Mets vs. Phillies Prediction: Philadelphia Predicted to Win After New Data Released for Game 1 NLDS [10/5/2024]

The Philadelphia Phillies will square off with the New York Mets in Game 1 of the National League Division Series at Citizens Bank Park on Saturday, beginning at 4:08PM ET.

The Phillies will have Zack Wheeler (0-0, 0.00 ERA) as their starting pitcher, while the Mets have opted for Kodai Senga (0-0, 0.00 ERA).

Based on the latest simulation results, Dimers' proven MLB model (see Dimers Pro for full access) predicts the Phillies as the most likely winner of today's game.

"Our team has used the latest data to run 10,000 simulations of Saturday's Mets-Phillies game," said Dimers' Chief Content Officer, Nick Slade.

"By incorporating recent updates and various other inputs, we estimate that the Phillies are more likely to win, while the Mets have a lower chance of victory."

Mets vs. Phillies Game-Day Updates and Essential Details

Saturday's MLB action between the Phillies and Mets at Citizens Bank Park is scheduled to begin at 4:08PM ET.

• Who: New York Mets vs. Philadelphia Phillies
• Date: Saturday, October 5, 2024
• Time: 4:08PM ET/1:08PM PT
• Venue: Citizens Bank Park
• Tickets: Get tickets for the game on Ticketmaster
• Merchandise: Buy Phillies and Mets gear at Fanatics
• Live Stream: Watch the game on FuboTV

Dimers.com's in-depth preview of Saturday's Mets vs. Phillies matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.

Before making any Phillies vs. Mets picks, be sure to check out the latest MLB predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.

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Mets vs. Phillies Prediction: Who Will Win Game 1?

Using trusted machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Saturday's MLB matchup between the Mets and Phillies 10,000 times as part of our MLB predictions coverage.

Our famous predictive model gives the Phillies a 61% chance of beating the Mets.

According to our model, the Mets (+1.5) have a 59% chance of covering the run line, while the over/under total of 7.5 runs has a 52% chance of going over.

Mets vs. Phillies Game 1 Odds [10/5/2024]

We have researched the best betting odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type	Mets	Phillies
Run Line	+1.5 (-145)	-1.5 (+125)
Moneyline	+155	-174
Total	o7.5 (+110)	u7.5 (-140)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Mets vs. Phillies Picks for Game 1

Our model's biggest edge in today's Mets vs. Phillies matchup is on the run line.

Our expert predictions, matched against the best odds, reveal the best MLB picks for every game throughout the season.

Full access to our picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.

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Conclusion

We predict the Phillies, with a 61% win probability, will likely beat the Mets on Saturday.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Mets vs. Phillies insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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