Saints vs. Falcons Prediction: Atlanta Predicted to Win Following Latest Data Analysis for NFL Week 4 [2024]

NFL Week 4 action continues on Sunday at 1:00PM ET as the New Orleans Saints take on the Atlanta Falcons at Mercedes-Benz Stadium.

Based on the latest simulations, Dimers' proven NFL model (see Dimers Pro for full access) predicts the Falcons as the most likely winner of the game.

"Using the most recent data, our experts ran 10,000 simulations of Sunday's Saints-Falcons game," said Dimers' Chief Content Officer, Nick Slade.

"After accounting for recent updates and other variables, our prediction shows the Falcons with a win probability of 60%, while the Saints have 40%."

Saints vs. Falcons Game-Day Updates and Essential Details

The NFL Week 4 matchup between the Falcons and Saints at Mercedes-Benz Stadium is scheduled to commence at 1:00PM ET.

• Who: New Orleans Saints vs. Atlanta Falcons
• Date: Sunday, September 29, 2024
• Time: 1:00PM ET/10:00AM PT
• Venue: Mercedes-Benz Stadium
• Tickets: Get tickets for the game on Ticketmaster
• Merchandise: Buy Falcons and Saints gear at Fanatics
• Live Stream: Watch this game on FOX via Hulu or FuboTV

Dimers.com's comprehensive preview of Sunday's Saints vs. Falcons matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.

Before making any Falcons vs. Saints picks, be sure to check out the latest NFL predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.

READER EXCLUSIVE: Sign up with code 20FOOTBALL at checkout right now to receive 20% off your first month of Dimers Pro! This offer won't last forever.

Saints vs. Falcons Predictions

Using powerful machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Sunday's NFL matchup between the Saints and Falcons 10,000 times as part of our NFL predictions coverage.

Our famous predictive model currently gives the Falcons a 60% chance of beating the Saints in Week 4 of the NFL season. Our predicted final score has the Falcons winning 21-19.

According to our model, the bookies have got it right, and the Saints and Falcons each have a 50% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 40.5 points has a 51% chance of going over.

Along with our Saints vs. Falcons predictions, we've also here's what else we've got for this week's action:

• The Best NFL Week 4 Odds
• NFL Picks Straight Up for Week 4
• Picks Against The Spread for NFL Week 4

Saints vs. Falcons Odds

We have sourced the best betting odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type	Saints	Falcons
Spread	+2.5 (-102)	-2.5 (-118)
Moneyline	+130	-148
Total	o40.5 (-110)	u40.5 (-110)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Saints vs. Falcons Picks

Our model's strongest edge in the Saints vs. Falcons matchup is on the moneyline.

Our expert predictions, matched against the best odds, reveal the best NFL picks for every game throughout the season.

Full access to our picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.

Saints vs. Falcons TD Scorers

Who will score an anytime touchdown in Saints vs. Falcons?

According to our model, Atlanta's Bijan Robinson is most likely to score the first TD in Saints vs. Falcons.

Our projections give Robinson a 15.8% chance of scoring the first TD at Mercedes-Benz Stadium, while the Falcons RB is a 56.1% chance of registering an anytime touchdown.

First Touchdown Scorer Predictions

New Orleans Saints

Player	First TD Probability
Alvin Kamara	13.1%
Rashid Shaheed	8.4%
Chris Olave	6.2%

Atlanta Falcons

Player	First TD Probability
Bijan Robinson	15.8%
Drake London	9.6%
Darnell Mooney	6.7%

Anytime Touchdown Scorer Predictions

New Orleans Saints

Player	Anytime TD Probability
Alvin Kamara	49.1%
Rashid Shaheed	35.1%
Chris Olave	25.5%

Atlanta Falcons

Player	Anytime TD Probability
Bijan Robinson	56.1%
Drake London	38.3%
Darnell Mooney	28.8%

Saints vs Falcons Player Props

Discover our predictions for the players likely to lead in passing, rushing and receiving yards for both the Saints and Falcons. For detailed projections, join Dimers Pro.

Already a Dimers Pro member? Head to our Saints-Falcons page now to access every player prop projection.

Saints vs. Falcons Quarterbacks

Of the starting quarterbacks, the Saints' Derek Carr is projected to throw for fewer yards than the Falcons' Kirk Cousins.

Saints Rushing

Alvin Kamara, Jamaal Williams and Taysom Hill are projected to be the leading rushers for the Saints.

Player	Position
Alvin Kamara	RB
Jamaal Williams	RB
Taysom Hill	TE

Falcons Rushing

Bijan Robinson, Tyler Allgeier and Kirk Cousins are expected to lead the Falcons in rushing yards.

Player	Position
Bijan Robinson	RB
Tyler Allgeier	RB
Kirk Cousins	QB

Saints Receiving

Chris Olave, Rashid Shaheed, Cedrick Wilson, Foster Moreau and Alvin Kamara are projected to top the receiving yards for the Saints.

Player	Position
Chris Olave	WR
Rashid Shaheed	WR
Cedrick Wilson	WR
Foster Moreau	TE
Alvin Kamara	RB

Falcons Receiving

Drake London, Darnell Mooney, Kyle Pitts, Bijan Robinson and Ray-Ray McCloud are projected to lead the Falcons in receiving yards.

Player	Position
Drake London	WR
Darnell Mooney	WR
Kyle Pitts	TE
Bijan Robinson	RB
Ray-Ray McCloud	WR

NFL Fantasy and Betting Promos

Make the most of Dimers' Saints vs. Falcons predictions by exploring the two exciting offers below.

DraftKings Pick6

Sign up for DraftKings Pick6 today! Play $5 and get $50 in Pick6 Credits, plus one month of NFL RedZone access.

FanDuel Sportsbook

Get ready for NFL Week 4 by joining FanDuel Sportsbook! Bet $5 and get $200 in bonus bets.

Conclusion

We predict the Falcons, with a 60% win probability, will likely beat the Saints on Sunday.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Saints vs. Falcons insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

Note: Clicking links to our partners may earn us a referral fee. Learn about how we review products and services.

More on NFL

Stay updated with the latest NFL news and our data-driven NFL best bets and NFL parlay picks throughout the season. Plus, our Super Bowl odds provide the most accurate projections for the Super Bowl, AFC, NFC and each division.