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2022 NFL Futures Betting: Post-Week 11 Updates on MVP, OPOTY, DPOTY and Other Player Awards
We still see a lot of value on the board when it comes to year-end player awards in the NFL, so we're taking a look at some things you should keep an eye on after Week 11. As we get closer to the end of the regular season we’re thinking more about those end-of-season awards.
We’ll get into the movement within each market and hopefully point out some good picks for all of them. Each and every Tuesday we’re taking a look at the big movers in each category, so let's get into it.
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Betting Updates on MVP, OPOTY, DPOTY and Other Player Awards
Most Valuable Player (MVP)
Patrick Mahomes now has a firm lead in the MVP race according to the sportsbooks. He’s now +150 despite having been +450 three weeks ago. Tua Tagovailoa is next up at +600 with Jalen Hurts and Josh Allen close behind at +700 and +750 respectively.
Given how quickly this changed in the past month, we could still see a big swing in the final six weeks of the regular season.
Offensive Player of the Year (OPOTY)
It’s a battle between two receivers right now with Tyreek Hill the +250 favorite ahead of Justin Jefferson at +350. Jefferson was overtaken this week after having hauled in just three passes for 33 yards in that demolition from the Cowboys.
Beyond the wideouts there’s Hurts at +700 and Mahomes at +1000 on the outside looking in.
Defensive Player of the Year (DPOTY)
Each and every week for the past couple of months we’ve seen Micah Parsons look even more likely for this award. In the past seven days he’s gone from -250 to -375, which implies a probability of 78.9% that he wins this award.
Parsons has been so dominant that this is an award hard to see going elsewhere, but if it does then Matthew Judon at +650 could be a good pick to win it.
Offensive Rookie of the Year (OROY)
Kenneth Walker III might have been on a bye but with Dameon Pierce having a poor week for the Texans he’s remained the firm leader in the betting at -150 to win the OROY.
Pierce sits back at +400 and now could be overtaken by Chris Olave at +500, who was +1400 last week, before putting on a 102-yard and a touchdown display.
This is a market which really doesn’t feel certain either way and we could well see a late winner here. Back at +3000 we have Brian Robinson Jr, Christian Watson and Isiah Pacheco. With Watson having scored five touchdowns in the past two weeks and looking like Aaron Rodgers' favorite target, he could be worth a wager here.
Defensive Rookie of the Year (DROY)
Sauce Gardner is rightly still the strong favorite at -200 but a monster performance from Aidan Hutchinson last weekend has given his bettors hope. Could we see a late swing here? It’s certainly just a two-horse race with Kyle Hamilton and Kayvon Thibodeaux next in the betting, all the way back at +5000.
Coach of the Year (COTY)
Last week Kevin O’Connell surged to second in the betting after that amazing Vikings win over the Bills, going from +800 to +275. Fast forward one week and a huge loss later and he’s now in third spot at +750.
Nick Sirianni is still the favorite at -130 and Mike McDaniel second, into +550 from +800. The Dolphins HC feels like the best bet on the market right now.
Comeback Player of the Year (CPOY)
With Geno Smith on a bye, it was the perfect time for Saquon Barkley to put on a show and leapfrog the Seahawks QB to the top of the betting, but he didn’t. A poor display keeps Barkley as second favorite at +100, just behind Smith at -150.
Christian McCaffrey at +1600 and Derrick Henry at +2200 are next in the running, but in truth it’s hard to see either of them winning this from here.