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Saints vs. Falcons Prediction: Atlanta Predicted to Win Following Latest Data Analysis for NFL Week 4 [2024]
The Atlanta Falcons and New Orleans Saints will meet in Week 4 of the NFL season at Mercedes-Benz Stadium on Sunday, with kickoff at 1:00PM ET.
Based on updated simulations, Dimers' proven NFL model (see Dimers Pro for full access) projects the Falcons as the most likely winner of today's game.
"Using the most recent data, our experts ran 10,000 simulations of Sunday's Saints-Falcons game," said Dimers' Chief Content Officer, Nick Slade.
"After accounting for recent updates and other variables, our prediction shows the Falcons with a win probability of 59%, while the Saints have 41%."
Saints vs. Falcons Game-Day Updates and Essential Details
The NFL Week 4 action between the Falcons and Saints at Mercedes-Benz Stadium is scheduled to commence at 1:00PM ET.
- Who: New Orleans Saints vs. Atlanta Falcons
- Date: Sunday, September 29, 2024
- Time: 1:00PM ET/10:00AM PT
- Venue: Mercedes-Benz Stadium
- Tickets: Get tickets for the game on Ticketmaster
- Merchandise: Buy Falcons and Saints gear at Fanatics
- Live Stream: Watch this game on FOX via Hulu or FuboTV
Dimers.com's full preview of Sunday's Saints vs. Falcons matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.
Before making any Falcons vs. Saints picks, be sure to check out the latest NFL predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.
READER EXCLUSIVE: Sign up with code 20FOOTBALL at checkout right now to receive 20% off your first month of Dimers Pro! This offer won't last forever.
Saints vs. Falcons Predictions
Using trusted machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Sunday's NFL game between the Saints and Falcons 10,000 times as part of our NFL predictions coverage.
Our famous predictive model gives the Falcons a 59% chance of beating the Saints in Week 4 of the NFL season. Our predicted final score has the Falcons winning 22-20.
According to our model, the bookies have got it right, and the Saints and Falcons each have a 50% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 42.5 points also has an equal 50-50 chance of hitting.
In addition to our Saints vs. Falcons predictions, we've also here's what else we've got for today’s action:
Saints vs. Falcons Odds
We have sourced the best betting odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Saints | Falcons |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | +2.5 (-105) | -2.5 (-115) |
| Moneyline | +130 | -145 |
| Total | o42.5 (-110) | u42.5 (-108) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Saints vs. Falcons Picks
Our model's strongest edge in today's Saints vs. Falcons matchup is on the moneyline.
Our expert predictions, matched against the current odds, reveal the best NFL picks for every game throughout the season.
Unlimited access to our picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.
Saints vs. Falcons TD Scorers
Who will score an anytime touchdown in Saints vs. Falcons?
According to our model, Atlanta's Bijan Robinson is most likely to score the first TD in Saints vs. Falcons.
Our projections give Robinson a 15.5% chance of scoring the first TD at Mercedes-Benz Stadium, while the Falcons RB is a 55.9% chance of registering an anytime touchdown.
First Touchdown Scorer Predictions
New Orleans Saints
| Player | First TD Probability |
|---|---|
| Alvin Kamara | 13.7% |
| Rashid Shaheed | 8.5% |
| Chris Olave | 6.3% |
Atlanta Falcons
| Player | First TD Probability |
|---|---|
| Bijan Robinson | 15.5% |
| Drake London | 9.4% |
| Darnell Mooney | 6.8% |
Anytime Touchdown Scorer Predictions
New Orleans Saints
| Player | Anytime TD Probability |
|---|---|
| Alvin Kamara | 50.1% |
| Rashid Shaheed | 35.5% |
| Chris Olave | 26.0% |
Atlanta Falcons
| Player | Anytime TD Probability |
|---|---|
| Bijan Robinson | 55.9% |
| Drake London | 38.2% |
| Darnell Mooney | 28.7% |
For a complete analysis of the most likely first and anytime TD scorers this week, see our NFL Week 4 touchdown scorer predictions
Saints vs Falcons Player Props
Discover our predictions for the players likely to lead in passing, rushing and receiving yards for both the Saints and Falcons. For detailed projections, join Dimers Pro.
Already a Dimers Pro member? Head to our Saints-Falcons page now to access every player prop projection.
Saints vs. Falcons Quarterbacks
Of the starting quarterbacks, the Saints' Derek Carr is projected to throw for fewer yards than the Falcons' Kirk Cousins.
Saints Rushing
Alvin Kamara, Jamaal Williams and Taysom Hill are projected to be the leading rushers for the Saints.
| Player | Position |
|---|---|
| Alvin Kamara | RB |
| Jamaal Williams | RB |
| Taysom Hill | TE |
Falcons Rushing
Bijan Robinson, Tyler Allgeier and Kirk Cousins are expected to lead the Falcons in rushing yards.
| Player | Position |
|---|---|
| Bijan Robinson | RB |
| Tyler Allgeier | RB |
| Kirk Cousins | QB |
Saints Receiving
Chris Olave, Rashid Shaheed, Cedrick Wilson, Foster Moreau and Alvin Kamara are projected to top the receiving yards for the Saints.
| Player | Position |
|---|---|
| Chris Olave | WR |
| Rashid Shaheed | WR |
| Cedrick Wilson | WR |
| Foster Moreau | TE |
| Alvin Kamara | RB |
Falcons Receiving
Drake London, Darnell Mooney, Kyle Pitts, Bijan Robinson and Ray-Ray McCloud are projected to lead the Falcons in receiving yards.
| Player | Position |
|---|---|
| Drake London | WR |
| Darnell Mooney | WR |
| Kyle Pitts | TE |
| Bijan Robinson | RB |
| Ray-Ray McCloud | WR |
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Conclusion
We predict the Falcons, with a 59% win probability, will likely beat the Saints in Week 4 of the NFL season.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Saints vs. Falcons insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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More on NFL
Stay updated with the latest NFL news and our data-led NFL best bets and NFL parlay picks throughout the season. Plus, our Super Bowl odds provide the latest probabilities for the Super Bowl, AFC, NFC and each division.
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