NFL Picks Against the Spread for Week 12, 2024

As part of our comprehensive NFL betting coverage, Dimers.com offers a weekly list of NFL picks against the spread, and for Week 12 of the NFL season, we've harnessed our advanced predictive analytics model to deliver NFL spread picks for all 13 games.

With professional NFL picks against spread for every game on the Week 12 NFL slate, our expert predictive model is here to guide you through another massive week of football.

Below, you'll find a detailed breakdown of each team's chances of covering the spread in Week 12 of the NFL, based on over 10K simulations of each game. These NFL predictions for Week 12 show the probability of each team covering the spread in their respective games.

While the picks in this article are based purely on probabilities, it's crucial for bettors to note that the best betting value may come from better odds available elsewhere.

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For more NFL betting coverage, check out the best NFL week 12 odds and our NFL Week 12 straight up picks.

NFL Spread Picks: Week 12, 2024

Pittsburgh Steelers vs. Cleveland Browns (+3.5)

The opening game of Week 12 features the Browns hosting the Steelers, with Cleveland listed as a 3.5-point underdog.

After 10,000 simulations of this matchup, our expertly tuned model projects a 50% chance for both the Browns and Steelers to cover the spread. If you're looking to make a pick, we recommend slightly leaning towards the Browns.

• Pick ATS: Browns +3.5

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs. New York Giants (+5.5)

Simulations show a 53% chance of the Buccaneers (-5.5) covering the spread at MetLife Stadium, while the Giants have a 47% chance.

• Pick ATS: Buccaneers -5.5

Detroit Lions vs. Indianapolis Colts (+7.5)

The Colts are listed as +7.5 underdogs against the Lions this week.

Our model projects both the Colts and Lions to have a 50% chance of covering, with the Colts slightly more likely when looking deep into the numbers.

• Pick ATS: Colts +7.5

Tennessee Titans vs. Houston Texans (-8)

Our simulations give the Titans a 52% chance of covering the -8 spread on the road against the Texans, who have a 48% chance.

• Pick ATS: Titans +8

For those interested in betting on the spread, the oddsmakers have listed the Titans at -105 to cover and the Texans at -108.

New England Patriots vs. Miami Dolphins (-7.5)

At home against the Patriots, the Dolphins are 7.5-point favorites.

Our model projects a 56% chance of the Patriots covering the spread, while the Dolphins have a 44% chance.

• Pick ATS: Patriots +7.5

Dallas Cowboys vs. Washington Commanders (-10.5)

Our model projects an even 50-50 chance for both the Commanders and Cowboys to cover in this matchup, with the Commanders slightly favored.

The line is set with Washington as 10.5-point favorites at home.

• Pick ATS: Commanders -10.5

Minnesota Vikings vs. Chicago Bears (+3.5)

In this game at Soldier Field, the Vikings are 3.5-point favorites at road.

According to our model, both sides have an equal 50% chance of covering, with the slight lean going to the Bears.

• Pick ATS: Bears +3.5

Kansas City Chiefs vs. Carolina Panthers (+11)

Our model predicts the Panthers to cover the spread in this game, giving them a slight edge in what is essentially a 50-50 projection against the Chiefs.

• Pick ATS: Panthers +11

For those looking to place a bet, the line is set at Chiefs -11, with the odds at -110 for the Panthers to cover at home and -108 for the Chiefs to cover on the road.

Denver Broncos vs. Las Vegas Raiders (+6.5)

Our simulations suggest a 53% chance of Las Vegas covering the spread, while the Broncos have a 47% chance.

The traveling Broncos are slight favorites with a 6.5-point spread in Week 12 against the Raiders.

• Pick ATS: Raiders +6.5

Arizona Cardinals vs. Seattle Seahawks (-1)

The Seahawks enter this matchup as 1-point favorites at home against the Cardinals.

According to our simulations, both the Seahawks and Cardinals have a 50% chance of covering, with the Seahawks slightly favored for those in against the spread pick contests.

• Pick ATS: Seahawks +1

For those interested in betting on this line, the Cardinals are listed at -115 to cover, with the Seahawks at -105.

San Francisco 49ers vs. Green Bay Packers (-2)

With a probability of 52%, our pick to cover in this game is the 49ers +2. The Packers, their opponent, have a projected 48% chance of covering the spread.

• Pick ATS: 49ers +2

Philadelphia Eagles vs. Los Angeles Rams (+2.5)

The Rams have a 58% chance of covering the spread on Sunday night, compared to the Eagles' 42% chance.

This makes the Rams +2.5 our pick against the spread at Lumen Field.

• Pick ATS: Rams +2.5

Baltimore Ravens vs. Los Angeles Chargers (+2.5)

We've run our powerful NFL model 10,000 times for this week’s Ravens-Chargers clash, with our model unable to split the two teams at the line.

With the sportsbooks nailing the 2.5-point gap between the teams, our pick is the Chargers to cover, who have a slightly higher probability.

• Pick ATS: Chargers +2.5

Complete List of NFL Week 12 Picks Against the Spread:

• Browns +3.5 (slight lean)
• Buccaneers -5.5 (53%)
• Colts +7.5 (slight lean)
• Titans +8 (52%)
• Patriots +7.5 (56%)
• Commanders -10.5 (slight lean)
• Bears +3.5 (slight lean)
• Panthers +11 (slight lean)
• Raiders +6.5 (53%)
• Seahawks +1 (slight lean)
• 49ers +2 (52%)
• Rams +2.5 (58%)
• Chargers +2.5 (slight lean)

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NFL Week 12 Slate and Game Times

Below is the schedule and start times for each Week 12 matchup, so you can catch every moment of the action.

• Steelers vs. Browns (Thursday, 8:15PM ET)
• Buccaneers vs. Giants (Sunday, 1:00PM ET)
• Lions vs. Colts (Sunday, 1:00PM ET)
• Titans vs. Texans (Sunday, 1:00PM ET)
• Patriots vs. Dolphins (Sunday, 1:00PM ET)
• Cowboys vs. Commanders (Sunday, 1:00PM ET)
• Vikings vs. Bears (Sunday, 1:00PM ET)
• Chiefs vs. Panthers (Sunday, 1:00PM ET)
• Broncos vs. Raiders (Sunday, 4:05PM ET)
• Cardinals vs. Seahawks (Sunday, 4:25PM ET)
• 49ers vs. Packers (Sunday, 4:25PM ET)
• Eagles vs. Rams (Sunday, 8:20PM ET)
• Ravens vs. Chargers (Monday, 8:15PM ET)

Week 12 NFL Picks Against Spread

The NFL Week 12 picks against the spread in this article are accurate at the time of publication and may be subject to change.

Football fans across the country rely on our NFL expert picks against the spread because Dimers.com is the best website for NFL predictions.

If you decide to use our NFL spread picks for betting, it's important that you gamble responsibly and keep track of your money. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

Please note that all NFL odds and probabilities on this page are subject to change.

Conclusion

Our Week 12 NFL picks against the spread start with the Browns +3.5 as a slight lean on Thursday Night Football, with the week concluding as we pick the Chargers +2.5 also with a slight lean.

For more Week 12 betting tools, explore our NFL odds, NFL prop bets, NFL trends and NFL futures.