL slate, our expert predictive model is here to guide you through another huge week of football.

Below, you'll find a detailed list of each team's chances of covering the spread in NFL Week 3, based on over 10,000 simulations of every game. These NFL predictions for Week 3 show the probability of each team covering the spread in their respective games.

While the picks in this article are based purely on probabilities, it's crucial for bettors to note that the best betting value may come from better odds available elsewhere.

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For more NFL betting coverage, check out the best NFL week 3 odds and our NFL Week 3 straight up picks.

NFL Spread Picks: Week 3, 2024

New England Patriots vs. New York Jets (-6.5)

The opening game of Week 3 features the Jets hosting the Patriots, with New York listed as a 6.5-point favorite.

After 10,000 simulations of this matchup, our expertly tuned model projects the Patriots as having a 53% chance of covering the spread, while the Jets have a 47% chance.

• Pick ATS: Patriots +6.5

Chicago Bears vs. Indianapolis Colts (-1.5)

Simulations show an equal 50-50 chance of the Colts and Bears covering the spread, with our model slightly favoring the Colts for those looking for a pick against the spread..

• Pick ATS: Colts -1.5

New York Giants vs. Cleveland Browns (-6.5)

The Browns are listed as -6.5 favorites against the Giants this week.

Our model projects both the Browns and Giants to have a 50% chance of covering, with the Browns slightly more likely when looking deep into the numbers.

• Pick ATS: Browns -6.5

Green Bay Packers vs. Tennessee Titans (-2.5)

Our simulations give the Packers a 54% chance of covering the -2.5 spread on the road against the Titans, who have a 46% chance.

• Pick ATS: Packers +2.5

For those interested in betting on the spread, the oddsmakers have listed the Packers at -108 to cover and the Titans at -110.

Philadelphia Eagles vs. New Orleans Saints (-2.5)

At home against the Eagles, the Saints are 2.5-point favorites.

Our model projects that the sportsbooks have nailed this one, with a 50-50 chance of either team covering the spread.

However, when searching for a pick, the Saints get a slight lean.

• Pick ATS: Saints -2.5

Los Angeles Chargers vs. Pittsburgh Steelers (-1.5)

Our model projects an even 50-50 chance for both the Steelers and Chargers to cover in this matchup, with the Steelers slightly favored.

The line is set with Pittsburgh as 1.5-point favorites at home.

• Pick ATS: Steelers -1.5

Houston Texans vs. Minnesota Vikings (+2.5)

In this closely matched game, the Texans are 2.5-point favorites at road.

According to our model, the Vikings have a 52% chance of covering the spread, while the Texans have a 48% chance.

• Pick ATS: Vikings +2.5

Denver Broncos vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers (-6.5)

Our model predicts the Buccaneers to cover the spread in this matchup, giving them a slight edge in what is essentially a 50-50 projection against the Broncos.

• Pick ATS: Buccaneers -6.5

For those looking to place a bet, the line is set at Buccaneers -6.5, with the odds at -112 for the Buccaneers to cover at home and -105 for the Broncos to cover on the road.

Carolina Panthers vs. Las Vegas Raiders (-5.5)

Our simulations suggest a 51% chance of Carolina covering the spread, while the Raiders have a 49% chance.

The hosting Raiders are slight favorites with a 5.5-point spread in Week 3 against the Panthers.

• Pick ATS: Panthers +5.5

Miami Dolphins vs. Seattle Seahawks (-4.5)

The Seahawks enter this matchup as 4.5-point favorites at home against the Dolphins.

According to our simulations, the Dolphins have a 54% chance of covering the spread, while the Seahawks have a 46% chance.

• Pick ATS: Dolphins +4.5

For those interested in betting on this line, the Dolphins are listed at -105 to cover, with the Seahawks at -108.

Detroit Lions vs. Arizona Cardinals (+3)

With a probability of 56%, our pick to cover in this game is the Cardinals +3. The Lions, their opponent, have a projected 44% chance of covering the spread.

• Pick ATS: Cardinals +3

San Francisco 49ers vs. Los Angeles Rams (+7)

Both the Rams and 49ers have a 50% chance of covering the spread on Sunday afternoon.

