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Commanders vs. Eagles Computer Picks, NFL Odds and Prediction for Monday Night Football on November 14, 2022
The Washington Commanders will be looking to pull off a shocking upset over the undefeated Philadelphia Eagles when the two meet for a little Monday Night Football at 8:15PM ET on November 14. While this might seem like an easy game for Philadelphia, nothing is straightforward when it comes to divisional matchups.
Find out how we think this one will play out in our Commanders vs. Eagles betting preview.
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Commanders vs. Eagles Computer Picks
Predictive Analytics Data
- 51% chance the Eagles cover the 11-point spread
- 87% chance the 49ers win on the moneyline
- 52% chance Over 43 points hits
For the best NFL computer picks, check out our Commanders vs. Eagles data predictions. They are constantly updating based on hundreds of different data points.
Commanders vs. Eagles Odds and Betting Lines
Why The Commanders Will Cover The Spread
Despite squandering a second-half lead against the Vikings on Sunday, Washington is a much more confident team than the Eagles saw six weeks ago.
The Commanders have developed a trend for tight games over the past month, beating the Bears 12-7, the Packers 23-21, the Colts 17-16, and losing 20-17 to Minnesota. Taylor Heinicke will make his fourth start at quarterback and has provided a shot of adrenaline to the offense since taking over for an injured Carson Wentz. Heinicke has six touchdowns (one rushing), three interceptions, and a 91.9 rating.
Why Eagles Will Cover The Spread
With nearly half of the regular season in the books, the road to the Super Bowl in the NFC is pointing through the City of Brotherly Love.
Philadelphia handed Washington a 24-8 loss back in Week 3, with the Jalen Hurts-DeVonta Smith connection doing most of the damage. Smith had eight catches for 169 yards and one touchdown. But the Commanders can ill afford to gear their defensive scheme towards the former Heisman Trophy winner with A.J. Brown on the opposite side. Brown also reached paydirt that day and has five touchdowns in the last three games.
Why The Over Will Hit
Plenty will have to change from the first meeting for this total to be surpassed. The teams combined for 14 punts in that game and both offenses struggled on third down, with the Eagles converting just five of 15, and the Commanders only six of 17.
Philadelphia rolled up 400 yards at Washington and after a scoreless opening quarter, the Eagles exploded for 24 points in the second. The Commanders managed only 240 yards that afternoon with a pair of turnovers. That simply can’t happen again if 45 points or more is the wager.
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Why The Under Will Hit
Only one of Washington’s last seven games has hit the Over (after Weeks 1 and 2 easily surpassed the respective totals) and that was by a slim margin when it faced Green Bay three weeks ago.
As dynamic as Hurts and the entire offense has looked at times, the Eagles’ defense is flying under the radar and not getting headlines. They rank third in total defense and passing defense.
Commanders vs. Eagles Prediction
Lean: Commanders +11
The Eagles took the Texans lightly last Thursday night and found themselves locked in a battle until talent prevailed in the second half. Improving Washington can keep this one close for certain.
Tony Bellissimo, with over 25 years of sports reporting and editing experience, has earned multiple New York State Press Association awards and oversees sports coverage for 30 high schools and several colleges on Long Island.
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