Newcastle vs. Aston Villa Prediction, Odds, Premier League Picks [12/26/2024]

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Written by Ryan Leaver

Our expert prediction for Thursday's Newcastle vs Aston Villa matchup.

Newcastle-Aston Villa Predictions and Game Preview.
St. James' Park sets the stage for the Premier League matchup between Newcastle and Aston Villa this Thursday.

Newcastle and Aston Villa are scheduled to meet in the Premier League at St. James' Park on Thursday, with kickoff at 10:00AM ET.

Based on the latest simulations, Dimers' advanced Premier League model (see Dimers Pro for full access) predicts Newcastle as the most likely winner of the game.

"Using the latest data, our experts simulated Thursday's Newcastle-Aston Villa game 10,000 times," said Jason Bevilacqua from Dimers.

"After incorporating the most recent updates and numerous additional inputs, our prediction gives Newcastle a 51.4% chance of winning, Aston Villa a 26.0% chance, and a 22.6% chance of a draw."

For further insights into Thursday's matchup, including best bets and an expanded look at the predicted final score, visit our interactive Newcastle vs. Aston Villa predictions page.

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Newcastle vs. Aston Villa Game-Day Updates and Essential Details

Thursday's Premier League action between Newcastle and Aston Villa at St. James' Park is scheduled to commence in the United States at 10:00AM ET.

Dimers.com's comprehensive preview of Thursday's Newcastle vs. Aston Villa matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.

Before making any Aston Villa vs. Newcastle picks, be sure to check out the latest Premier League predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.

Newcastle vs. Aston Villa Prediction: Who Will Win?

Using innovative machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Thursday's Premier League match between Newcastle and Aston Villa 10,000 times as part of our Premier League predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model indicates a 51.4% chance of Newcastle winning, a 26.0% chance for Aston Villa, and a 22.6% chance of a draw.

Additionally, the 2.5-goal over/under has a 61% chance of going over, according to our model.

Pre-Game Probabilities
Last Updated: 2:15PM, Dec 26
Moneyline
Correct Score
Over / Under
Win %
Aston Villa VIL
26.1%
BetRivers
Draw
22.9%
DraftKings
Newcastle NEW
51.0%
DraftKings
FanDuel
BetMGM
Caesars
DraftKings
bet365
BetRivers
Get the best bets with Dimers Pro
See Matchup
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Newcastle vs. Aston Villa Odds

We have sourced the best betting odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Moneyline

Newcastle Aston Villa Draw
-110 +280 +295

Total Goals

Over 2.5 Under 2.5
-175 +136

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Newcastle vs. Aston Villa Picks

Our model's biggest edge in the Newcastle vs. Aston Villa matchup is on the moneyline.

Our expert predictions, matched against the current odds, reveal the best Premier League picks for every game throughout the season.

Unlimited access to our complete suite of picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.

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Newcastle vs. Aston Villa: Correct Score Prediction

The top three most likely final scores, according to our model, are listed below, with a 1-1 draw being the most probable:

Final Score Probability
NEW 1-1 AVL 10.3%
NEW 2-1 AVL 9.6%
NEW 1-0 AVL 8.1%

These final scores are based on each team's average score after 10,000 simulations, which means the most likely correct score can differ from our predicted winner.

Conclusion

According to our computer model, Newcastle has a 51.4% win probability on Thursday, Aston Villa has a 26.0% win probability, and there is a 22.6% chance that the game will end in a draw.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Newcastle vs. Aston Villa insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

Note: Clicking links to our partners may earn us a referral fee. Learn about how we review products and services.

More on Premier League

Keep up with the latest Premier League news, Premier League best bets and parlay picks throughout the season. Plus, our Premier League futures odds provide the latest predictions for the Premier League title.

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Written by
Ryan Leaver
Senior Sports and Betting Editor

Ryan Leaver uses advanced statistical models and simulations to predict outcomes and provide predictions for the NBA, NFL, college football, college basketball, and soccer. He offers detailed game previews, best bets, props, and futures articles.

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