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New York Jets vs. New England Patriots Prediction, Odds, NFL Picks - Week 18 [2024]
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The New England Patriots will square off with the New York Jets in NFL Week 18 action at Gillette Stadium on Sunday, commencing at 1:00PM ET.
Dimers.com's full betting preview for Sunday's Jets vs. Patriots matchup includes the latest betting odds, as well as our predictions and picks for the game.
Jets vs. Patriots Prediction: Who Will Win, Cover the Spread
We have used powerful machine learning and data analysis to simulate the result of Sunday's NFL matchup between the Jets and Patriots 10,000 times, in line with our coverage of NFL picks.
Our proven predictive analytics model currently gives the Patriots a 62% chance of beating the Jets in Week 18 of the NFL season, and our predicted final score has the Patriots winning 16-14.
According to our model, the Patriots (-2) have a 56% chance of covering the spread, while the Over/Under total of 28.5 points has a 54% chance of going over.
This NY Jets vs. New England betting preview is brought to you by Bet365, which has a tasty Bet $5, Get $150 in Bonus Bets promo for new customers.
Jets vs. Patriots Odds
We have researched the best betting odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Jets | Patriots |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | +2 (-105) | -2 (-115) |
| Moneyline | +124 | -135 |
| Total | o28.5 (-110) | u28.5 (-110) |
- The Patriots are -2 favorites versus the Jets, with -115 at BetMGM Sportsbook the best odds currently available.
- For the underdog Jets (+2) to cover the spread, FanDuel Sportsbook has the best odds currently on offer at -105.
- BetMGM currently has the best moneyline odds for the Patriots at -135. That means you can risk $135 to win $100 for a total payout of $235 if they get the W.
- On the other hand, DraftKings Sportsbook currently has the best moneyline odds for the Jets at +124, where you can bet $100 to profit $124, earning a total payout of $224 if they win.
- The Over/Under for total points scored is set at 28.5 with FanDuel, which currently has the best odds for the Over at -110, as well as the best odds for the Under at -110.
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
As always, check out all the legal sports betting sites available in your state for the best NFL odds and lines.
Jets vs. Patriots Picks
By comparing our probabilities to the odds listed above, we have found the best betting picks to place on this game:
| Bet Type | Our Pick | Best Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Patriots -2 | -115 |
| Moneyline | Patriots | -135 🔥 |
| Total | Over 28.5 | -110 |
If you see a 🔥, that means you've found one of Dimers' best free picks of the day across any sport.
Our NFL best bets are based on complex simulations and gambling intelligence to serve you the best possible plays every week of the season.
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Jets vs. Patriots TD Scorers
Who will score the first touchdown in Jets vs. Patriots?
According to our model, New York's Breece Hall is most likely to score the first TD in Jets vs. Patriots.
Our projections give Hall a 19.5% chance of scoring the first TD at Gillette Stadium, while the Jets RB is a 51.8% chance of reaching the end zone at any point in the game.
First Touchdown Scorer Predictions
New York Jets
| Player | First TD Probability |
|---|---|
| Breece Hall | 19.5% |
| Garrett Wilson | 10.1% |
| Tyler Conklin | 5.4% |
| Xavier Gipson | 4.6% |
| Israel Abanikanda | 4.2% |
New England Patriots
| Player | First TD Probability |
|---|---|
| Ezekiel Elliott | 16.4% |
| Demario Douglas | 6.3% |
| DeVante Parker | 5.6% |
| Mike Gesicki | 4.9% |
| Bailey Zappe | 4.4% |
Anytime Touchdown Scorer Predictions
New York Jets
| Player | Anytime TD Probability |
|---|---|
| Breece Hall | 51.8% |
| Garrett Wilson | 30.8% |
| Tyler Conklin | 17.1% |
| Xavier Gipson | 14.7% |
| Israel Abanikanda | 13.9% |
New England Patriots
| Player | Anytime TD Probability |
|---|---|
| Ezekiel Elliott | 47.1% |
| Demario Douglas | 20.4% |
| DeVante Parker | 19.3% |
| Mike Gesicki | 16.9% |
| Bailey Zappe | 14.2% |
Jets vs Patriots Player Props
Here, you will find detailed projections for all of the key offensive players from the Jets and Patriots, including passing, rushing and receiving yards.
Jets vs. Patriots Quarterbacks
Of the starting quarterbacks, the Jets' Trevor Siemian is projected for 202 passing yards, while the Patriots' Bailey Zappe is expected to throw for 207 yards.
| Player | Proj. Pass Yards |
|---|---|
| Trevor Siemian (NYJ) | 202 yds |
| Bailey Zappe (NE) | 207 yds |
Jets Rushing
| Player | Proj. Rush Yards |
|---|---|
| Breece Hall | 70 yds |
| Israel Abanikanda | 23 yds |
| Trevor Siemian | 14 yds |
Patriots Rushing
| Player | Proj. Rush Yards |
|---|---|
| Ezekiel Elliott | 55 yds |
| Kevin Harris | 18 yds |
| Bailey Zappe | 10 yds |
Jets Receiving
| Player | Proj. Rec. Yards |
|---|---|
| Garrett Wilson | 57 yds |
| Breece Hall | 34 yds |
| Tyler Conklin | 30 yds |
| Xavier Gipson | 26 yds |
| Jason Brownlee | 16 yds |
Patriots Receiving
| Player | Proj. Rec. Yards |
|---|---|
| Demario Douglas | 43 yds |
| DeVante Parker | 41 yds |
| Ezekiel Elliott | 24 yds |
| Mike Gesicki | 21 yds |
| Pharaoh Brown | 18 yds |
Don't forget, our model updates often, so check this page for any changes to our betting insights before the Jets vs. Patriots on Sunday January 7, 2024.
Jets vs. Patriots Game Information
The NFL Week 18 matchup between the Patriots and Jets at Gillette Stadium is scheduled to start at 1:00PM ET.
- Who: New York Jets vs. New England Patriots
- Date: Sunday January 7, 2024
- Time: 1:00PM ET / 10:00AM PT
- Venue: Gillette Stadium
Our full coverage of Jets vs. Patriots includes pregame predictions, betting picks, and live updates.
How to Bet on Jets vs. Patriots
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Conclusion
This preview article has been partially generated using automated processes and AI technology. Our goal is to provide timely and accurate updates on Jets vs. Patriots Week 14 clash, and automation assists in data collection, analysis, and formatting. Human editing and quality control are performed to ensure the content meets our editorial guidelines.
Dimers' picks and predictions are made after 10,000 simulations per game, using reliable and up-to-date data sources and analytical methods. While these Jets vs. Patriots predictions can help you make informed decisions, it's important that you gamble responsibly and manage your bankroll effectively.
For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that leads to a third-party website that we have a commercial arrangement with (such as a sportsbook), we may get a referral fee at no additional cost to you.
More on NFL
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Ryan Leaver uses advanced statistical models and simulations to predict outcomes and provide predictions for the NBA, NFL, college football, college basketball, and soccer. He offers detailed game previews, best bets, props, and futures articles.
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