Commanders vs. Eagles: NFL Betting Picks for Thursday Night Football

Tonight's Thursday Night Football game promises an electric NFC East matchup as the Washington Commanders take on the Philadelphia Eagles at Lincoln Financial Field. The stakes are high as Jalen Hurts and his Eagles look to continue their impressive season, while the Commanders aim for an upset. Here’s a breakdown of the key details, betting picks and predictions for tonight's matchup.

Commanders vs. Eagles Game Details

• Date: Thursday, November 14, 2024
• Kickoff: 8:15 PM ET
• Location: Lincoln Financial Field, Philadelphia, PA
• Spread: Eagles -3.5
• Total Points Over/Under: 48.5
• Analysis: Commanders vs. Eagles Predictions

Commanders vs. Eagles Betting Odds and NFL Picks

With the Eagles favored by 3.5 points, they hold a 62% chance to win outright, according to current predictions. The Commanders, holding a 38% probability of victory, are a +170 underdog on the moneyline. Key sportsbook insights show that both BetMGM and DraftKings are offering competitive spreads, making the Eagles the best bet at -3.5.

The predicted scoreline is tight, with experts forecasting a final score of Eagles 26, Commanders 23. The over/under for total points stands at 48.5, with a slight edge towards the over at 53%. Expect a close battle, where the Eagles' home-field advantage could play a decisive role in securing the win.

Key Player Props and NFL Predictions

• First Touchdown Scorers: Eagles quarterback Jalen Hurts leads the field with a 13.3% chance to score first, followed closely by Saquon Barkley at 12.6%. The Commanders' Jayden Daniels, with a 9.6% probability, is the top option for Washington.
• Anytime Touchdown Scorers: Hurts again shines with a 54.5% chance of scoring anytime, while Commanders’ Jayden Daniels and Brian Robinson are notable threats, with 42.9% and 37.5% chances, respectively.

Projected Stats for Quarterbacks

The Eagles' Jalen Hurts is expected to be highly productive, with Dimers' NFL props projecting he may throw for 227 yards. Washington's Jayden Daniels is projected for a more modest 185 passing yards but could make an impact on the ground, where he has a 43% touchdown probability on rushing attempts.

Rushing and Receiving Standouts

• Eagles Rushing: Saquon Barkley is expected to dominate, projected to run for 82 yards with a 52% touchdown probability.
• Commanders Rushing: Brian Robinson leads Washington’s ground game, projected for 56 yards and a 38% chance of finding the end zone.

In the receiving department, A.J. Brown is the top weapon for Philadelphia, with projections of 71 receiving yards and a 43% touchdown probability. On the Commanders' side, Terry McLaurin is expected to haul in 70 yards with a 37% chance of scoring.

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Commanders vs. Eagles Prop Bets

The tight end prop bets also offer intriguing value. 

Zach Ertz Under 35.5 receiving yards (-115)

Ertz is projected to go under 35.5 receiving yards for the Commanders, with a projection of 29.4 yards and a 68.4% probability of hitting the under. This gives bettors a strong 14.9% edge on this prop, as Ertz faces a formidable Eagles defense that has limited production from opposing tight ends throughout the season.

Dallas Goedert Over 30.5 receiving yards (-115)

On the other side, Goedert for the Eagles is projected to go over 30.5 receiving yards, with a solid projection of 41.7 yards and a 66.6% probability of clearing the line. This bet offers a 13.1% edge, as Goedert is anticipated to be a reliable target for Jalen Hurts, especially in crucial situations where the Eagles seek to exploit Washington’s pass defense.

Both of these tight end props present strong opportunities for savvy bettors looking to capitalize on favorable probabilities and edges.

Thursday Night Football Prediction: Eagles to Cover the Spread

The Commanders have shown flashes of resilience this season, but the Eagles’ depth and home-field advantage could make the difference. Our NFL picks favor Philadelphia to cover the -3.5 spread, with the total likely going slightly over the 48.5-point line.

As always, tune in at 8:15 PM ET to catch all the action, and stay updated for our expert NFL predictions for this thrilling Thursday Night Football clash!