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NFL Betting Trends - The Top 10 in Week 9, 2024
NFL analyst Nick Slade has identified the 10 strongest trends that NFL bettors need to factor in when making their Week 9 wagers.
Week 9 of the NFL season is here, and with it come some fascinating NFL trends in player performances that can provide valuable insights for sports bettors. We've highlighted the top 10 betting trends - including one for Halloween - that help you make informed NFL bets this week. These trends highlight a range of player performances across multiple teams, from consistent rushing yard totals and touchdown counts to surprising underperformances in receiving yards
Top-10 NFL Betting Trends, Lines & Odds [Week 9]
By analyzing NFL trends and examining each player’s recent stats, bettors can gain insights into how certain players might fare in their upcoming matchups. Here, we’ve compiled the top 10 trends to watch this week, with betting angles that could provide an edge in the constantly shifting landscape of the NFL.
1. Gardner Minshew – UNDER 221.5 Passing Yards
Game: Raiders vs. Bengals
Gardner Minshew has struggled to produce significant passing yardage recently, with fewer than 221.5 passing yards in each of his last five games. His low yardage totals could be attributed to a conservative offensive approach and his tendency to rely on short-yard completions rather than deep balls. For Week 9, the trend suggests the UNDER on his passing yardage might be a strong bet.
Odds: -110 (bet365)
2. Tyreek Hill – UNDER 77.5 Receiving Yards
Game: Dolphins vs. Bills
Tyreek Hill has been one of the NFL's most explosive receivers, yet he's posted fewer than 77.5 receiving yards in each of his last six games, mostly without QB Tua Tagovailoa who returned last week. This trend continuing may surprise some, but the Bills’ secondary has historically done a solid job containing Hill’s deep-threat capabilities. Betting the UNDER here could be a wise choice, given Buffalo’s defensive track record.
Odds: -110 (bet365)
3. Jaylen Waddle – UNDER 49.5 Receiving Yards
Game: Dolphins vs. Bills
Like Hill, Jaylen Waddle has also struggled to make big plays recently, recording fewer than 49.5 receiving yards in each of his last six games, including in Tua's return. The combination of Hill and Waddle’s reduced yardage totals suggests the Bills’ defense knows how to limit Miami’s star receivers, making this UNDER pick an attractive option.
Odds:-110 (bet365)
4. Keenan Allen – UNDER 46.5 Receiving Yards
Game: Bears vs. Cardinals
Keenan Allen has recorded fewer than 46.5 receiving yards in five straight games, which is quite unusual for a player of his caliber. The Cardinals’ defense isn’t known for being particularly stifling, but Allen’s recent numbers indicate he’s being utilized differently, perhaps with more red-zone targets rather than big yardage plays. Bettors might want to lean towards the UNDER for Week 9.
Odds: -110 (bet365)
5. Jared Goff – OVER 1.5 Passing Touchdowns
Game: Lions vs. Packers
Jared Goff has been on fire lately, throwing for more than 1.5 passing touchdowns in each of his last five games. With the Packers’ defense susceptible to the pass, Goff’s hot streak in the red zone should have a good chance to continue in Week 9. The OVER on Goff’s passing touchdowns seems promising for those betting on Detroit’s offense to stay aggressive.
Odds: -110 (bet365)
6. Garrett Wilson – UNDER 0.5 Rushing Yards
Game: Texans vs. Jets (on Halloween)
Garrett Wilson’s rushing game has been ghostly, haunting bettors and sportsbooks alike with fewer than 0.5 rushing yards in each of his last six games. As a pass-catching ghoul, Wilson’s role rarely includes him taking off on any bone-chilling end-arounds or spooky rushing plays. This line may be low, but it’s scarily accurate given he’s had very few carries all season. Betting the UNDER here seems like a boo-tifully safe choice 🎃
Odds: -120 (bet365)
7. Kirk Cousins – UNDER 0.5 Rushing Yards
Game: Cowboys vs. Falcons
Cousins has recorded fewer than 0.5 rushing yards in seven of his last eight games. Known for his pocket-passing style, Cousins rarely scrambles or attempts to run for yardage, especially with a solid offensive line. Given his style of play, the UNDER on his rushing yards remains one of the more consistent trends to follow.
Odds: -105 (bet365)
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8. Dalton Schultz – UNDER 42.5 Receiving Yards
Game: Texans vs. Jets
Dalton Schultz has been limited to fewer than 42.5 receiving yards in seven of his last eight games, suggesting he’s not a primary option in Houston’s offense. With C.J. Stroud spreading the ball around, Schultz’s chances for a big game are limited, and the UNDER may hold strong for another week.
Odds: -110 (bet365)
9. Tank Dell – UNDER 57.5 Receiving Yards
Game: Texans vs. Jets
Tank Dell has shown great potential, but he’s recorded fewer than 57.5 receiving yards in seven of his last eight appearances. Dell’s usage in the Texans’ offense has been inconsistent, as they continue to develop his role. Given his recent performance, the UNDER appears to be a viable choice for those looking to bet on the rookie.
Odds: -110 (bet365)
10. Joe Mixon – OVER 80.5 Rushing Yards
Game: Raiders vs. Bengals
Joe Mixon has been a reliable workhorse, with more than 80.5 rushing yards in five of his last six games. Facing a Raiders defense that’s struggled against the run, Mixon’s power-running style should suit this matchup well. If Cincinnati leans on the run game, Mixon could easily surpass this line, making the OVER a solid bet in Week 9.
Odds: -110 (bet365)
Final Thoughts
These trends for NFL Week 9 provide a range of insights for NFL props bettors. By analyzing past performance and considering defensive matchups, bettors can use these trends as a valuable resource when placing wagers. Whether it’s banking on Goff’s passing or counting on the Jets to keep Wilson’s ground game in check, these prop bets are set to provide excitement and, potentially, a profitable Week 9. Please, gamble responsibly.