Mets vs. Padres Prediction: Close Contest Projected in Updated Analysis for Sunday's MLB Game [8/25/2024]

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Written by Dave Garofolo
New York Mets-San Diego Padres Predictions and Game Preview.
PETCO Park sets the stage for the MLB matchup between the New York Mets and San Diego Padres this Sunday.

The San Diego Padres will take on the New York Mets, in what is expected to be a tight MLB game, at PETCO Park on Sunday, commencing at 4:10PM ET.

Martín Pérez (3-5, 4.67 ERA) will be on the bump for the Padres, up against Jose Quintana (6-9, 4.57 ERA) for the Mets.

Based on the latest simulation results, Dimers' proven MLB model (see Dimers Pro for full access) projects the Padres as the most likely winner of today's game.

"Using the most recent data, our experts ran 10,000 simulations of Sunday's Mets-Padres game," said Dimers' Chief Content Officer, Nick Slade.

"After accounting for recent updates and other variables, our prediction shows the Padres with a win probability of 52%, while the Mets have 48%."

Mets vs. Padres Game-Day Updates and Essential Details

Sunday's MLB game between the Padres and Mets at PETCO Park is scheduled to commence at 4:10PM ET.

Dimers.com's comprehensive preview of Sunday's Mets vs. Padres matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.

Before making any Padres vs. Mets picks, be sure to check out the latest MLB predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.

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Mets vs. Padres Prediction: Who Will Win, Cover the Run Line?

Using trusted machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the result of Sunday's MLB game between the Mets and Padres 10,000 times as part of our MLB predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model currently gives the Padres a 52% chance of beating the Mets.

According to our model, the Padres (+1.5) have a 64% chance of covering the run line, while the 9-run over/under has an equal 50-50 chance of hitting.

Pre-Game Probabilities
Last Updated: 8:35PM, Aug 25
Moneyline
Over / Under
Run Line
Mets
Win %
43%
57%
Get the best bets with Dimers Pro
See Matchup
Padres
Mets NYM
Win %
43%
57%
See Matchup
Padres SD
Jose Quintana 6-9, 4.57 ERA
Martín Pérez 3-5, 4.67 ERA
Get the best bets with Dimers Pro

Mets vs. Padres Odds [8/25/2024]

We have researched the best betting odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type Mets Padres
Run Line -1.5 (+168) +1.5 (-205)
Moneyline +105 -120
Total o9 (+100) u9 (-130)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Mets vs. Padres Picks

Our model's strongest edge in today's Mets vs. Padres matchup is on the run line.

Our expert predictions, matched against the best odds, reveal the best MLB picks for every game throughout the season.

Unlimited access to our picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.

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Calling Our Shot: Free MLB Picks

Calling Our Shot produces daily MLB betting content, including the predictions featured below.

Conclusion

We predict the Padres, with a 52% win probability, will likely beat the Mets on Sunday.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Mets vs. Padres insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

Note: Clicking links to our partners may earn us a referral fee. Learn about how we review products and services.

More on MLB

Keep up with the latest MLB betting news and our data-driven MLB best bets and MLB parlay picks throughout the season. Plus, our World Series odds provide the most accurate projections for the World Series, American League, National League and each division.

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Written by
Dave Garofolo
Content Producer

Dave Garofolo uses sophisticated AI-driven analytics to make predictions and evaluate player performances in the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM, and PGA TOUR tournaments, crafting insightful game and prop previews.

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