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Chiefs vs. Chargers Computer Picks, NFL Odds and Prediction for Sunday Night Football on November 20, 2022
In an exciting divisional matchup, the Los Angeles Chargers host the Kansas City Chiefs for some Sunday Night Football at SoFi Stadium in Inglewood, California at 8:20PM ET on November 20.
Find out how we think this one will play out in our Chiefs vs. Chargers betting preview.
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Chiefs vs. Chargers Computer Picks
Predictive Analytics Data
- 54% chance the Chargers cover the +5.5 point spread
- 66% chance the Chiefs win on the moneyline
- 52% chance Chiefs-Chargers goes Over 51.5
For the best NFL computer picks, check out our Chiefs vs. Chargers data predictions. They are constantly updating based on hundreds of different data points.
Chiefs vs. Chargers Odds and Betting Lines
Why Chiefs Will Cover The Spread
No Tyreek Hill? No problem. Kansas City still leads the NFL in passing offense, averaging 326.2 yards per game, and ranks No. 2 in total offense as well.
The Chiefs also boast the fifth-best rushing defense in the league and given the Chargers’ injuries to leading receivers Keenan Allen and Mike Williams, running the ball with Austin Ekeler is probably their best ticket to keeping this one close.
Patrick Mahomes has 25 touchdown passes through nine games, including four in last Sunday’s victory over Jacksonville. He also has a nice track record against the Chargers and in a Week 2 win over Los Angeles went 24-for-35 with two touchdowns and no turnovers.
Why Chargers Will Cover The Spread
If they win the battle in the trenches and Ekeler does the type of damage he’s capable of. He had just 39 yards rushing in the first meeting.
The Chargers sacked Mahomes only once in Week 2 and average only 2.2 sacks per game. They’ll need to figure out a way to generate more pressure, but it doesn’t help they’re terrible stopping the run (30th) and must respect Andy Reid’s complete attack.
On the flip side, the Chargers are protecting prized possession Justin Herbert (12 sacks) and he threw for 334 yards and three scores in Week 2.
Should you be betting the Colts player props on Sunday? The fellas are loving them this week on Prop or Chop!
Why The Over Will Hit
Five of the last six Chiefs-Chargers matchups have surpassed 50 points, including Kansas City’s intense 27-24 win in Week 2.
So why should this week be any different? Weather won’t be a factor and both head coaches love to play at a fan-friendly, fast-paced tempo.
Mahomes & Co. average 30 points per game, tops in the league. That’s two-thirds of the total placed on the board.
Why The Under Will Hit
Staying below this total is a hard sell, but consider this: Kansas City has been involved in three “Unders” in its past four games, while the Chargers have played two consecutive low-scoring affairs.
So the Under isn’t impossible considering the recent success of both defensive units.
Chiefs vs. Chargers Prediction
Lean: Chargers +5.5
The Chargers are the more desperate team but are far from healthy. If they do manage to qualify for the playoffs and have their big guns in the holster, watch out. At home, they should be competitive in this spot despite the Chiefs’ explosiveness.
Tony Bellissimo, with over 25 years of sports reporting and editing experience, has earned multiple New York State Press Association awards and oversees sports coverage for 30 high schools and several colleges on Long Island.
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