NFL Picks Against the Spread for Week 10, 2024

As part of our extensive NFL betting coverage, Dimers.com offers a weekly list of NFL picks against the spread, and for Week 10, we've harnessed our advanced predictive analytics model to deliver NFL spread picks for all 14 games.

With professional NFL picks against spread for every game on the Week 10 NFL slate, our expert predictive model is here to guide you through another exciting week of football.

Below, you'll find a detailed breakdown of each team's chances of covering the spread in NFL Week 10, based on thousands of simulations of each game. These NFL predictions for Week 10 show the probability of each team covering the spread in their respective games.

While the picks in this article are based purely on probabilities, it's crucial for bettors to note that the best betting value may come from better odds available elsewhere.

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For more NFL betting coverage, check out the best NFL week 10 odds and our NFL Week 10 straight up picks.

NFL Spread Picks: Week 10, 2024

Cincinnati Bengals vs. Baltimore Ravens (-6.5)

The opening game of Week 10 features the Ravens hosting the Bengals, with Baltimore listed as a 6.5-point favorite.

After 10,000 simulations of this matchup, our expertly tuned model projects the Bengals as having a 53% chance of covering the spread, while the Ravens have a 47% chance.

• Pick ATS: Bengals +6.5

New York Giants vs. Carolina Panthers (+6)

Simulations show a 51% chance of the Panthers (+6) covering the spread at Allianz Arena, while the Giants have a 49% chance.

• Pick ATS: Panthers +6

San Francisco 49ers vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers (+5.5)

The Buccaneers are listed as +5.5 underdogs against the 49ers this week.

Our model projects the Buccaneers as the more likely team to cover, with a probability of 54%, compared to 46% for the 49ers.

• Pick ATS: Buccaneers +5.5

Atlanta Falcons vs. New Orleans Saints (+3.5)

Our simulations give the Falcons a 52% chance of covering the +3.5 spread on the road against the Saints, who have a 48% chance.

• Pick ATS: Falcons -3.5

For those interested in betting on the spread, the oddsmakers have listed the Falcons at -115 to cover and the Saints at -105.

Denver Broncos vs. Kansas City Chiefs (-8.5)

At home against the Broncos, the Chiefs are 8.5-point favorites.

Our model projects a 53% chance of the Broncos covering the spread, while the Chiefs have a 47% chance.

• Pick ATS: Broncos +8.5

Buffalo Bills vs. Indianapolis Colts (+4.5)

Our model projects a 59% chance of the Colts covering the spread against the Bills, who have a 41% chance.

The line is set with Buffalo as 4.5-point favorites on the road.

• Pick ATS: Colts +4.5

Pittsburgh Steelers vs. Washington Commanders (-3)

In this closely matched game, the Commanders are 3-point favorites at home.

According to our model, the Commanders have a 56% chance of covering the spread, while the Steelers have a 44% chance.

• Pick ATS: Commanders -3

Minnesota Vikings vs. Jacksonville Jaguars (+4.5)

Our model predicts the Jaguars to cover the spread in this game, giving them a slight edge in what is essentially a 50-50 projection against the Vikings.

• Pick ATS: Jaguars +4.5

For those looking to place a bet, the line is set at Vikings -4.5, with the odds at -102 for the Jaguars to cover at home and -120 for the Vikings to cover on the road.

New England Patriots vs. Chicago Bears (-6.5)

Our simulations suggest a 57% chance of New England covering the spread, while the Bears have a 43% chance.

The hosting Bears are slight favorites with a 6.5-point spread in Week 10 against the Patriots.

• Pick ATS: Patriots +6.5

Tennessee Titans vs. Los Angeles Chargers (-7.5)

The Chargers enter this matchup as 7.5-point favorites at home against the Titans.

According to our simulations, both the Chargers and Titans have a 50% chance of covering, with the Chargers slightly favored for those in against the spread pick contests.

• Pick ATS: Chargers +7.5

For those interested in betting on this line, the Titans are listed at -110 to cover, with the Chargers at -108.

Philadelphia Eagles vs. Dallas Cowboys (+7)

With a probability of 54%, our pick to cover in this game is the Cowboys +7. The Eagles, their opponent, have a projected 46% chance of covering the spread.

• Pick ATS: Cowboys +7

New York Jets vs. Arizona Cardinals (+1)

Both the Cardinals and Jets have a 50% chance of covering the spread on Sunday afternoon.

However, our pick is the Cardinals, who covered the spread in slightly more of the 10,000 simulations we ran for the game at SoFi Stadium.

• Pick ATS: Cardinals +1

Detroit Lions vs. Houston Texans (+3.5)

We've run our powerful NFL model 10,000 times for this week’s Lions-Texans clash, with our model unable to split the two teams at the line.

With the sportsbooks nailing the 3.5-point gap between the teams, our pick is the Texans to cover, who have a slightly higher probability.

• Pick ATS: Texans +3.5

Miami Dolphins vs. Los Angeles Rams (-1.5)

Our simulations indicate a 52% chance of the Dolphins covering the spread in this matchup, while the Rams have a 48% chance.

This makes the Dolphins a pick against the spread for the Week 10 game at SoFi Stadium.

• Pick ATS: Dolphins +1.5

Complete List of NFL Week 10 Picks Against the Spread:

• Bengals +6.5 (53%)
• Panthers +6 (51%)
• Buccaneers +5.5 (54%)
• Falcons -3.5 (52%)
• Broncos +8.5 (53%)
• Colts +4.5 (59%)
• Commanders -3 (56%)
• Jaguars +4.5 (slight lean)
• Patriots +6.5 (57%)
• Chargers +7.5 (slight lean)
• Cowboys +7 (54%)
• Cardinals +7 (slight lean)
• Texans +3.5 (slight lean)
• Dolphins +1.5 (52%)

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NFL Week 10 Slate and Game Times

Below is the schedule and start times for each Week 10 matchup, so you can catch every moment of the action.

• Bengals vs. Ravens (Thursday, 8:15PM ET)
• Giants vs. Panthers (Sunday, 9:30AM ET)
• 49ers vs. Buccaneers (Sunday, 1:00PM ET)
• Falcons vs. Saints (Sunday, 1:00PM ET)
• Broncos vs. Chiefs (Sunday, 1:00PM ET)
• Bills vs. Colts (Sunday, 1:00PM ET)
• Steelers vs. Commanders (Sunday, 1:00PM ET)
• Vikings vs. Jaguars (Sunday, 1:00PM ET)
• Patriots vs. Bears (Sunday, 1:00PM ET)
• Titans vs. Chargers (Sunday, 4:05PM ET)
• Eagles vs. Cowboys (Sunday, 4:25PM ET)
• Jets vs. Cardinals (Sunday, 4:25PM ET)
• Lions vs. Texans (Sunday, 8:20PM ET)
• Dolphins vs. Rams (Monday, 8:15PM ET)

Week 10 NFL Picks Against Spread

The NFL Week 10 picks against the spread in this article are accurate at the time of publication and may be subject to change.

Football fans across the country rely on our NFL expert picks against the spread because Dimers.com is the best website for NFL predictions.

If you decide to use our NFL spread picks for betting, it's crucial that you gamble responsibly and know when to stop. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

Please note that all NFL odds and probabilities on this page are subject to change.

Conclusion

Our Week 10 NFL picks against the spread start with the Bengals +6.5 at a 53% probability on Thursday Night Football, with the week concluding as we pick the Dolphins +1.5 with a probability of 52%.

For more Week 10 betting tools, explore our NFL odds, NFL prop bets, NFL trends and NFL futures.