NFL Picks Against the Spread for Week 13, 2024

As part of our comprehensive NFL betting coverage, Dimers.com offers a weekly list of NFL picks against the spread, and for Week 13, we've utilized our sophisticated predictive analytics model to deliver NFL spread picks for all 16 games.

With professional NFL picks against spread for every game on the Week 13 NFL slate, our expert predictive model is here to guide you through another huge week of football.

Below, you'll find a detailed list of each team's chances of covering the spread in NFL Week 13, based on over 10,000 simulations of each game. These NFL predictions for Week 13 show the probability of each team covering the spread in their respective games.

While the picks in this article are based purely on probabilities, it's crucial for bettors to note that the best betting value may come from better odds available elsewhere.

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For more NFL betting coverage, check out the best NFL week 13 odds and our NFL Week 13 straight up picks.

NFL Spread Picks: Week 13, 2024

Chicago Bears vs. Detroit Lions (-9.5)

The opening game of Week 13 features the Lions hosting the Bears, with Detroit listed as a 9.5-point favorite.

After 10,000 simulations of this matchup, our expertly tuned model projects the Bears as having a 53% chance of covering the spread, while the Lions have a 47% chance.

• Pick ATS: Bears +9.5

New York Giants vs. Dallas Cowboys (-3.5)

Simulations show an equal 50-50 chance of the Cowboys and Giants covering the spread, with our model slightly favoring the Cowboys for those looking for a pick against the spread..

• Pick ATS: Cowboys -3.5

Miami Dolphins vs. Green Bay Packers (-3.5)

The Packers are listed as -3.5 favorites against the Dolphins this week.

Our model projects the Dolphins as the more likely team to cover, with a probability of 59%, compared to 41% for the Packers.

• Pick ATS: Dolphins +3.5

Las Vegas Raiders vs. Kansas City Chiefs (-12.5)

Our simulations give the Raiders a 51% chance of covering the -12.5 spread on the road against the Chiefs, who have a 49% chance.

• Pick ATS: Raiders +12.5

For those interested in betting on the spread, the oddsmakers have listed the Raiders at -105 to cover and the Chiefs at -115.

Seattle Seahawks vs. New York Jets (+1.5)

On the road against the Jets, the Seahawks are 1.5-point favorites.

Our model projects a 52% chance of the Seahawks covering the spread, while the Jets have a 48% chance.

• Pick ATS: Seahawks -1.5

Pittsburgh Steelers vs. Cincinnati Bengals (-2.5)

Our model projects a 56% chance of the Bengals covering the spread against the Steelers, who have a 44% chance.

The line is set with Cincinnati as 2.5-point favorites at home.

• Pick ATS: Bengals -2.5

Indianapolis Colts vs. New England Patriots (+2.5)

In this closely matched game, the Colts are 2.5-point favorites at road.

According to our model, both sides have an equal 50% chance of covering, with the slight lean going to the Patriots.

• Pick ATS: Patriots +2.5

Arizona Cardinals vs. Minnesota Vikings (-3.5)

Our model predicts the Vikings to cover the spread in this game, giving them a slight edge in what is essentially a 50-50 projection against the Cardinals.

• Pick ATS: Vikings -3.5

For those looking to place a bet, the line is set at Vikings -3.5, with the odds at -105 for the Vikings to cover at home and -110 for the Cardinals to cover on the road.

Tennessee Titans vs. Washington Commanders (-6.5)

Our simulations suggest a 54% chance of Tennessee covering the spread, while the Commanders have a 46% chance.

The hosting Commanders are slight favorites with a 6.5-point spread in Week 13 against the Titans.

• Pick ATS: Titans +6.5

Los Angeles Chargers vs. Atlanta Falcons (+1.5)

The Chargers enter this matchup as 1.5-point favorites on the road against the Falcons.

According to our simulations, the Falcons have a 52% chance of covering the spread, while the Chargers have a 48% chance.

• Pick ATS: Falcons +1.5

For those interested in betting on this line, the Chargers are listed at -110 to cover, with the Falcons also at -110.

Houston Texans vs. Jacksonville Jaguars (+4.5)

With a probability of 52%, our pick to cover in this game is the Jaguars +4.5. The Texans, their opponent, have a projected 48% chance of covering the spread.

