NFL Predictions: Which Teams Average 11 Regular-Season Wins?

11 days and counting!

As of Sunday, August 25, we are less than two weeks away from the first regular-season NFL game of the 2024-25 season and the quest for Super Bowl LIX in New Orleans.

The Kansas City Chiefs and Baltimore Ravens kick off the season with a Thursday night contest in a highly-anticipated rematch of last year's AFC Championship game which the Chiefs won 17-10. Dimers' prediction for this game is live now, and find out how to stream this game and every Week 1 matchup with a trial to NFL+ Premium as part of this new DraftKings bonus offer.

We recently launched our exclusive 2024-25 NFL Futures Betting Guide, an exclusive release for our Dimers Pro members. 

Packed with 12 different futures markets, all simulated by the cutting-edge analytics you've come to know and love on Dimers.com, this guide is something special, and we're excited to show it off. 

MORE: Week 1 NFL Predictions for Every Game

Starting today, we'll look at different aspects of the guide as we count down the days to the NFL season. Each day, we'll highlight one piece of data from our NFL Futures Betting Guide relevant to that day's countdown, from 14 down to 1. You'll find the previous insights in each subsequent article each day, as well.

Lamar Jackson and Patrick Mahomes after an NFL Game

NFL Week 1 Countdown

• 14 Days: 49ers Most Likely to Win 14 Games
• 13 Days: AFC North Exact Order - a 13% Favorite
• 12 Days: Exact Division Order 1st/2nd
• 11 Days: Teams Averaging 11 Regular Season Wins
• 10 Days: Cowboys to Finish With 10 Wins?
• 9 Days: Lions Last to Lose?
• 8 Days: Titans a Top Candidate for Last Winless Team
• 7 Days: The Teams Least Likely To Make the Playoffs
• 6 Days: A Perfect Season?
• 5 Days: August 31, 2024
• 4 Days: September 1, 2024
• 3 Days: September 2, 2024
• 2 Days: September 3, 2024
• 1 Day: September 4, 2024

Day 11 - Chiefs, Ravens Averaging 11 Season Wins

The Chiefs and Ravens Win Total Projections

We looked at one aspect of the guide centered around season wins with Exact Win Projections. Now, we'll analyze our regular-season win totals, specifically each team's average result and the over/under probability for each.

To keep with the Day 11 theme, we'll highlight the two teams who average 11 regular-season wins in our projections - the Baltimore Ravens and Kansas City Chiefs.

While we project both of these teams for approximately 11 wins, 10.5 for Baltimore and 11.19 for Kansas City, there's one notable difference. The Ravens have a win total line set at 10.5 and the Chiefs at 11.5, meaning we project the chiefs to go Under and the Ravens to go over, though just barely.

At 51.08% for the Ravens to go over 10.5, this is the sharpest lines on the books for this whole market. No other team is as close to a 50/50 probability per our model.

The Chiefs, on the other hand, are a little further away, though in the opposite direction form their posted line of 11.5. They get a 55.08% probability to go under 11.5 wins, and that comes with a little edge, as our fair odds of -123 are shorter than the -105 on offer.

To see the win total projections for all 32 teams, as well as our value on each team's Over or Under, join Dimers Pro for less than $1/day and get the full Futures Guide!

What's in the Dimers Pro NFL Futures Betting Guide?

As mentioned, we've compiled a dozen unique markets, each with a different angle. Some are season-long, while others could result in wins in the early weeks or midseason. Below, we'll highlight some of the offerings you'll find in the guide:

• Team Season Win Totals O/U
• Exact Team Season Wins from 0 to 17
• Make/Miss Playoffs
• Super Bowl Finalists
• No. 1 Overall Seed in AFC & NFC
• Exact Division order Top 2

For a full list of the markets available in the Futures Guide, read our NFL Futures Betting Guide preview.

How to Get the Guide

Getting our 2024-25 NFL Futures Betting Guide is easy - simply sign up for Dimers Pro (less than $1/day) and it's yours!

And if you're in a state where BetMGM Sportsbook is operational, then you can score 3 free months of Dimers Pro when you sign up at the book and bet just $10. Learn more about this exclusive offer here.

NFL 2024-25 Betting News and Resources:

Dimers is your go-to resource for all things this upcoming NFL season:

• 2024-25 Preseason Preview: Dimers' early looks at Win Totals and Playoff odds
• NFL Week 1 Predictions: Our data-backed previews for every Week 1 matchup
• NFL Best Bets: Our Top Picks for every game, every week
• Super Bowl Odds: Who will hoist the Lombardi Trophy?
• Best NFL Props: Player edges and projections from our predictive analytics model
• NFL Betting News: The latest promos, storylines and more around the league

Dimers and Responsible Gambling

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