Saints vs. Chiefs Prediction: Kansas City Predicted to Win Following Latest Data Analysis for MNF Week 5 [2024]

The Kansas City Chiefs will face the New Orleans Saints in NFL Week 5 action at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium on Monday, commencing at 8:15PM ET.

Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' proven NFL model (see Dimers Pro for full access) predicts the Chiefs as the most likely winner of today's game.

"Our team has utilized the latest data to simulate Monday's Saints-Chiefs game 10,000 times," said Dimers' Chief Content Officer, Nick Slade.

"Incorporating recent updates and thousands of additional inputs, our prediction shows the Chiefs are likely to win, with a probability of 68%, compared to the Saints' 32%."

Saints vs. Chiefs Game-Day Updates and Essential Details

The NFL Week 5 game between the Chiefs and Saints at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium is scheduled to commence at 8:15PM ET.

• Who: New Orleans Saints vs. Kansas City Chiefs
• Date: Monday, October 7, 2024
• Time: 8:15PM ET/5:15PM PT
• Venue: GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium
• Tickets: Get tickets for the game on Ticketmaster
• Merchandise: Buy Chiefs and Saints gear at Fanatics

Dimers.com's in-depth preview of Monday's Saints vs. Chiefs matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.

Before making any Chiefs vs. Saints picks, be sure to check out the latest NFL predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.

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Saints vs. Chiefs Predictions

Using innovative machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Monday's NFL game between the Saints and Chiefs 10,000 times as part of our NFL predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model currently gives the Chiefs a 68% chance of beating the Saints in Week 5 of the NFL season. Our predicted final score has the Chiefs winning 24-19.

According to our model, the Saints (+5.5) have a 54% chance of covering the spread, while the 43-point over/under has a 53% chance of going over.

Saints vs. Chiefs Odds

We have sourced the best betting odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type	Saints	Chiefs
Spread	+5.5 (-110)	-5.5 (-108)
Moneyline	+200	-218
Total	o43 (-110)	u43 (-110)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Saints vs. Chiefs Picks

Our model's strongest edge in today's Saints vs. Chiefs matchup is on the total.

Our expert predictions, matched against the current odds, reveal the best NFL picks for every game throughout the season.

Unlimited access to our picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.

Saints vs. Chiefs TD Scorers

Who will score an anytime touchdown in Saints vs. Chiefs?

According to our model, New Orleans' Alvin Kamara is most likely to score the first touchdown in Saints vs. Chiefs.

Our projections give Kamara a 12.5% chance of scoring the first TD at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium, while the Saints RB is a 48.4% chance of reaching the end zone at any point during the game.

First Touchdown Scorer Predictions

New Orleans Saints

Player	First TD Probability
Alvin Kamara	12.5%
Rashid Shaheed	9.3%
Chris Olave	8.5%

Kansas City Chiefs

Player	First TD Probability
Travis Kelce	9.8%
Kareem Hunt	9.7%
Xavier Worthy	7.4%

Anytime Touchdown Scorer Predictions

New Orleans Saints

Player	Anytime TD Probability
Alvin Kamara	48.4%
Rashid Shaheed	38.0%
Chris Olave	35.6%

Kansas City Chiefs

Player	Anytime TD Probability
Travis Kelce	41.4%
Kareem Hunt	40.1%
Xavier Worthy	31.1%

Saints vs Chiefs Player Props

Discover our predictions for the players likely to lead in passing, rushing and receiving yards for both the Saints and Chiefs. For detailed projections, join Dimers Pro.

Already a Dimers Pro member? Head to our Saints-Chiefs page now to access every player prop projection.

Saints vs. Chiefs Quarterbacks

Of the starting quarterbacks, the Saints' Derek Carr is projected to throw for fewer yards than the Chiefs' Patrick Mahomes.

Saints Rushing

Alvin Kamara, Jamaal Williams and Derek Carr are projected to be the leading rushers for the Saints.

Player	Position
Alvin Kamara	RB
Jamaal Williams	RB
Derek Carr	QB

Chiefs Rushing

Kareem Hunt, Patrick Mahomes and Carson Steele are expected to lead the Chiefs in rushing yards.

Player	Position
Kareem Hunt	RB
Patrick Mahomes	QB
Carson Steele	RB

Saints Receiving

Chris Olave, Rashid Shaheed, Alvin Kamara, Foster Moreau and Juwan Johnson are projected to top the receiving yards for the Saints.

Player	Position
Chris Olave	WR
Rashid Shaheed	WR
Alvin Kamara	RB
Foster Moreau	TE
Juwan Johnson	TE

Chiefs Receiving

Travis Kelce, Xavier Worthy, Justin Watson, Samaje Perine and JuJu Smith-Schuster are projected to lead the Chiefs in receiving yards.

Player	Position
Travis Kelce	TE
Xavier Worthy	WR
Justin Watson	WR
Samaje Perine	RB
JuJu Smith-Schuster	WR

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Conclusion

We predict the Chiefs, with a 68% win probability, will likely beat the Saints in Week 5 of the NFL season.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Saints vs. Chiefs insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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