Yankees vs. Rays Prediction: Close Contest Projected After New Data Released for Thursday's MLB Matchup [4/17/2025]

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Written by Jason Bevilacqua

Our expert prediction for Thursday's New York Yankees vs Tampa Bay Rays matchup.

New York Yankees-Tampa Bay Rays Predictions and Game Preview.
George M. Steinbrenner Field sets the stage for the MLB matchup between the New York Yankees and Tampa Bay Rays this Thursday.

The Tampa Bay Rays will face the New York Yankees in MLB action at George M. Steinbrenner Field on Thursday, beginning at 7:05PM ET.

The Rays will start Taj Bradley (2-0, 3.71 ERA), pitting him against Will Warren (1-0, 5.14 ERA) for the Yankees.

Based on the latest simulations, Dimers' proven MLB model (see Dimers Pro for full access) projects an equal chance for both the Rays and Yankees to win today's game.

"Using the latest data, our experts simulated Thursday's NY Yankees-Tampa Bay game 10,000 times," said Dimers' Chief Content Officer, Nick Slade.

"Based on the latest updates and extensive data, we predict a 50-50 chance for both the Rays and Yankees, making it a highly competitive matchup."

For further insights into Thursday's matchup, including best bets and picks, visit our interactive Yankees vs. Rays predictions page.

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Yankees vs. Yankees Prediction: Who Will Win, Cover the Run Line?

Using powerful machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Thursday's MLB matchup between the Yankees and Rays 10,000 times as part of our MLB predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model can't split the two teams, giving both the Yankees and Rays a 50% chance of winning the game.

According to our model, the Rays (+1.5) have a 63% chance of covering the run line, while the over/under total of 9 runs has a 52% chance of staying under.

Pre-Game Probabilities
Last Updated: 11:27PM, Apr 17
Moneyline
Over / Under
Run Line
Yankees
Win %
49%
51%
Get the best bets with Dimers Pro
See Matchup
Rays
Yankees NYY
Win %
49%
51%
See Matchup
Rays TB
Will Warren 1-0, 5.14 ERA
Taj Bradley 2-0, 3.71 ERA
Get the best bets with Dimers Pro

Yankees vs. Rays Odds [4/17/2025]

We have researched the best MLB odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type Yankees Rays
Run Line -1.5 (+154) +1.5 (-170)
Moneyline -105 -108
Total o9 (-102) u9 (-115)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

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Yankees vs. Rays Picks and Best Bets

Our model's biggest edge in today's Yankees vs. Rays matchup is on the total.

Our expert predictions, matched against the latest odds, reveal the best MLB picks and MLB best bets for every game throughout the season.

Unlimited access to our complete suite of picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.

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Calling Our Shot's Best Bets Video

Calling Our Shot produces daily MLB betting content, including the latest best bets featured below.

Yankees vs. Rays Game-Day Updates and Essential Details

Thursday's MLB action between the Rays and Yankees at George M. Steinbrenner Field is scheduled to start at 7:05PM ET.

Dimers.com's comprehensive preview of Thursday's Yankees vs. Rays matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.

Before making any NY Yankees vs. Tampa Bay picks, be sure to check out the latest MLB predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.

Key MLB Betting Guides and Insights

Conclusion

We predict a close game between the Yankees and Rays on Thursday, with each team having a 50% chance of winning.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Yankees vs. Rays insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

Note: Clicking links to our partners may earn us a referral fee. Learn about how we review products and services.

More on MLB

Stay up-to-date with the latest MLB betting news and MLB parlay picks throughout the season. Plus, our World Series odds offer the most up-to-date projections for the World Series, American League, National League and each division.

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Written by
Jason Bevilacqua
Head of Content and Communities

Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.

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