However, our pick is the Rams, who covered the spread in slightly more of the 10,000 simulations we ran for the game at Lumen Field.

• Pick ATS: Rams +7

Baltimore Ravens vs. Dallas Cowboys (+1)

We've run our powerful NFL model 10,000 times for this week’s Ravens-Cowboys clash, with our model unable to split the two teams at the line.

With the sportsbooks nailing the 1-point gap between the teams, our pick is the Cowboys to cover, who have a slightly higher probability.

• Pick ATS: Cowboys +1

Kansas City Chiefs vs. Atlanta Falcons (+3.5)

Our simulations indicate a 50-50 chance of both the Falcons and Chiefs covering in this matchup.

However, the Falcons emerged as the pick in slightly more simulations, making Atlanta our pick against the spread for the Week 3 game at Mercedes-Benz Stadium.

• Pick ATS: Falcons +3.5

Jacksonville Jaguars vs. Buffalo Bills (-5.5)

We are picking the Jaguars to cover the spread in their game against the Bills this week.

According to our trusted NFL model, there is a 51% chance that the road team will cover the +5.5 line, while the Bills have a 49% chance on Monday Night Football.

• Pick ATS: Jaguars +5.5

Washington Commanders vs. Cincinnati Bengals (-7.5)

The final game of Week 3 features the Commanders taking on the Bengals at Paycor Stadium.

We are picking the Commanders to cover the spread, with a projected 51% chance of covering, while the Bengals have a 49% likelihood of covering the spread.

• Pick ATS: Commanders +7.5

NFL Week 3 Picks Against the Spread:

• Patriots +6.5 (53%)
• Colts -1.5 (slight lean)
• Browns -6.5 (slight lean)
• Packers +2.5 (54%)
• Saints -2.5 (slight lean)
• Steelers -1.5 (slight lean)
• Vikings +2.5 (52%)
• Buccaneers -6.5 (slight lean)
• Panthers +5.5 (51%)
• Dolphins +4.5 (54%)
• Cardinals +3 (56%)
• Rams +3 (slight lean)
• Cowboys +1 (slight lean)
• Falcons +3.5 (slight lean)
• Jaguars +5.5 (51%)
• Commanders +7.5 (51%)

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NFL Week 3 Slate and Game Times

Below is the schedule and start times for each Week 3 matchup, so you can catch every moment of the action.

• Patriots vs. Jets (Thursday, 8:15PM ET)
• Bears vs. Colts (Sunday, 1:00PM ET)
• Giants vs. Browns (Sunday, 1:00PM ET)
• Packers vs. Titans (Sunday, 1:00PM ET)
• Eagles vs. Saints (Sunday, 1:00PM ET)
• Chargers vs. Steelers (Sunday, 1:00PM ET)
• Texans vs. Vikings (Sunday, 1:00PM ET)
• Broncos vs. Buccaneers (Sunday, 1:00PM ET)
• Panthers vs. Raiders (Sunday, 4:05PM ET)
• Dolphins vs. Seahawks (Sunday, 4:05PM ET)
• Lions vs. Cardinals (Sunday, 4:25PM ET)
• 49ers vs. Rams (Sunday, 4:25PM ET)
• Ravens vs. Cowboys (Sunday, 4:25PM ET)
• Chiefs vs. Falcons (Sunday, 8:20PM ET)
• Jaguars vs. Bills (Monday, 7:30PM ET)
• Commanders vs. Bengals (Monday, 8:15PM ET)

Week 3 NFL Picks Against Spread

The NFL Week 3 picks against the spread in this article are accurate at the time of publication and may be subject to change.

Football fans across the country rely on our NFL expert picks against the spread because Dimers.com is the best website for NFL predictions.

If you choose to use our NFL spread picks for betting, it's important that you gamble responsibly and know when to stop. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

Please note that all NFL odds and probabilities on this page are subject to change.

Conclusion

Our Week 3 NFL picks against the spread start with the Patriots +6.5 at a 53% probability on Thursday Night Football, with the week concluding as we pick the Commanders +7.5 with a probability of 51%.

For more Week 3 betting tools, explore our NFL odds, NFL prop bets, NFL trends and NFL futures.