NFL Divisional Round First and Anytime Touchdown Scorer Predictions [2024]

The NFL is back for a big week of playoffs, and we've run 10,000 data-driven simulations of each Divisional Round game to determine which players are most likely to score a touchdown and which are the best TD bets to make.

This week’s NFL Playoffs slate features offensive stars such as Christian McCaffrey, Josh Allen, and Mike Evans, with each of these players projected to have a high probability of scoring a touchdown in their respective games across the Divisional Round weekend.

In this article, you will find the following for this week's playoff games:

• First touchdown scorer predictions
• Anytime touchdown scorer predictions
• Touchdown scorer prop bets

This week's TD scorers are proudly brought to you by BetMGM Sportsbook, where new players can get $158 in bonus bets just for betting $5 on any of the below players to score across the Divisional Round weekend.

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Anytime Touchdown Scorer Predictions: NFL Divisional Round

As part of our NFL predictions for the Divisional Round, Dimers has discovered the most likely players to score a touchdown across all of this week’s games.

Player (Team)	Anytime Touchdown Probability
Christian McCaffrey (49ers)	78.6%
Josh Allen (Bills)	64.0%
Mike Evans (Buccaneers)	56.4%
Gus Edwards (Ravens)	54.3%
David Montgomery (Lions)	53.8%
Isiah Pacheco (Chiefs)	51.9%
Deebo Samuel (49ers)	49.8%
James Cook (Bills)	49.0%
Jahmyr Gibbs (Lions)	48.5%
Amon-Ra St. Brown (Lions)	45.9%

First Touchdown Predictions: NFL Divisional Round

As well as providing you with the players who are most likely to score an anytime touchdown, our experts have also found the 10 players most likely to score the first touchdown in their respective games across all of the NFL Divisional Round action.

Player (Team)	First Touchdown Probability
Christian McCaffrey (49ers)	23.2%
Josh Allen (Bills)	17.7%
Gus Edwards (Ravens)	14.8%
Mike Evans (Buccaneers)	13.5%
David Montgomery (Lions)	13.0%
Isiah Pacheco (Chiefs)	12.9%
James Cook (Bills)	11.6%
Jahmyr Gibbs (Lions)	11.4%
Deebo Samuel (49ers)	11.2%
Amon-Ra St. Brown (Lions)	10.4%

Keep in mind that these lists only show the players most likely to score an anytime or first touchdown in the second week of the NFL playoffs, which does not necessarily mean that our model recommends betting on them.

To increase your chances of winning, it's important to look out for the best odds available, as well as checking out our recommended bets below.

NFL Touchdown Best Bets and Round Robin Parlay: Divisional Round, 2024

We have run our model over every offensive player in this week's playoffs schedule to find the best touchdown bets for this week. Below you will find the four touchdown props we recommend playing in a Round Robin Parlay, one from each game, and betting the combos of x2, x3 and x4.

Dalton Schultz Anytime Touchdown Scorer (+300)

• Odds: +300
• Edge: 8.4%
• Probability: 33.4%
• Game: Texans vs. Ravens (4:30PM EST, Saturday)

The first NFL touchdown bet for the Divisional Round comes in the Texans vs. Ravens game, where our model has found an edge of 8.4% on tight end Dalton Schultz (HOU) at odds of +300 with FanDuel Sportsbook to score an anytime touchdown.

Romeo Doubs Anytime Touchdown Scorer (+260)

• Odds: +260
• Edge: 3.1%
• Probability: 30.9%
• Game: Packers vs. 49ers (8:15PM EST, Saturday)

The next NFL touchdown bet for the Divisional Round comes in the Packers vs. 49ers game, where our model has found an edge of 3.1% on WR Romeo Doubs (GB) at odds of +260 with DraftKings Sportsbook to score an anytime touchdown.

Sam LaPorta Anytime Touchdown Scorer (+140)

• Odds: +140
• Edge: 3.9%
• Probability: 45.5%
• Game: Buccaneers vs. Lions (3:00PM EST, Sunday)

Our model has identified another NFL touchdown bet for Wild Card Weekend, which comes in the game between the Buccaneers and Lions on Sunday. The bet is on TE Sam LaPorta from the Detroit Lions to score a touchdown at odds of +140 with Bet365, where our model has found an edge of 3.9%.

James Cook Anytime Touchdown Scorer (+140)

• Odds: +140
• Edge: 10.8%
• Probability: 52.5%
• Game: Chiefs vs. Bills (6:30PM EST, Saturday)

The last NFL touchdown bet for the Divisional Round comes in the Chiefs vs. Bills game, where our model has found an edge of 10.8% on RB James Cook (BUF) at odds of +140 with BetMGM to score an anytime touchdown.

You can unlock an incredible reward of $200 in bonus bets plus a SGP token for every day of the playoffs just by placing a simple $5 wager on any of this week's NFL touchdown picks at DraftKings Sportsbook. Click ➡️ here ⬅️ to sign up now!

What Is an Edge in Betting?

The edge at Dimers is when we think the probability of an event occurring is more likely than the best NFL odds available. Essentially, it means that Dimers believes a bet has a better chance of winning than the sportsbooks do. That's why the higher the edge, the better.

Although it does not guarantee a win, taking picks with a higher betting edge can increase your chances of being profitable in the long run. This is an essential aspect of a successful sports betting strategy.

Today's NFL Touchdown Betting Picks: Divisional Round, 2024

This NFL touchdown scorer article has been partially generated using automated processes and AI technology. Our goal is to provide timely and accurate updates on NFL touchdown scorer predictions for the Divisional Round, and automation assists in data collection, analysis, and formatting. Human editing and quality control are performed to ensure the content meets our editorial guidelines.

All of Dimers' NFL first and anytime touchdown picks and predictions for the playoffs have been generated thanks to thousands of data-driven game simulations, providing reliable and accurate NFL predictions to help you make informed decisions.

If you plan to use this week's NFL touchdown scorer picks for your personal gambling, it's crucial that you gamble responsibly and manage your finances effectively, keeping in mind that prop bets, including TD scorers, often have higher odds and therefore less of a chance of winning than most straight-up plays.

If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, crisis counseling and referral services can be accessed by calling 1-800-GAMBLER.

Dimers' Expert NFL Touchdown Picks and Predictions

As well as being your best source for NFL touchdown predictions, Dimers also has the latest NFL news, NFL predictions for every game, weekly NFL best bets, and NFL futures.

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