• Pick ATS: Jaguars +4.5

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs. Carolina Panthers (+6)

The Panthers have a 51% chance of covering the spread on Sunday afternoon, compared to the Buccaneers' 49% chance.

This makes the Panthers +6 our pick against the spread at Mercedes-Benz Stadium.

• Pick ATS: Panthers +6

Los Angeles Rams vs. New Orleans Saints (+2.5)

We've run our powerful NFL model 10,000 times for this week’s Rams-Saints clash, with our model unable to split the two teams at the line.

With the sportsbooks nailing the 2.5-point gap between the teams, our pick is the Saints to cover, who have a slightly higher probability.

• Pick ATS: Saints +2.5

Philadelphia Eagles vs. Baltimore Ravens (-3)

Our simulations indicate a 50-50 chance of both the Ravens and Eagles covering in this matchup.

However, the Ravens emerged as the pick in slightly more simulations, making Baltimore our pick against the spread for the Week 13 game at M&T Bank Stadium.

• Pick ATS: Ravens -3

San Francisco 49ers vs. Buffalo Bills (-6.5)

We are picking the Bills to cover the spread in their game against the 49ers this week.

According to our trusted NFL model, there is a 54% chance that the home team will cover the -6.5 line, while the 49ers have a 46% chance on Sunday Night Football.

• Pick ATS: Bills -6.5

Cleveland Browns vs. Denver Broncos (-5.5)

The final game of Week 13 features the Browns taking on the Broncos at Empower Field at Mile High.

We are picking the Broncos to cover the spread, with a projected 54% chance of covering, while the Browns have a 46% likelihood of covering the spread.

• Pick ATS: Broncos -5.5

Complete List of NFL Week 13 Picks Against the Spread:

• Bears +9.5 (53%)
• Cowboys -3.5 (slight lean)
• Dolphins +3.5 (59%)
• Raiders +12.5 (51%)
• Seahawks -1.5 (52%)
• Bengals -2.5 (56%)
• Patriots +2.5 (slight lean)
• Vikings -3.5 (slight lean)
• Titans +6.5 (54%)
• Falcons +1.5 (52%)
• Jaguars +4.5 (52%)
• Panthers +6 (51%)
• Saints +2.5 (slight lean)
• Ravens -3 (slight lean)
• Bills -6.5 (54%)
• Broncos -5.5 (54%)

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NFL Week 13 Slate and Game Times

Below is the schedule and start times for each Week 13 matchup, so you can catch every moment of the action.

• Bears vs. Lions (Thursday, 12:30PM ET)
• Giants vs. Cowboys (Thursday, 4:30PM ET)
• Dolphins vs. Packers (Thursday, 8:20PM ET)
• Raiders vs. Chiefs (Friday, 3:00PM ET)
• Seahawks vs. Jets (Sunday, 1:00PM ET)
• Steelers vs. Bengals (Sunday, 1:00PM ET)
• Colts vs. Patriots (Sunday, 1:00PM ET)
• Cardinals vs. Vikings (Sunday, 1:00PM ET)
• Titans vs. Commanders (Sunday, 1:00PM ET)
• Chargers vs. Falcons (Sunday, 1:00PM ET)
• Texans vs. Jaguars (Sunday, 1:00PM ET)
• Buccaneers vs. Panthers (Sunday, 4:05PM ET)
• Rams vs. Saints (Sunday, 4:05PM ET)
• Eagles vs. Ravens (Sunday, 4:25PM ET)
• 49ers vs. Bills (Sunday, 8:20PM ET)
• Browns vs. Broncos (Monday, 8:15PM ET)

Week 13 NFL Picks Against Spread

The NFL Week 13 picks against the spread in this article are accurate at the time of publication and may be subject to change.

Football fans across the country rely on our NFL expert picks against the spread because Dimers.com is the best website for NFL predictions.

If you decide to use our NFL spread picks for betting, it's crucial that you gamble responsibly and manage your finances effectively. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

Please note that all NFL odds and probabilities on this page are subject to change.

Conclusion

Our Week 13 NFL picks against the spread start with the Bears +9.5 at a 53% probability on Thursday, with the week concluding as we pick the Broncos -5.5 with a probability of 54%.

For more Week 13 betting tools, explore our NFL odds, NFL prop bets, NFL trends and NFL futures.