Patriots vs. Vikings NFL Week 12 Betting Preview, Picks and Odds - November 24, 2022

The New England Patriots are suddenly one of the hottest teams in football and they'll be hoping to keep it that way with a win over the Minnesota Vikings on Thanksgiving Day. This one will kick off at 8:20PM ET on Thursday, November 24, which makes it the primetime game for one of the biggest days of the year in the NFL. 

Here is Dimers' free betting preview of Patriots vs. Vikings, plus our picks, score prediction, best odds and player props are featured in this article.

If you haven't already, you should consider signing up for DraftKings ➡️ here ⬅️ as you can turn a $5 pre-game moneyline bet on any game into a free $150 if your team wins. 

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Patriots vs. Vikings Betting Preview 

The Patriots are coming off of an ugly win over the New York Jets, but their defense was great in that game and they'll now look to beat the Vikings. Bill Belichick actually said that New England used some of its bye week to get ahead for this one, so the Pats have been working extra hard to get prepared for this very matchup. And considering Belichick's ability to make game plans, you have to think that the extra time gives New England a slight edge here. 

Minnesota was also badly exposed on both sides of the football in a blowout loss against the Dallas Cowboys last week, which will only give New England more ideas on how to win this game. The Patriots might not have the offensive personnel required to replicate what Dak Prescott and the Cowboys passing game did to the Vikings, but New England should be able to pound the rock with Rhamondre Stevenson here. The Pats will also feel decent about slowing down Kirk Cousins and the Vikings offense. 

It should also be noted that New England is 8-1 against the spread in Weeks 10 through 13 since the start of the 2020-21 season. The Patriots won those games by an average of 16.0 points per game, showing that this is the time of year in which you can count on this group to get going. 

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Who will win Patriots vs. Vikings?

Using advanced machine learning and data, Dimers.com has simulated Thursday's Patriots-Vikings NFL game 10,000 times.

Dimers' popular predictive analytics model, DimersBOT, currently gives the Vikings a 61% chance of defeating the Patriots in Week 12 of the NFL season.

More: Patriots vs. Vikings Simulated 10,000 Times

Patriots vs. Vikings Current Odds

• Spread: Vikings -2.5 (-110), Patriots +2.5 (-105)
• Moneyline: Vikings -135, Patriots +120
• Total: Over/Under 42.5 (-105/-110)

Point Spread, Moneyline and Over/Under

The Vikings are currently -2.5 favorites against the Patriots, with -110 at BetMGM the best odds currently available.

For the underdog Patriots (+2.5) to cover the spread, DraftKings Sportsbook has the best odds currently on offer at -105.

Caesars Sportsbook currently has the best moneyline odds for the Vikings at -135. That means you can risk $135 to win $100, for a total payout of $235, if they get the W.

On the other hand, BetMGM currently has the best moneyline odds for the Patriots at +120, where you can bet $100 to profit $120, earning a total payout of $220, if they win.

The Over/Under is set at 42.5 with PointsBet, which currently has the best odds for the Over at -105, while Caesars Sportsbook currently has the best odds for the Under at -110.

As always, make sure you check the sportsbooks you have access to in your state for the best NFL odds and lines.

According to DimersBOT, the bookmakers have got it right and both the Patriots and Vikings are a 50% chance of covering the spread, while the Over/Under total of 42.5 points is also considered an equal 50-50 chance of hitting.

More: Free Prop Picks

Best Bets for Patriots vs. Vikings

• Spread: Patriots +2.5 @ -105 via DraftKings Sportsbook (50% probability)
• Moneyline: Vikings @ -135 via Caesars Sportsbook (61% probability)
• Total: Over 42.5 @ -105 via PointsBet (50% probability)

Our best bets are based on complex simulations and betting expertise to help you make more informed decisions with the legal sportsbooks in your state.

Patriots vs. Vikings Prediction

Dimers.com's predicted final score for New England vs. Minnesota at U.S. Bank Stadium in Week 12 has the Vikings winning 22-20.

Click or tap on See Matchup to reveal more.

Dimers has full betting coverage of this week's Patriots-Vikings matchup in Week 12, including pregame predictions, best betting picks, and live win probabilities.

Patriots vs. Vikings Player Props

Who will score the first touchdown in Patriots vs. Vikings? The latest data is in.

Featured below are the most likely first touchdown and most likely anytime touchdown scorers for both the Patriots and Vikings, as well as player stat projections.

And you know what, we provide this information to you for FREE to help you select the best prop picks for Thursday's game.

According to DimersBOT, Minnesota's Justin Jefferson is most likely to score the first touchdown in Patriots vs. Vikings.

DimersBOT gives Jefferson a 13.6% chance of scoring the first TD at U.S. Bank Stadium, while the Vikings WR is a 50.6% chance of reaching the end zone at any point in the game.

Scroll down for the full list of first and anytime TD scorer probabilities.

First Touchdown Scorer Probabilities

New England Patriots

• Rhamondre Stevenson: 10.6% probability
• Damien Harris: 7.9% probability
• Jakobi Meyers: 6.1% probability
• Hunter Henry: 4.8% probability
• DeVante Parker: 4.6% probability

Minnesota Vikings

• Justin Jefferson: 13.6% probability
• Dalvin Cook: 13.4% probability
• Adam Thielen: 7.1% probability
• T.J. Hockenson: 6.1% probability
• K.J. Osborn: 3.1% probability

Anytime Touchdown Scorer Probabilities

New England Patriots

• Rhamondre Stevenson: 42.4% probability
• Damien Harris: 32.0% probability
• Jakobi Meyers: 27.4% probability
• Hunter Henry: 21.6% probability
• DeVante Parker: 20.8% probability

Minnesota Vikings

• Dalvin Cook: 51.2% probability
• Justin Jefferson: 50.6% probability
• Adam Thielen: 29.6% probability
• T.J. Hockenson: 26.6% probability
• K.J. Osborn: 14.9% probability

Patriots-Vikings Projected Player Stats

Of the starting quarterbacks, the Patriots' Mac Jones is projected for 208 passing yards. The Vikings' Kirk Cousins is expected to throw for 256 yards.

Patriots Starting QB

• Mac Jones: 208 projected yards

Vikings Starting QB

• Kirk Cousins: 256 projected yards

Patriots Rushing

• Rhamondre Stevenson: 63 projected yards
• Damien Harris: 49 projected yards
• Mac Jones: 11 projected yards

Vikings Rushing

• Dalvin Cook: 77 projected yards
• Alexander Mattison: 15 projected yards
• Kirk Cousins: 7 projected yards

Patriots Receiving

• Jakobi Meyers: 49 projected yards
• DeVante Parker: 37 projected yards
• Tyquan Thornton: 30 projected yards
• Jonnu Smith: 29 projected yards
• Hunter Henry: 29 projected yards

Vikings Receiving

• Justin Jefferson: 103 projected yards
• Adam Thielen: 53 projected yards
• T.J. Hockenson: 53 projected yards
• K.J. Osborn: 28 projected yards
• Dalvin Cook: 17 projected yards

Remember, DimersBOT updates frequently, so keep checking this article for the latest betting insights ahead of Patriots vs. Vikings on Thursday November 24, 2022.

Patriots vs. Vikings 2022

The NFL Week 12 matchup between the Vikings and Patriots at U.S. Bank Stadium is scheduled to begin at 8:20PM ET.

• Who: New England Patriots vs. Minnesota Vikings
• Date: Thursday November 24, 2022
• Time: 8:20PM ET / 5:20PM PT
• Venue: U.S. Bank Stadium

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