NFL Picks Against the Spread for Divisional Round, 2025

As part of our extensive NFL betting coverage, Dimers.com offers a weekly list of NFL picks against the spread, and for the Divisional Round, we've harnessed our advanced predictive analytics model to deliver NFL spread picks for each game.

With professional NFL picks against spread for each game on the this week's NFL slate, our expert predictive model is here to guide you through another exciting week of football.

Below, you'll find a detailed list of each team's chances of covering the spread on Divisional Round weekend, based on over 10K simulations of every game. These NFL predictions for Divisional Round show the probability of each team covering the spread in their respective games.

While the picks in this article are based purely on probabilities, it's crucial for bettors to note that the best betting value may come from better odds available elsewhere.

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For more NFL betting coverage, check out the best NFL Divisional Round odds and our NFL Divisional Round straight up picks.

NFL Spread Picks: Divisional Round, 2025

Houston Texans vs. Kansas City Chiefs (-8.5)

The opening game of the Divisional Round features the Chiefs hosting the Texans, with Kansas City listed as a 8.5-point favorite.

After 10,000 simulations of this matchup, our expertly tuned model projects the Texans as having a 57% chance of covering the spread, while the Chiefs have a 43% chance.

• Pick ATS: Texans +8.5

Washington Commanders vs. Detroit Lions (-9)

Simulations show a 52% chance of the Commanders (+-9) covering the spread at Ford Field, while the Lions have a 48% chance.

• Pick ATS: Commanders +9

Los Angeles Rams vs. Philadelphia Eagles (-6.5)

The Eagles are listed as -6.5 favorites against the Rams this week.

Our model projects the Rams as the more likely team to cover, with a probability of 55%, compared to 45% for the Eagles.

• Pick ATS: Rams +6.5

Baltimore Ravens vs. Buffalo Bills (+1.5)

Our simulations give the Ravens a 53% chance of covering the +1.5 spread on the road against the Bills, who have a 47% chance.

• Pick ATS: Ravens -1.5

For those interested in betting on the spread, the oddsmakers have listed the Ravens at -102 to cover and the Bills at -118.

Complete List of NFL Divisional Round Picks Against the Spread:

• Texans +8.5 (57%)
• Commanders +9 (52%)
• Rams +6.5 (55%)
• Ravens -1.5 (53%)

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NFL Divisional Round Slate and Game Times

Below is the schedule and start times for each Divisional Round matchup, so you can catch every moment of the action.

• Texans vs. Chiefs (Saturday, 4:30PM ET)
• Commanders vs. Lions (Saturday, 8:00PM ET)
• Rams vs. Eagles (Sunday, 3:00PM ET)
• Ravens vs. Bills (Sunday, 6:30PM ET)

Divisional Round NFL Picks Against Spread

The NFL Divisional Round picks against the spread in this article are accurate at the time of publication and may be subject to change.

Football fans across the country rely on our NFL expert picks against the spread because Dimers.com is the best website for NFL predictions.

If you choose to use our NFL spread picks for betting, it's crucial to gamble responsibly and know when to stop. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

Please note that all NFL odds and probabilities on this page are subject to change.

Conclusion

Our NFL Divisional Round picks against the spread start with the Texans +8.5 at a 57% probability on Saturday, with the week concluding as we pick the Ravens -1.5 with a probability of 53%.

For more Divisional Round betting tools, explore our NFL odds, NFL prop bets, NFL trends and NFL futures.