Saints vs. Packers Prediction: Green Bay Predicted to Win MNF Week 16 [2024]

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Written by Jason Bevilacqua

Our expert prediction for Monday's New Orleans Saints vs Green Bay Packers matchup.

New Orleans Saints-Green Bay Packers Predictions and Game Preview.
Lambeau Field sets the stage for the NFL matchup between the New Orleans Saints and Green Bay Packers this Monday.

NFL action continues on Monday at 8:15PM ET as the New Orleans Saints face off with the favored Green Bay Packers at Lambeau Field.

Based on updated simulations, Dimers' advanced NFL model (see Dimers Pro for full access) projects the Packers as the most likely winner of today's game.

"Our team has utilized the latest data to simulate Monday's New Orleans-Green Bay game 10,000 times," said Dimers' Chief Content Officer, Nick Slade.

"Incorporating recent updates and thousands of additional inputs, our prediction shows the Packers are likely to win, with a probability of 89%, compared to the Saints' 11%."

This updated Saints vs. Packers betting preview builds on my early Saints vs. Packers prediction that I published at the start of the week.

For further insights into today’s game, including the predicted score, best bets and player prop picks, visit our interactive Saints vs. Packers predictions page.

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Saints vs. Packers Game-Day Updates and Essential Details

The NFL Week 16 game between the Packers and Saints at Lambeau Field is scheduled to start at 8:15PM ET.

Dimers.com's full preview of this week's Saints vs. Packers matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.

Before making any New Orleans vs. Green Bay picks, be sure to check out the latest NFL predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.

Saints vs. Packers Predictions

Using powerful machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Monday's NFL game between the Saints and Packers 10,000 times as part of our NFL predictions coverage.

Our famous predictive model currently gives the Packers an 89% chance of defeating the Saints in Week 16 of the NFL season. Our predicted final score has the Packers winning 28-15.

According to our model, the Saints (+14.5) have a 56% chance of covering the spread, while the 43.5-point over/under has a 52% chance of going over.

 

Saints vs. Packers Odds

We have researched the best betting odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type Saints Packers
Spread +14.5 (-115) -14.5 (-102)
Moneyline +750 -950
Total o43.5 (-110) u43.5 (-110)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Saints vs. Packers Picks

Our model's biggest edge in today's Saints vs. Packers matchup is on the total.

Our expert predictions, aligned with the latest odds, reveal the best NFL picks for every game throughout the season.

Unlimited access to our full suite of picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.

Saints vs. Packers TD Scorers

Who will score the first touchdown in Saints vs. Packers?

According to our model, Green Bay's Josh Jacobs is most likely to score the first TD in Saints vs. Packers.

Our projections give Jacobs a 17.6% chance of scoring the first TD at Lambeau Field, while the Packers RB is a 61.7% chance of reaching the end zone at any point in the game.

First Touchdown Scorer Predictions

New Orleans Saints

Player First TD Probability
Spencer Rattler 10.5%
Kendre Miller 6.6%
Marquez Valdes-Scantling 4.5%

Green Bay Packers

Player First TD Probability
Josh Jacobs 17.6%
Christian Watson 7.4%
Jayden Reed 6.8%

Anytime Touchdown Scorer Predictions

New Orleans Saints

Player Anytime TD Probability
Spencer Rattler 45.1%
Kendre Miller 30.1%
Juwan Johnson 21.8%

Green Bay Packers

Player Anytime TD Probability
Josh Jacobs 61.7%
Christian Watson 32.2%
Jayden Reed 30.8%

Saints vs Packers Player Props

Discover our predictions for the players likely to lead in passing, rushing and receiving yards for both the Saints and Packers. For detailed projections, join Dimers Pro.

Already a Dimers Pro member? Head to our Saints-Packers page now to access every player prop projection.

Saints vs. Packers Quarterbacks

Of the starting quarterbacks, the Saints' Spencer Rattler is projected to throw for fewer yards than the Packers' Jordan Love.

Saints Rushing

Kendre Miller, Spencer Rattler and Jamaal Williams are projected to be the leading rushers for the Saints.

Player Position
Kendre Miller RB
Spencer Rattler QB
Jamaal Williams RB

Packers Rushing

Josh Jacobs, Chris Brooks and Emanuel Wilson are expected to lead the Packers in rushing yards.

Player Position
Josh Jacobs RB
Chris Brooks RB
Emanuel Wilson RB

Saints Receiving

Marquez Valdes-Scantling, Juwan Johnson, Kevin Austin, Foster Moreau and Kendre Miller are projected to top the receiving yards for the Saints.

Player Position
Marquez Valdes-Scantling WR
Juwan Johnson TE
Kevin Austin WR
Foster Moreau TE
Kendre Miller RB

Packers Receiving

Romeo Doubs, Christian Watson, Jayden Reed, Tucker Kraft and Dontayvion Wicks are projected to lead the Packers in receiving yards.

Player Position
Romeo Doubs WR
Christian Watson WR
Jayden Reed WR
Tucker Kraft TE
Dontayvion Wicks WR

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Conclusion

We predict the Packers, with an 89% win probability, will likely beat the Saints in Week 16 of the NFL season.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Saints vs. Packers insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

Note: Clicking links to our partners may earn us a referral fee. Learn about how we review products and services.

More on NFL

Keep up with the latest NFL betting news, NFL best bets and NFL parlay picks throughout the season. Plus, our Super Bowl odds offer the latest projections for the Super Bowl, AFC, NFC and each division.

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Written by
Jason Bevilacqua
Head of Content and Communities

Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.

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